Senior Fellow, Peterson Institute for International Economics; Former Chief Economic Adviser, Govt. of India;

Wahington DC
Joined September 2011
Devesh Kapur & I are pleased that, after 4-5 years of researching & writing & decades of reflection, our @HarperCollinsIN book on 75 years of Indian development (A SIXTH OF HUMANITY) will be out in October Announcement: harpercollins.co.in/blog/ann… Pre-order: amazon.in/dp/9369891099?ref=…
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Student unrest in India raises question of inadequate job creation The real question/deep development puzzle is why jobs were not created over 4 decades DESPITE rapid/solid growth ie: Why Growth without Structural Transformation? Our book A SIXTH OF HUMANITY gives answers 1/
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3. High costs of key non-tradeable inputs used intensively in manufacturing especially electricity and transport. Average electricity tax was close to 100% 4/
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4. Uniquely, India experienced Double Dutch disease from the government first and later a dynamic tradeable services sector both of which raised labor costs for, and reduced the attractiveness of, manufacturing n/
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Arvind Subramanian retweeted
Latest @ProSyn piece w/ @navneerajs on China's fiscal fragilities and its implications for China's downside risks: Is a China Implosion Looming? project-syndicate.org/commen…
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Arvind Subramanian retweeted
China's tax revenues have collapsed from 18.4% of GDP in 2012 to 12.6% in 2025, a level one would associate more with a struggling, lower-middle-income country than an aspiring superpower, note Navneeraj Sharma and @arvindsubraman. project-syndicate.org/commen…
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Arvind Subramanian retweeted
Though few dare to speculate about it publicly, China is at risk of imploding under the weight of an economic and political perfect storm, Navneeraj Sharma and @arvindsubraman write. project-syndicate.org/commen…
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Arvind Subramanian retweeted
The Chinese state could find itself triply exposed—to a succession crisis, a weakening economy, and a lack of resources to exercise power domestically and project it externally. Any warning about China’s potential descent into disorder must contend with the CPC’s remarkable record of coercive control. A slow bleed of anemic growth, rising restiveness, and deteriorating services is perhaps likelier. But even if the Chinese miracle ends with a whimper rather than a bang, the consequences may well be yet another global shock, argue Navneeraj Sharma and @arvindsubraman . @ProSyn tomorrowsaffairs.com/chinas-…
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Arvind Subramanian retweeted
Though few dare to speculate about it publicly, China is at risk of imploding under the weight of an economic and political perfect storm, Navneeraj Sharma and @arvindsubraman write. project-syndicate.org/commen…
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Latest @ProSyn piece w/ @navneerajs on China's fiscal fragilities and its implications for China's downside risks: Is a China Implosion Looming? project-syndicate.org/commen…
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Arvind Subramanian retweeted
His question, asked out loud on camera: the Indian government itself has worked out what has been wrong with it over seventy-five years, so who are we to arrive now and say you must do A, B and C. A senior economist and a seasoned political scientist declining to write the ten point plan is rarer than it should be, and it is a position rather than modesty. If accurate diagnosis was never the missing ingredient, another diagnosis is not the remedy. The chapter where they lay this out is called Pathologies. A Sixth of Humanity, HarperCollins. Longlisted for the Kamaladevi Chattopadhyay NIF Book Prize 2026. #kcbp2026 #newindiafoundation #indianeconomy #indiadevelopment #bookprize #bookrec @NandiniNai @HarperCollinsIN @HarperCollins @arvindsubraman
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Arvind Subramanian retweeted
Deadline extended to Nov. 1 Devesh Kapur & I are teaching a Winter Workshop on Indian Development built around our book A Sixth of Humanity, @O.P. Jindal Global University, 3–7 Dec. 2026. Details: jgu.edu.in/jsgp/conferences/… Students & faculty do apply: tinyurl.com/bp6vm6cn
Devesh Kapur & I are thrilled to announce a 5-day Winter Workshop (Dec. 3-6) based on our book A Sixth of Humanity An exciting teaching, learning & research opportunity for students & faculty from all over India, organised by @JindalGlobalUNI & @PIIE Details below 1/
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Deadline extended to Nov. 1 Devesh Kapur & I are teaching a Winter Workshop on Indian Development built around our book A Sixth of Humanity, @O.P. Jindal Global University, 3–7 Dec. 2026. Details: jgu.edu.in/jsgp/conferences/… Students & faculty do apply: tinyurl.com/bp6vm6cn
Devesh Kapur & I are thrilled to announce a 5-day Winter Workshop (Dec. 3-6) based on our book A Sixth of Humanity An exciting teaching, learning & research opportunity for students & faculty from all over India, organised by @JindalGlobalUNI & @PIIE Details below 1/
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Arvind Subramanian retweeted
#Take2WithBS | Power: The old is undermining the new #India has doubled power supply in 15 years, but investment in conventional generation and distribution has lagged demand. September’s evening shortages exposed the structural gap behind the expansion of renewables. @abhishekecon @arvindsubraman business-standard.com/s/2gA5…
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Arvind Subramanian retweeted
Our piece in @bsindia documenting the growing under-investment in the “old” power sector—generation and distribution—and its causes Without fundamentally fixing India’s discoms, the potential of the “new” sector will be held back
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Our piece in @bsindia documenting the growing under-investment in the “old” power sector—generation and distribution—and its causes Without fundamentally fixing India’s discoms, the potential of the “new” sector will be held back
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Arvind Subramanian retweeted
Congratulations to our authors shortlisted for the Godrej Literature Live! Literary Awards 2026! We’re delighted to see their work recognised across fiction, non-fiction and business. Here’s to the stories and ideas that stay with us long after we turn the last page. @arvindsubraman @theliverdoc @albinder
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Arvind Subramanian retweeted
Fantastic books in the NIF Book Prize 2026 longlist. And I was lucky to have four of them talk about these books on the @IdeasofIndia podcast. @narayani_basu @snigdhapoonam @itihaasnaama @OrnitShani @arvindsubraman See the list of episodes 👇
(1/11) A forgotten diplomat who helped shape India's place in the world. A khayal singer most of the country has never heard of. An empire of fraud running out of small towns. A constitution that was argued over in the streets long before it was written in a hall. Ten books with almost nothing in common, except that each one leaves you knowing something about this country you did not know before. The NIF Book Prize 2026 longlist. #KCBP2026 #NewIndiaFoundation #BookPrize #bookstagrammers #readingcommunity #indianhistory @WestlandBooks @HarperCollinsIN @PenguinIndia @matthan @narayani_basu @snigdhapoonam @SamDalrymple123 @kan_writersside @sugataraju @NMenonRao @NandiniNai @Sumana_Ramanan
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