Thursday Night Football 🏈 Jaguars vs Ravens: Where’s the money at? NFL betting splits, public vs sharp action and big money—with each source kept separate.
BetOnline spread action: 65% JAX / 35% BAL.
DraftKings: JAX -10 has 67% of spread handle and 71% of bets.
Circa: BAL +9.5 has 70% of spread handle on just 36% of bets. A clear disagreement between books—not proof of sharp action.
Moneyline: JAX has 90% of DK handle and 99% at Circa. Spread money and moneyline money tell different stories.
Where the Money’s At, pulled 1:37 PM PT:
• Kalshi + Polymarket: 60% JAX overall, but 61% BAL among big tickets.
• Big spread-ladder money: 79% BAL.
• Big total money: 69% Under 39.5, while DK and Circa handle favors the Over.
Polymarket winning wallets (up $100K+) lean 54% JAX overall but are 50/50 on spreads. Losing wallets (down $10K+) lean 86% JAX overall.
Exchange figures are weighted to JAX -10 / total 39.5—not sportsbook handle. Big bets don’t automatically mean winning bets.
Still early! Action can change before kickoff. I’ll post updated numbers later.
#TNF #ThursdayNightFootball #NFL #BettingSplits #ActionSplits #SharpMoney #PublicBetting #Polymarket
Fade the losers 📉 NBA 11/4 Polymarket wallets: losing wallets (down $10K+) vs proven winners (up $100K+). Where's the money at? 🧵
🔄 They're on opposite sides:
76ers @ Pistons: losers 78% PHI, winners 87% DET
Lakers @ Kings: losers 93% LAL, winners 86% SAC
Cavs @ Thunder: losers 71% CLE, winners 75% OKC
Bucks @ Celtics: winners 86% BOS ($226K)
Mavs @ Spurs: winners 78% DAL
🤝 They agree on Grizzlies -6, where winners are 86%.
The full breakdown is in the image. Not financial advice.
#WheresTheMoney #SharpMoney #ActionSplits #BettingSplits #Polymarket #NBABets #PublicBetting
NBA Action Splits 11/4 🏀 Where's the money at? Public vs sharp action, DraftKings vs Circa betting splits, big money and proven winners 🧵
#ActionSplits #BettingSplits #SharpAction #SharpMoney #PublicBetting #WheresTheMoney #NBABets
🤝 Where all the money agrees: MEM -6.5 has 88% of DK handle, 98% at Circa, 75% of big tickets, and 85% of proven winners. PHI has 97% of the handle at Circa.
Baseball being the last sport to have a salary cap, I feel like if it falls, it's sort of the end of something special in America and our pastime. It shows the conglomerate's true essence: separation of classes.
💰 Where's the money: NFL Week 9
Every Kalshi + Polymarket bet on every game, converted to the sportsbook spread.
Biggest money: $717K on the Patriots game (79% Patriots), $447K on the Bengals (100%), $271K on the Cowboys (96%).
One game per reply 🧵 Not a pick.
💰 Eagles @ Commanders, Sun 5:20 PM PT
Books: Commanders -6, total 40.5
🐋 Big tickets: $62K, 57% Commanders
👥 Everyday money: 53% Eagles
🧠 Proven winners: 99% Eagles
📊 Big money on total: $153K, 100% Under
Kalshi + Polymarket. Not a pick.
#Eagles #Commanders #NFL













