Founder / CIO : octahedron All views are personal.

West of the Rockies
Joined December 2008
Via @snoopyhero53. Never forget.
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Open-weight: ~90% as good as frontier at 10-25% of the token cost $IBM
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Sovereign AI is finally picking up, pulling AI infra on-premise $IBM
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Brand discovery within AI-powered search is an important 2027 priority for brands ($WDFC )
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AI-driven drug discovery could be an accelerant for Danaher, for example ($DHR)
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Industrial trends seem to be healthy after a prolonged contraction… $GPC
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Value of compute per watt likely to continue increasing… $SPCX
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"$ 500B - $ 1Tr" $SPCX
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Indeed
Public investors see the supply side of AI (the chips and the hyperscalers), and little of the demand side, because the demand lives in private companies (as my colleague @jrichlive often says). Since April, token usage on @Vercel's AI Gateway has grown almost 8x, and spend more than 3x’d. Prices fell by more than half during that time, and developers bought nearly eight times as much. In 30 years, I haven't seen demand like this.
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Incredible work @MaxJunestrand and team!
I just stepped out of Legora’s NYC office. Hard to describe how special it is to see hundreds of people working on something that Max, Sigge, and Jake once only had each other to believe in. They will win this and everyone who doesn't know yet will know soon. And they're hiring for all roles in NYC but especially engineers and product. legora.com/careers
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Old enough to remember this
10 years ago, on FinTwit: - John Malone is the best "Outsider CEO" - Valeant Pharmaceuticals trades at low P/Adj CF - Which country might do the next "Brexit"? - Tesla is a fraud - Oil stocks are going to come back... eventually
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holy moly. this is gonna be great.
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ASML capacity now filled till 2028 despite 30% growth in both 2027 and 2028… $ASML
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ASML capacity now filled till 2028 despite 30% growth in both 2027 and 2028… $ASML
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The middle-class consumer is somewhat cautious (though likely idiosyncratic to Nike) $NKE
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…though denim sales are robust $LEVI
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…yet the market remains somewhat promotional. $LEVI
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AI shopping assistant use increases bag additions 3x the average $LEVI
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Product velocity up 30%-40% due to AI use $C
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Credit is tightening (on the margin) $JPM
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Credit is tightening (on the margin) (2/2) ($C
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The global macro economy softened somewhat in 3Q’26… $C
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