onchain ambassador
Want to predict the future?
Joined February 2025
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Mordor ui autuva.
I oron ná vanwa, mal mornië caita or Endor. I arani quetir pa sérë, mal nurtar i nanwië. Mi palantíri vinya quentar sílar ve eleni, ar i Atani cenir, ar lastar, ar savir. Mal man tura i palantíri? Man quetë i quenta? Ar man cene i mornië nu i cala?
I Corma ná i imya; i má nar vinya.
I mindoni oryuvar, i arani lantuvar, ar i quentar tulir ata. I pitya atan lá turë i Ambar, mal polë tirë i cala mi mornië. An Mordor lá ná er nórë: ëa mi indor Atanion, írë te hehtar estel.
pump.fun/c/0b16a61f-734a-47e…
🚨 HIBACHI POINTS: FINAL CALL!
November 8 is the official cutoff for @hibachi_xyz points farming. If you traded before and went inactive, this is your last chance to jump back in and get one final trade before the season ends. Don't sleep on the deadline. 👀
The team also hinted that additional rewards may be tied to social or trading activity even after points end. Almost $10B in volume, months of farming, and now we're at the finish line.
Pumpfun is giving away up to $50 per user 💸
Eligible new users can earn up to $50 over 6 days by signing up, completing KYC, depositing around $52 with an eligible card, and trading at least $10 daily. That's approximately $8.33 in daily rewards, subject to campaign terms and eligibility.
Want to claim yours? Sign up using my referral link and enter code brelginio if needed. Both you and I may receive referral rewards. Check regional eligibility and the campaign rules before depositing or trading.
Also take 1.5x referral boost:
pump.fun/u/brelginio
Jacksonville just passed the Chiefs on Polymarket.
After a 33-10 TNF beatdown of the Ravens, the Jaguars sit at 10% to win the Super Bowl.
Kansas City: 8.85%.
$7.3M traded on that one Thursday night game. Lamar was out. An undrafted rookie started at QB for Baltimore and threw two picks.
JAX is 6-2 and now 4th on the Super Bowl board, ahead of the dynasty.
Is 9.1% too high after one Thursday night, or are the Jags the real AFC threat?
Full Super Bowl board updates every Sunday (my ref link): polymarket.com/event/pro-foo…
Jacksonville just passed the Chiefs on Polymarket.
After a 33-10 TNF beatdown of the Ravens, the Jaguars sit at 9.1% to win the Super Bowl.
Kansas City: 8.85%.
$7.3M traded on that one Thursday night game. Lamar was out. An undrafted rookie started at QB for Baltimore and threw two picks.
JAX is 6-2 and now 4th on the Super Bowl board, ahead of the dynasty.
Is 9.1% too high after one Thursday night, or are the Jags the real AFC threat?
Full Super Bowl board updates every Sunday (my ref link): polymarket.com/event/pro-foo…
OmenX is trying to steal Polymarket users with FREE hedges 👀
Found another prediction market worth watching. OmenX raised seed funding in March 2026 and is offering up to 6,180 USDC in referral campaign rewards: $10 for signing up, $20 for your first $50 trade, up to $150 in random bonuses, and up to $6,000 in volume-based cashback. No confirmed points program yet. Hidden airdrop play?
The real alpha is Hedge Airdrop. Connect your Polymarket wallet with a position worth $20+ held for at least 24 hours, and you may qualify for a $10 hedge on the opposite outcome. Up to 3 active hedges and $100 in total rewards per account. Rewards aren't instantly withdrawable; trading volume is required to unlock them.
OmenX is reportedly doing ~$14.7M in daily volume, supports leveraged prediction trading on Base, and is clearly trying to attract Polymarket traders. Sign up through the referral link, then check Rewards → Campaigns and connect your wallet. No confirmed token points, but free hedge incentives are interesting. How long can they keep subsidizing this?
Join here, don't forget to connect your Polymarket wallet:
omenx.com?ref=AFF73876061
$100 → $1,604 on the US Senate elections 🇺🇸
Built my own Senate map on Polymarket with a 16.04x payout.
My picks: Republicans win Kansas and Iowa. Democrats take Texas, Alaska, Ohio, Michigan, and Maine.
One wrong state and the entire bet is dead. High risk, high reward. Would you change any of my picks?
Build your own map 👇
The Broncos were 6.5% on Polymarket last night.
Three straight 3-and-outs to open the second half. Boos at Mile High.
Then Butker missed wide right. Jonah Coleman scored with under two minutes left. Denver jumped to 73%.
Mahomes drove right back. 23.5%.
Goal line stand on the final play. 99.9%.
NextGenStats now gives Denver a 64% chance to win the AFC West.
Polymarket still prices it as a coin flip: Broncos 49.5%, Chiefs 48%.
Who's wrong, the model or the money?
The Broncos’ win probability fell to 10.2% early in the fourth quarter and was just 11.9% with 2:44 left in regulation in their comeback win over the Chiefs.
Denver’s chances of winning the AFC West are now 64%. With a loss, they would have been 24%.
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Before kickoff this game was basically 50/50, and the moneyline traded $4.7M. The AFC West market is still split almost evenly between Denver and KC, odds here (my ref link): polymarket.com/event/pro-foo…
This guy risked $2.07M on Polymarket to win about $2,300.
YES at 99.9¢ on "Will 1win launch a token by October 31?"
The deadline already passed. The resolution is disputed.
Best case he makes 0.1%. Worst case $2.07M goes to zero.
You don't risk a house to win a dinner.
Is this the worst risk/reward on Polymarket right now, or does he know something we don't?
Check his profile and decide for yourself (my ref link):
polymarket.com/@033033033?vi…
Polymarket has Democrats at 94.5% to win the House on Tuesday.
The Senate? Only 72.5%.
Republicans hold it 53-47. Democrats need 4 net seats.
And the races traders expect to be closest aren't the usual swing states:
Alaska: 77% to finish within 5 points
Iowa: 71%
Texas: 70%
Over $48M is riding on who controls Congress.
In 2024 the market leaned Trump while polls called it a toss-up.
Which state decides the Senate?
Senate control is the one with real uncertainty left. Odds move fast on election night, so if you want to follow it live, this is the market I'm watching (my ref link):
polymarket.com/event/which-p…
