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Read the full Week 6 Anytime TD index here: covers.com/nfl/anytime-td-sc…
That's some Harry Kane-level goalhanging.
The young fella needs his jaw spun. Grade-A tool for a teammate.
Any one could have been a worldbeater had they pulled the trigger on Cody going full-Homelander.
We need the @CodyRhodes heel turn.
EARLY WINDOW SCORECARD 🎯
10 players from the @Covers Week 7 Anytime TD Value Index Top 25 were in action.
✅ Ollie Gordon II — 33%
✅ Christian McCaffrey — 68%
✅ Kyle Pitts — 24%
✅ Jonathan Taylor — 51%
✅ Cam Skattebo — 22%
✅ Darren Waller — 20%
6-for-10. Pretty.... pretty cool.
Now let's open the next bag of snacks and get into the late window.
covers.com/nfl/anytime-td-sc…
What a turnaround for Cam Skattebo.
Last week? ZERO touches.
Today? 15 carries, 81 yards, TD
Week 7 @Covers Value Index:
2️⃣4️⃣ overall
22% TD probability
71/100 Index Score
Our model liked the price when his role was anything but certain:
covers.com/nfl/anytime-td-sc…
THE LATE WINDOW IS LOADED 👀
11 of the @Covers Week 7 Anytime TD Value Index Top 25 are still to come:
1️⃣ MarShawn Lloyd: 20% | 90
2️⃣ Jahmyr Gibbs: 72% | 90
5️⃣ Amon-Ra St. Brown: 56% | 86
6️⃣ Kyren Williams: 58% | 83
9️⃣ Sam LaPorta: 34% | 79
Plenty of value left to chase! 🎯
covers.com/nfl/anytime-td-sc…
If you're following the @Covers Week 7 Anytime TD Value Index, Packers-Lions is THE late-window game.
1️⃣ MarShawn Lloyd: 20% | 90
2️⃣ Jahmyr Gibbs: 72% | 90
5️⃣ Amon-Ra St. Brown: 56% | 86
9️⃣ Sam LaPorta: 34% | 79
16️⃣ Matthew Golden: 38% | 74
Five Top-25 plays, two completely different 90-rated TD markets. Let's see what happens...👀
THIS is the stuff that gets us excited.
Three of the five @Covers Week 7 Top-25 ATTS picks already in the endzone:
Kyle Pitts: 24% ✅
Darren Waller: 20% ✅
Ollie Gordon II: 33% ✅
None was even priced at 40% to score.
Finding TD scorers is good. Finding them at the right price is great.
covers.com/nfl/anytime-td-sc…
Christian McCaffrey:
68% TD probability | 79 Index
✅ TD
Kyle Pitts:
24% | 74
✅ TD
CMC was almost THREE TIMES as likely to score yet their @Covers Week 7 Anytime TD Value Index scores were separated by just five points.
Probability ≠ value.
covers.com/nfl/anytime-td-sc…
Touchdown markets have another chaos factor:
DEFENSE.
So why do they never make good value trades? There have been just 12 defensive/ST TDs across 94 games to date this season. No team's defense has the role security to be a trackable TD-scorer.
covers.com/nfl/anytime-td-sc…
💰 OLLIE GORDON II. 🎯
33% TD probability
79 Index Score
No. 8 overall
A 1-in-3 market price and one of the highest value grades on the @Covers Anytime TD value index.
covers.com/nfl/anytime-td-sc…
Early-window @Covers Week 7 Anytime TD Value Index scorecard:
✅ Christian McCaffrey: 68% | 79
✅ Jonathan Taylor: 51% | 72
✅ Tony Pollard x2: 39% | 67
✅ Zay Flowers: 38% | 60
✅ Tyrone Tracy Jr.: 20% | 56
✅ Mason Taylor: 12% | 51
And we're still early. 👀
covers.com/nfl/anytime-td-sc…
💰 CHRISTIAN McCAFFREY 🎯
68% TD probability with @Kalshi
79/100 Index Score
7️⃣ overall in the index
One of the most likely scorers on the board does exactly what the price suggested.
covers.com/nfl/anytime-td-sc…
The full @Covers Week 7 Anytime TD Value Index is already on the board:
✅ Tony Pollard: 39% | 67/100
✅ Zay Flowers: 38% | 60/100
Neither was in the published Top 25, both were still identifiable scoring candidates in the full dataset.
This is exactly why we track all 299 names today.
covers.com/nfl/anytime-td-sc…
Elic Ayomanor is the Week 7 longshot that jumps off the full dataset.
9% TD probability.
73/100 Index Score.
Seven red-zone targets on the season - 37% of Tennessee's WR red-zone opportunities.
Unlikely ≠ bad value.
covers.com/nfl/anytime-td-sc…
THE EARLY WINDOW IS LOADED 👀
10 of the Top 25 on the @Covers Week 7 Anytime TD Value Index play in the 1pm ET window.
Including:
3️⃣ George Kittle: 42% | 88/100
8️⃣ Ollie Gordon II: 33% | 79/100
🔟 Christian McCaffrey: 68% | 79/100
1️⃣1️⃣ Derrick Henry: 64% | 77/100
LFG.
covers.com/nfl/anytime-td-sc…
We're an hour away from the early window of NFL Week 7 - have you got your Anytime TD trades in place with @Kalshi?
Check this week's @Covers Anytime TD value index for where to place smart money: covers.com/nfl/anytime-td-sc…
I wrote this, so you just bloody read it, alright? Please? 🥺
Week 7 Covers Anytime TD Value Index 🙌
@anothercold1 ranks the 25 best value NFL anytime TD markets ⤵️
covers.com/nfl/anytime-td-sc…