Awol Allo

One of the things the data analysts on our side obsessed over was "composition"—whether the electorate looked close enough to 2024 for Republicans to win. And despite polls that showed a Democrat blowout, the data kept on telling us the same story: in some states turnout was merely OK, in other states it was downright amazing, and in no state was it catastrophic. There was a genuine sense of optimism on our team: our people were showing up. So, I asked the smartest data guy I know, does that mean we're going to shock the world? "No," he told me. "We might do better than the polls suggest. But the data is telling us that a lot of Trump/Vance 2024 voters are pissed and planning to vote for the other guys. Our voters are turning out, but they may not vote for us." Well, that looks prophetic now. Our voters did show up. In Florida, for example, the electorate was 9 points more Republican than Democrat, just a couple points worse than 2024. Undoubtedly there were places we could have done better on turnout. But the main problem is not turnout. The main problem is that many people who voted for Trump/Vance in 2024 voted for Democrats in 2026. There will be a lot of infighting and arguing over what happened and why that is. One of the pollsters I really respect told me that our economic messaging wasn’t sharp enough down the stretch. I’m sure that’s true. But the real reason we lost is obvious to almost everyone. Another pollster—one of the smartest people I know in politics, told me yesterday we’d lose the generic ballot by 13 points. I felt negative going into Tuesday, but even I was shocked by this. In his polling, he saw that a lot of Trump 2024 voters were angry and planning to vote for Democrats. He asked those voters who had abandoned us what would cause them to come back on our team. The top four answers, accounting for nearly all of the responses were: 1) End the war 2) Focus on cost of living/inflation 3) Put America First 4) Change our relationship to Israel Our voters showed up. And the above four reasons are why many of them voted for Democrats. This is according to a pollster who nailed the results. While many spent Monday attacking Rachel Campos Duffy for calling for a diplomatic resolution to the conflict, it turns out her political advice was sound. (She’s also a great person.) In the next few months, there's going to be a lot of gaslighting. Expect to hear any number of establishment politicians say the solution to our woes is amnesty. I'm open to the idea that we should change enforcement—by focusing more on businesses that hire illegal labor, for instance. But anyone pushing amnesty is lying to you. The reason we lost is the war. The president himself said so last night. If you'd like to argue it was worth it, that losing the Senate for the next 6 years was worth it, then do so. Argue it was a worthwhile cost to pay. Agree or disagree, that's at least honest. But everyone knows why we lost. And any honest conversation about where we go from here must start there. I remain hopeful about our country. To the people who are pissed off and want to say, “I told you so”: you’re right, you did tell us so. Take that energy into electing Republicans who share your worldview. To the people who are just pissed at the results, you should be. Let’s take that anger and get back to the work of saving our country.

የኢ.ፌ.ዲ.ሪ. የፌዴሬሽን ምክር ቤት በሕገ መንግሥቱ አንቀጽ 62 (9) እና በዐዋጅ ቁጥር 359/1995 አንቀጽ 14/2/ለ/ መሠረት የትግራይ ክልል ጊዜያዊ አስተዳደር እንዲቋቋም ባስተላለፈው ውሳኔ እና ለሚኒስትሮች ምክር ቤት በሰጠው ሥልጣን መሠረት፣ የኢፌዴሪ መንግሥት የትግራይ ክልልን የሚያጸና ውሳኔ ወስኗል። እንደሚታወቀው፣ በትግራይ ክልል ተፈጥሮ የነበረውን ግጭት በፕሪቶሪያ ስምምነት መሠረት ለመፍታት የተደረገው ተደጋጋሚ ጥረት በሕወሐት ዕንቅፋትነት የተነሣ ሳይሳካ ቀርቷል። ሰላምን ያልፈለገው የሕወሐት አመራር ለአራተኛ ጊዜ የጀመረው አውዳሚ ጦርነት ለአራተኛ ጊዜ በሕወሐት ሽንፈት ተጠናቋል። የትግራይ ሕዝብ የራቀውን ሰላም እንዲጎናጸፍ፣ ራስን በራስ የማስተዳደር መብቱ እንዲረጋገጥ፣ እንዲሁም ላለፉት በርካታ ዓመታት ያላገኛቸውን የልማት ትሩፋቶች ለማጣጣም እንዲችል ከግጭት አዙሪት መውጣት አለበት። ለዚህ ደግሞ በፌዴሬሽኑ ውስጥ የሚገባውን ቦታ አግኝቶ ሰላሙን ማስከበር፣ ትኩረቱን በልማት ላይ ማድረግና ከሌሎች የኢትዮጵያ ሕዝቦች ጋር በኅብረ ብሔራዊ አንድነት ጸንቶ መኖር አለበት። እነዚህን ሁኔታዎች ባጠረ ጊዜ ለማመቻቸት እንዲቻል የትግራይ ክልል የፌዴራል መንግሥት ባለአደራ አስተዳደር በሚኒስትሮች ምክር ቤት ደንብ መሠረት ተመሥርቷል፡፡ ይህ የትግራይ ክልል የፊዴራል መንግሥት ባለአደራ አስተዳደር ለሚቀጥሉት 6 ወራት ትግራይን የሚያስተዳድር ይሆናል። ዋና ተግባሩ፦ 1. በትግራይ ክልል ውስጥ ተፈጥሮ ያለውን የሰላምና የመረጋጋት ችግር በፍጥነት በመፍታት የተረጋጋ ሁኔታን መፍጠር፣ 2. የፈረሱ የመንግሥት መዋቅሮችን መልሶ በመዘርጋት ሕዝቡ የመደበኛ አገልግሎት ተጠቃሚ የሚሆንበትን ሁኔታ መፍጠር፤ 3. በጦርነት ምክንያት የተጎዱ መሠረተ ልማቶችን በመጠገንና ፈጥነው ወደ ሥራ እንዲገቡ በማድረግ በሀገር ደረጃ የሚታዩ የልማት ትሩፋቶች ትግራይ ውስጥም መስፋፋት የሚችሉበትን ሁኔታ ማመቻቸት፤ 4. የተፈናቀሉ የኅብረተሰብ ክፍሎችን ወደየቀያቸው መመለስ፤ 5. በክልሉ ውስጥ ተቋርጠው የነበሩ ማኅበራዊ አገልግሎቶች እንዲቀጥሉ ማድረግ፤ 6. እንዲሁም የተረጋጋ የፖለቲካ ሁኔታ ተፈጥሮ በ6 ወር ጊዜ ውስጥ ነጻና ግልጽ ምርጫ ተከናውኖ ትግራይ የፌዴሬሽኑ መደበኛ አካል የምትሆንበትን ሁኔታ ማመቻቸት፤ 7. ከፌዴራል የመከላከያ፣ የፖሊስና የደኅንነት ተቋማት እንዲሁም ከትግራይ የጸጥታ ኃይሎች ጋር በመቀናጀት ከክልል እስከ ቀበሌ ባለው መዋቅር ውስጥ የተረጋጋ ሁኔታ እንዲፈጠር፣ ታጣቂዎች ትጥቃቸውን በማስረከብ ወደ ሰላማዊ ኑሮ እንዲመለሱና ተሐድሶ እንዲያደርጉ ሁኔታውን ማመቻቸት፣ የክልሉን የጸጥታ መዋቅር እንደ አዲስ የማዋቀር ኃላፊነት ይኖረዋል፡፡ 8. ሰላም እንዲጸና ፣ የሕዝቡ ሥነ ልቡና እንዲስተካከልና ወደ ልማትና የመልሶ ግንባታ ሥራ ለመግባት የሚያስችለው ዝግጁነት እንዲኖረው ማድረግ፤ 9. የሚዲያ ሥራዎችን የማስተባበር፤ በየደረጃው የሚደረጉ የሕዝብ መድረኮችን የማዘጋጀት፤ 10. ለቀጣዩ ምርጫ ሰላማዊና አካታች እንዲሆን የሚያስችሉ ተግባራትን የማከናወን ኃላፊነት አለበት፡፡ የባለአደራ አስተዳደሩ በሚያከናውናቸው ሁሉም ተግባራት የኢትዮጵያን ብሔራዊ ጥቅሞች፣ የኢትዮጵያን የግዛት አንድነት፣ የትግራይ ሕዝብን መሠረታዊ ጥቅሞች መሠረት ማድረግ አለበት። በሕዝብ የተመረጠ መንግሥት እስከሚቋቋም ድረስ የክልሉን የዕለት ተዕለት አገልግሎቶች ከማቅረብና ለቀጣይ ምርጫ አስቻይ ሁኔታዎችን ከመፍጠር በዘለለ ረዘም ያለ ስትራቴጂያዊ አንድምታ ባላቸው ጉዳዮች ላይ አይንቀሳቀስም፡፡ ተግባሩንም ከፌዴራል መንግሥት በሚሰጠው አቅጣጫ እና መመሪያ መሠረት ያከናውናል። የባለአደራ አስተዳደሩ ዋና አስፈጻሚዎች 1. አቶ አሰፋ አብርሃ ሐጎስ የአስተዳደር እና የሕዝብ አገልግሎት ዋና አስፈጻሚ 2. ⁠ዶክተር ቴዎድሮስ አረጋይ ወ/ሥላሴ - የኢኮኖሚ እና መልሶ ግንባታ ዋና አስፈጻሚ 3. ⁠ብ/ጄ ገብረ እግዚአብሔር በየነ ኃይሉ - የጸጥታና ሰላም ዋና አስፈጻሚ 4. ⁠አቶ ረዳኢ ኃለፎም ወ/ሥላሴ - የፖለቲካ እና ሕዝብ አደረጃጀት ዋና አስፈጻሚ 5. ⁠ዶክተር ሽሻይ አማረ - የመቐለ ከተማ ከንቲባ በመሆን ተሹመዋል። ለሚያከናውኗቸው ሁሉም እንቅስቃሴዎች የፌዴራል መንግሥቱ መመሪያ፣ አቅጣጫ፣ ድጋፍና ክትትል ይደረግላቸዋል።

Information Note Regarding #Eritrea-Ethiopia Relations (Document circulated to UNSC Member States on 13 October yesterday in response to "Ethiopia’s Note on Current Developments” of 11 October 2026) *"...Over the past three years, the Government of Ethiopia has sustained and progressively intensified its unprovoked war agenda against Eritrea under the rubric of acquiring 'Sovereign access to the sea, through negotiations if possible and force if necessary', in violation of the UN Charter and the 2018 Peace and Friendship Agreement between the two countries. Ethiopia’s acts of aggression and destabilization include the pronounced establishment of a Naval Force with jurisdiction over and strategic depth in Eritrea’s southern coastal region". *"...Taken together, these developments are tantamount to, and constitute, a brazen violation of Eritrea’s sovereignty and territorial integrity, in breach of the prohibition of the threat or use of force under Article 2(4) of the Charter of the United Nations". shabait.com/2026/10/14/infor…

No, we have no sympathy in any way, shape or form for the socialist left-wing nonsense that Rep. Ilhan Omar peddles day-in-and-day-out on Capitol Hill. But the predawn raid on her home early this AM represents Trumpian political grandstanding and weaponization of the machinery of justice every bit as despicable as what happened under "Joe Biden". This raid on the home of a sitting member of Congress, in fact, is no more justified than was the pre-dawn assault on Mar-a-Lago against a former president. First and foremost, this is not a case that even remotely involves criminal conduct by Rep. Ilhan Omar. By the accounts given to Fox News and confirmed at the high level by the Department of Justice, it is an investigation into immigration paperwork completed by her father 25-30 years ago when she was a child. But her father, Nur Omar Mohamed, has been dead since June 2020 and can no longer be held accountable, anyway. Still, the apparent reason for the raid turns on events from 1995 ( her family's refugee resettlement) and roughly 2000 (her father's naturalization), and on factual claims about her birth year, her mother’s death, and the loss of 45-years ago Somali records. So what we have is a “sins of the dead father” inquiry that turns on the following hideous level of historical trivia: *Statements or omissions on the family’s 1995 refugee resettlement paperwork under the Somalia program. *Statements on the father’s own naturalization application around 2000. *Whether Omar was in fact born on October 4, 1982 (the date used in congressional and Minnesota Legislative Reference Library records), which would have made her 17 and eligible for derivative citizenship. *Whether her mother actually died when Omar was about two years old (circa 1984), a fact relevant under older rules that generally required both parents to naturalize unless one was deceased. *Whether original birth and family records were lost during the families flight from Somalia in 1991 and the subsequent four years in a chaotic Kenyan refugee camp. Omar has long said she derived citizenship in 2000 as a minor when her father naturalized. Under the law applicable to children born before 1983, derivative citizenship for a minor is tethered to the validity of the parent’s naturalization. If a parent obtained citizenship through material, willful misrepresentation, that can in theory be used to challenge the child’s derived status. It is also a mechanism with high practical and legal barriers. The government must prove material, willful concealment or misrepresentation—not mere inconsistency, incomplete recollection from a war zone, or the absence of a birth certificate that was never issued or was destroyed. But a minor child who did not prepare or sign the forms, and Rep. Omar clearly didn't, and who has no demonstrated knowledge of any false statement, is not guilty of anything. Courts have historically required clear, unequivocal, and convincing evidence of personal, not derivative, fraud before stripping citizenship. Moreover, the whole matter is moot, anyway. Had Omar been 19 years old with a living mother in 2000, she would simply have naturalized on her own after the ordinary five-year permanent-residence period that applies to most refugees. That is how large numbers of adult Somali refugees who arrived in the mid-1990s obtained citizenship. Derivative status for minors was a convenience and a legal pathway that existed precisely because many families arrived with young children. Treating the use of that pathway as inherently suspicious, three decades later, inverts the system that was applied to the entire community at the time. The truth is, there is no serious public-interest justification for a judicially authorized search of a sitting House member’s home in October of an election year in order to test whether her mother died in the mid-1980s or whether a birth year listed in official records is accurate. Yet that's the sum and substance behind this egregious miscarriage of justice. Even then,the purported fraud would have been committed by her father, who has been dead for six years and cannot be questioned. Original Somali civil records from a collapsed state are routinely unavailable. The entire exercise rests on the possibility that documents prepared by a now-deceased parent contained a material falsehood that a child then carried forward. This is the weaponization of federal investigative machinery taken to a new level of barking absurdity. Democrats spent years using selective investigations, leaks, and process as political tools against opponents. Doing the same thing now by a gang of DHS thugs wearing what amounts to red jerseys to raid the home of a sitting congresswoman on the basis of 25- to 30-year-old refugee paperwork and the death certificate of a woman who died when the congresswoman was a toddler is exactly the same thing the Dems did under the last administration. That is not accountability. It is pre-election grandstanding dressed up as law enforcement. If there is concrete, recent, personal evidence of fraud by Omar herself, then the Trumpians need to produce it. Fast. Until then, a search warrant aimed at the alleged paperwork of a man dead since 2020, for the purpose of litigating events from 1982–2000, does not serve the interest of justice. It serves a political narrative peddled by malefactors hiding behind the color of law. And, no, Omar didn't marry her brother, either. That canard has been debunked so thoroughly that only the densest MAGA Hats credit it.