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🏆 the conviction board.
live options flow — calls and puts, ranked 0-100 on 8 factors.
🔥 options returns after the board fired:
$AAPL → +3,336%
$ASTS → +1,040%
$CRWV → +956%
$NBIS → +540%
full log (wins AND losses) public.
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👉 algoxflow.com/conviction
Ionis plummets as it cuts 2026 revenue guidance for Tryngolza
$SPY 750.25, above its 747.68 flip. Hedging fades the move.
$QQQ read in five seconds.
Red bars: negative gamma. Green: positive. The tallest on each side are the put wall (650) and the call wall (670).
We're not chasing $NVDA down here. Here's why.
Spot 178.04 · flip null · call wall 195
62% of the crowd is bullish. That tells you who's already in — the flip at null tells you what has to hold.
$ARM over 3.1 years.
Buy the close, sell the open: 143.55%
Buy the open, sell the close: 18.56%
Buy and hold: 188.76%
The move happens while the market is shut. Not a strategy, spreads eat it, but that is where it lives.
Regime: BROKEN
$SPY -3.18% from flip
QQQ -0.34% from flip
IWM -0.22% from flip
DIA -2.82% from flip
We're not chasing $XOM down here. Here's why.
Spot 166.2 · flip 172.73 · call wall 180
Below 172.73, hedging feeds moves instead of fighting them. That's why we'd rather wait than chase.
$QQQ is one we're watching for volatility, not direction.
656.1 now — zero-gamma flip at 673.08, wall overhead at 660.
The bars are what the other side is forced to hedge. That's the part we actually trade off.
$SPY lost the level we care about. We're waiting.
736.53 now — zero-gamma flip at null, wall overhead at 750.
Below null, hedging feeds moves instead of fighting them. That's why we'd rather wait than chase.
We're cautious on $CEG under null.
Flip null. Call wall 275. Trading 250.2.
Below null, hedging feeds moves instead of fighting them. That's why we'd rather wait than chase.
$3.4M of net options premium bought in $GDX today.
That's real money leaning long, not just a green candle.
$41.3M of net options premium bought in $NVDA today.
That's real money leaning long, not just a green candle.
Free dashboard: where SPY, QQQ, IWM and DIA sit against their zero-gamma flips.
Above the flip, dealer hedging fights the move. Below it, hedging feeds the move.
Check it before you size anything. Free on the site.
Biggest expected moves on earnings this week:
$TWST ±19.2%
HTFL ±18.4%
FPS ±18.3%
CRWV ±18.1%
AADX ±16.9%
That's what options are PRICING IN — not a forecast. The edge is in whether it's too high or too low.
$3.1M of net options premium bought in $ABNB today.
That's real money leaning long, not just a green candle.
$EWY is one we're watching for volatility, not direction.
Spot 137.01 · flip null · call wall 152.5
We're not calling a price. We're saying which side of null we want to be on.
Sentiment on $ZM jumped 25 points this week. Our read is more careful.
Flip 99.27. Call wall 100. Trading 89.88.
We're not calling a price. We're saying which side of 99.27 we want to be on.
THE 24 BIGGEST EARNINGS BETS THIS WEEK
Tiered by the move options are actually pricing:
EXTREME (14%+) - TWST, HTFL, FPS
HIGH (12-14%) - MRCY, LFTO, REZI
ELEVATED (9-12%) - XXI, RUM, FIGR
MODERATE (under 9%) - ONON, EQX, TTEK
$TWST is priced to move 19.2% in one session.














