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Honored to receive #DPMC2025 SPONSOR AWARD
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A hawkish hold. The Fed’s official statement confirms:
Rate unchanged: 3.75%–4.00%.
Vote: 10–2.
Dissenters: Lisa Cook and Beth Hammack preferred a 0.25 percentage point increase.
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Yields on CoreWeave’s junk bonds surged to 15% this week, a level usually signaling distress, after the company’s co-founder said the data center operator was exploring ways to borrow in investment-grade debt markets, where there are vast pools of money from insurers to tap.
bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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China bought the dip. 🇨🇳
Gold fell 6.6% in September, and the PBOC added 740,000 oz (~23t), its biggest addition since Oct 2023.
• 23 straight months of buying
• Holdings: 77.47M oz (~2,410t)
• Same ounces as 2023, but now ~2.1× the dollar value
in 2023 same Quantity "23t" cost $1.47B
average buying price per oz is $1,983
Now 2026 same Quantity "23t" cost $3.10B
the average buying price per oz is $4,189
#Gold #PBOC #XAUUSD
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بنك الشعب الصيني يستمر في شراء الذهب دون توقف للشهر ال 23 في سبتمبر 2026 اضاف 23 طن ورفع احتياطي الذهب إلى 77,470,00 اوقية (2,490 طن من الذهب )
وتراجع احتياطي النقد الأجنبي إلى 3.4 تريليون دولار بنهاية سبتمبر 2026
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Today is a big day for financial markets.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release September’s nonfarm payrolls report at 8:30 a.m. ET. Wall Street expects 84,000 new jobs, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.1%.
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CHINA BECOMING A MAJOR STRUCTURAL PLAYER IN THE GOLD MARKET
China’s gold imports have rocketed past 1,100 tons through August 2026, eclipsing the full-year 2025 total and nearing the 1,200-tonne level.
What’s behind these numbers:-
-Gold ETF demand in China surges in August Chinese gold ETFs add 44t during August .
-The PBoC alone bought 20.2 tons in August, bringing their official holdings to roughly 2,387 tons
-A strengthening yuan makes imported gold more enticing
- Local Chinese premiums indicate demand over global benchmark
The bigger picture: China’s gold story is no longer simply about jewellery consumption. It increasingly combines private investment + ETFs + central-bank accumulation + reserve diversification.
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GOLD SELLS OFF AFTER WARSH
Warsh delivered a clear hawkish message:
• Economy is strengthening
• Financial conditions are not restrictive
• Inflation remains the priority
• Fed remains committed to the 2% target
Now Gold is trading @ 4,258 per oz
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520
- Fed dot plot, Sept 2026: 15 of 18 officials see year-end rates at 4%+, only 3 below. The hiking bias holds through 2027, then fades — by 2028-29 the median view drifts back toward 3.5% and lower. Hike now, ease later.
“ Warsh did not submit a dot for the 2nd time in a row. The chart shows 18 dots (not 19).
“
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The September projections send a clear message: the Fed sees a more resilient U.S. economy, but also more persistent inflation.
• 2026 GDP raised to 2.3% from 2.2%
• 2027 GDP raised to 2.4% from 2.3%
• Unemployment lowered to 4.1% through 2029
• 2026 Core PCE raised to 3.4%
• 2028 Core PCE raised to 2.2%
• Fed funds rate projected at 4.1% for end-2026, implying one more hike
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Fed September Statement: A Clear Hawkish Shift
The FOMC raised rates 25 bps to 3.75%–4.00%, backed by a unanimous 12–0 vote.
Key changes in the September Statement
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The 10-year US Treasury yield rose to the highest in almost two decades, the latest milestone in a bruising global bond selloff driven by booming capital investment and soaring energy prices that are exacerbating inflation. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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Bond bears are pushing benchmark Treasury yields toward the closely-watched 5% level ahead of US inflation data that stands to determine expectations for a Federal Reserve interest-rate hike next week. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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خالص الشكر لصاحب السمو
الشيخ الدكتور سلطان بن محمد القاسمي
حاكم الشارقة
لدعمه المستمر لأبناء الجالية السودانية في دولة الإمارات العربية المتحدة
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech essentially says: the Fed is not satisfied with the inflation trend, and a September rate hike is genuinely back on the table.
What Warsh actually said
1. Inflation is still too high
-PCE inflation: 3.7%
-Six-month PCE: 4.1%
-Fed target: 2%
-Warsh said recent CPI/PCE readings were better than expected but did not show a meaningful improvement in underlying inflation.
2. “We have work to do” = potential tightening this signals for the markets ,
His key condition was essentially:
If the Fed cannot become confident that underlying inflation is moving toward 2% clearly and quickly, more work is required.
In market language, this means another rate hike is possible, rather than the market assuming the next move must be a cut.
3. He rejected forward guidance
This is particularly important. Warsh argues that the Fed should not pre-commit to a rate path because doing so can constrain future decisions and cause markets to rely too heavily on stale expectations.
His philosophy is basically:
Data → reaction → decision
rather than:
Fed guidance → market prices → Fed reaction
4. September probability has jumped
After the speech, market pricing moved sharply toward a September hike.
This why Gold down more than 3% because now the market is pricing soon Rate hike rather than rate hold .
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Wall Street traders refrained from making big moves before Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s speech, with stocks, bonds and the dollar wavering. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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الخرطوم في 21 سبتمبر 2021
كنت ضيفاً للحديث عن عن تطورات الإصلاح الاقتصادي خلال فترة الحكم المدني بقيادة الدكتور عبدالله حمدوك
وبعد أسابيع فقط قام الجنرال عبدالفتاح البرهان قائد الجيش بالانقلاب على الحكم المدني في 25 اكتوبر 2021
ومنذ ذلك الوقت دخل السودان في نفق الاضطرابات وعدم الاستقرار و إندلاع حرب 15 أبريل في 2023
هذا ما يفعله العسكر ما عندهم شي يقدموه لشعوبهم غير الحرب والتشريد والموت وعدم الاستقرار
مندوب قائد الجيش الانقلابي عبدالفتاح البرهان في مجلس الامن يكذب ويضلل بدون أن يرجف له جفن .. يا رجل هذا تاريخ قريب كل الناس حاضرة وشهود
أعوذ بالله من الكذب
البرهان قام بانقلاب واغتصب السلطة بقوة السلاح
أطاح بالحكم المدني في 25 اكتوبر 2021 وزج بقادة الحكم في المدني في السجون
بمثل هذه الأكاذيب يحكمون هذا الشعب المغلوب


















