Billy Briz

Welterweight:🇰🇷Seokhyeon Ko (-550) ⇒ (-850)⬆️ vs. 🇧🇷Wellington Turman (+410) ⇒ (+500)⬇️ Ko did a good job flying under the radar, coming through DWCS beating Cavalcanti & UFC debut upset over Oban Elliott. Some of the finishing upside is left to be desired; took Phil Rowe to a decision in a pretty dominant fight Turman is coming off about a 3-year layoff / was on a 3-fight losing streak / 3-6 in the UFC / a good ground specialist But Ko does have good wrestling and top pressure to neutralize the BJJ game of Turman / if he’s able to get enough control time on top, he can work his way to finish, but he’s nicknamed “technical” for a reason Ko will prioritize the win over going for the finish / but the durability concerns for Turman create this high of a tag Seokhyeon Ko - Moneyline (-750) Seokhyeon Ko by KO/TKO or Submission(-115) Seokyeon Ko Round 3 or by Decision (+100) Ko / Turman - Fight Goes the Distance (+110) Seokhyeon Ko by Points(+150) Middleweight:🇱🇹Mantas Kondratavicius (-300) ⇒ (-310)↔️ vs. 🇺🇸Andre Petroski (+240) ⇒ (+230)↔️ The age-old question for Petroski is whether his durability will hold losing to Brundage by knockout, and now coming in on short notice isn’t going to help the cause, as it feels like we’ve seen this script before for Petroski on short notice What doesn’t make Mantas a lock? He's a low-level kickboxer with next to no grappling; his UFC debut vs. Trocolli was laughable, getting grappled in multiple positions wasn’t able to come close to a finish / could be just UFC jitters though But that still won’t cover the potential grappling holes he could face here / like the unders / Petroski sub / Mantas KO Kondratavicius / Petroski - Fight Doesn’t Go the Distance (-590) Mantas Kondratavicius - Moneyline (-300) Mantas Kondratavicius by KO/TKO or Submission(-220) Mantas Kondratavicius by KO/TKO(-180) Andre Petroski by Submission(+600) W Bantamweight:🇧🇷Priscila Cachoeira (+350) ⇒ (+350)📉 vs. 🇷🇸Nina Milosevic (-455) ⇒ (-520)📈 Nina’s had an impressive UFC debut, landing a body shot on Cowan in the 1st round in front of the home crowd. We didn’t even really see the extent of her grappling chops in that one for this matchup vs. Cachoeira I expect we will Priscilla’s lost 3 straight she’s gone 1-5 since 2022 / historically has struggled vs. grapplers but submitted in 5 of 9 losses while she’s a heavy hitter she’s looked a step slower and can’t defend takedowns Leaving opportunities for these younger prospects to work advantageous positions and lead the dance We saw her teammate Lucia Szabova do some work last week I think Nina wins and finds the submission here RDs 2/3 Cachoeira / Milosevic - Fight Doesn’t Go the Distance (-500) Nina Milosevic - Moneyline (-500) Nina Milosevic by KO/TKO or Submission(-250) Cachoiera / Milosevic - Under 2.5 Total Rounds (-250) Nina Milosevic by Submission (+185) Bantamweight:🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿Davey Grant (+170) ⇒ (+240)⬇️ vs. 🇺🇸Elijah Smith (-205) ⇒ (-330)⬆️ Elijah Smith has been able to make quick work of the competition that has been put in front of him so far: 3-0 in the UFC super athletic for the weight class / able to use that in the grappling / and beat opponents on the spot on the feet It’s a bit of an expensive pricetag at 1st glance considering Grant’s been on somewhat of career resurgence winning 3 of his last 4 but still has been 1 hole in his game and it’s the grappling with the 16 year age gap between the two it’ll only be time till Elijah gets Grants back on the ground in a scramble and get the submission finish here Grant’s been submitted in 5 of 8 losses / 5-3 in decisions looks like a good spot for Smith - ML parlay / Sub-Dec prop Elijah Smith - Moneyline(-310) Elijah Smith (-3.5) Spread (-180) Elijah Smith 2+ Takedowns (-120) Davey Grant by Points (+500) Elijah Smith To Win by Submission in Rounds 2 or 3(+950)