A statistical perspective on college football, college basketball, NFL, NBA, and more! Managed by @arbitanalytics
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The model likes Jacksonville State in a close one over New Mexico State. A win would put the Gamecocks of sole possession of first place in CUSA until at least Saturday
The second night of Week 9 is another slate of CUSA games. I like Middle Tennessee in a close one over 1-6 Kennessaw State
Dana Holgorsen recently called Big Ten games a "race to 21". Across all of college football, the SEC leads the nation in win percentage by the team that scored 21 points first (since 2023, Notre Dame included with the ACC)
In the second CUSA game of the night, the model likes Missouri State in a close game over Sam Houston who is still looking for its first FBS win this season
Week 9 kicks off with Delaware playing Western Kentucky. The model likes Delaware by nearly a touchdown after Nick Minicucci's huge game against Missouri State
The Buccaneers' 64 passing yards against the Panthers are the 7th fewest in a game for a team scoring 40+ points in the Super Bowl era
USC's Jayden Maiava's -57 yards rushing against Wisconsin are the 7th fewest by a Big Ten player in the CFP era. Only Jack Plummer, Nate Stanley, Connor Bazelak, Taulia Tagovailoa, Christian Hackenberg, and Joel Stave have had fewer in a game
Houston at Utah is a big-time matchup for the Big 12 standings. My model likes Utah in a blowout over the Cougars. The Utes offense should be their strength in this game
Luke Fickell began the season on the hot seat at Wisconsin. But the Badgers are playing well in 2026. I have them upsetting the Trojans at home today!
Will Stein has the Kentucky Wildcats in the top 12 and looking at a playoff spot in 2026. They shouldn't have any issues with Vandy today
Texas entered the season with National Championship aspirations and a Heisman opportunity for Arch Manning. Sark and Arch have struggled, and there is trouble in Austin. I think the Longhorns bounce back against Ole Miss to get their season back on track
Iowa football controls its playoff future this season. A trip to Minnesota shouldn't derail their goals for the 2026 season
Both Texas A&M and Alabama have had disappointing seasons relative to preseason expectations. I think the Crimson Tide get back on track on home at beat the Aggies
Despite a mere 3-3 record, Vegas favors South Carolina over Tennessee in this matchup. I think it will be a close game, but ultimately, I like the Volunteers to come out on top in a close game
UCLA is the biggest surprise of the 2026 season. They shouldn't have any problems with Michigan State coming to LA this week
Scott Frost has hung with some of the best teams in the country throughout his career. I think he does that again against BYU, but ultimately UCF comes up a touchdown short
