Independent blog focused on economic & financial analysis on Australian aviation. Support us at: https://xitter.cf/t.co/mcT4QYTwuv
YMML
Joined September 2023
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Really cool video of 24 hours of flights over Sydney in just over 90 seconds. Cool thing is that you can buys these as a printed picture to frame and put on your wall!
🚨Melbourne says goodbye to Qantas’s A380 and hello again to London!
But there's a catch: it's impossible for Qantas to extend Perth-London to Melbourne without withdrawing the A380 from Melbourne-Los Angeles! We explain how and why!
analyticflying.com/p/melbour…
Happy IATA NW26/27 (SC/158) to those who celebrate!
One of the most significant in Australia for some time with WSI opening to passenger flights today!
A lot happening for Melbourne incl Finnair's new direct flights, Qantas's direct London returning & BA returning in Jan!
Analytic Flying retweeted
Can the billionaire businesswoman succeed where others have failed by taking on Australia’s powerful airline duopoly, Qantas and Virgin Australia, with her own budget carrier? ebx.sh/zVxvdp
Update from IASC: Qantas and Virgin until 5 November for their arguments, or as the IASC put it "address the additional public benefit criteria"!
This is a sleight of hand from Sir Tim:
⬆️Revenue is up because ticket prices are up
⬆️Ticket prices are up because fuel prices are up
⬇️And capacity is down so sharing fixed costs over fewer passengers, all while margins are declining
Emirates is at 91% of pre-Iran-conflict capacity, with revenues above last year despite missile attacks and airspace closures, Tim Clark said at Routes World 2026.
aviationweek.com/air-transpo…
Analytic Flying retweeted
Nice story on the history of Nancy-Bird Walton.
#WSI
Nancy-Bird Walton honoured as Western Sydney International Airport opens to passengers abc.net.au/news/2026-10-23/n…
Tonight's QF94 LAX-MEL is the last westbound A380 flight on the route & tomorrow's QF93 MEL-LAX is QF's last scheduled A380 flight from MEL!
We've seen lots of commentary ascribing change to declining demand, but it's actually something entirely different. Details later today!
🇮🇩🇦🇺What will IASC do with expanded Indonesia bilateral capacity?
🔴5,180 seats/week available: QF/JQ wants 4,539 & VA wants 5,086
🔴Favour new routes: PER-CGK & WSI-DPS (QF/JQ)
🔴Favour airlines on routes they don't fly: PER-DPS (VA)
🔴Then make numbers add up (we get 5,162)⬇️
I give it 48 hours before one of the AI slop merchants picks this up 🤣
Qantas announces new direct flights from Sydney International Airport to Western Sydney International Airport
doublebaytoday.com/qantas-an…
It’s August 2018 and Virgin Australia have just announced an order of 10x Boeing 737-10 with deliveries beginning in 2022!
While certification is a major milestone, it’s touch-and-go whether Virgin will eventually begin receiving them before the end of 2027!
Certified: 🔟
The 737-10 has received FAA certification, marking a major milestone for Boeing and the development team that brought the final member of the 737 MAX family to this point.
✈️Strong fuel efficiency for denser markets
✈️Greater flexibility for airlines serving high-demand routes
✈️Commonality across the 737 MAX family
Congratulations to #TeamBoeing and our partners who developed the 737-10 over many years, and guided it through extensive testing, evaluation and certification. Thank you to our customers who are building the future with the 737-10 and 737 MAX family.
More: boeing.mediaroom.com/2026-10…
🚨Virgin's application for expanded Aus-Indo capacity is in!
🔴Incremental MEL, PER & SYD to DPS increases proposed
🔴Big move on PER-DPS where VA don't have any presence
🔴Since applications exceed available capacity, QF/JQ & VA will have to motivate their proposals & IASC will run a competitive process!
There, fixed it 🤣🤣
"Travellers flying into the old Sydney Kingsford Smith Airport could face taxi fares reaching almost $200 to get to Penrith, with pressure now growing on the NSW government to introduce fixed prices."
Travellers flying into the new Western Sydney International Airport could face taxi fares reaching almost $200 to get into the city, with pressure now growing on the NSW government to introduce fixed prices before the airport opens.
news24.com.au/news/australia…
What are we working on at the moment?
In June we published a detailed analysis of Qantas's A321XLR entry into service. Now it's time to have a look at the A220. With more data at our disposal, we're taking a look at reliability & network strategy!
analyticflying.com/p/qantass…
Qantas A321XLR doing circuits at Avalon again for flight deck crew training. They’ve been doing it most Saturdays since late September preparing for a significant increase in flying early in the new year!
Lufty are being clever telling the market they're funding TAP purchase from available cash-on-hand. It's technically true, their financial reports tell us how they're generating that cash & it's not through excellent operational performance!
Over last 18m they've increased fleet size by 5, but leased aircraft by 14 meaning they're refinancing unencumbered aircraft through SLB transactions. 1H26 report was pretty direct. Basically, they're pawning several B787s to buy TAP!
Qantas did the A380 LHR↔️DRS switcheroo yesterday!
🛬OQJ finished C-check at DRS & positioned to LHR as QF6038, operating QF2 to SYD!
🛫OQD arrived at LHR as QF1 & positioned to DRS as QF6037 for D-check!
How long are D-checks taking? See our latest⬇️
analyticflying.com/p/just-ho…
Wins isn't the verb I'd be using 🤣
Alternative verbs in order of appropriateness to describe this:
🟢Picked
🟢Selected
🟠Secures
🔴Burdened
Mazal Tov to @OneMileataTime! This is a badge of honour!!
Now @etihad, any chance you might publish audited financial statements?
OMAAT Is Now Blocked In The UAE, Following My Etihad Coverage
onemileatatime.com/news/omaa…
Still no news from Virgin Australia yet on their (expected) counter application for the new Australia-Indonesia capacity. IASC set a deadline of 19 October, so we should be hearing from them any day now!
