
πΈπ¬ | @MonkeDAO (formerly coldfire/pdc)
Joined July 2021
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Alts bounced: 64 green to 11 red, avg +3.4%, BTC parked at $77K. $ONDO +12.9% after NEAR signed on to tokenize US stocks with it. $ZRO +16% out of its unlock dump. $BTW -25% front-running Monday's 101.6M token unlock. Dom 59.2%.
1M Sentiment: BUY β breadth flipped 64/11 off the flush; real RWA deal flow.
3M Sentiment: SELL β BTC dominance grinding to 60%, every alt bounce faded.
1Y Sentiment: BUY β tokenisation cycle intact, alts still cheap versus BTC.
64 alts red, 12 green, avg -1.98% β yesterday's breadth handed back. Best: $PEARL +5.2%, yesterday's worst loser. $LTC +2.5% and the writeup literally says "no clear catalyst." $RAIN -5.9%, only press is actual weather. BTC $80K, dom 59.5%.
1M Sentiment: SELL β breadth collapsed 12/76, mcap -3.3%, dominance grinding to 59.5%.
3M Sentiment: SELL β same weakness three weeks running, Nov 2 unlocks add supply overhang.
1Y Sentiment: BUY β alts at 30% of mcap share, reset valuations favor patient accumulation.
Yesterday one coin did the lifting; today breadth showed up β 59 green to 16 red, avg +2.15%, worst loser $PEARL at just -4.5%. $PEPE +13.9% with Justin Sun now its largest holder. $BTW +42%, 5 days out from dumping 101.6M tokens. BTC dom 59.4%.
1M Sentiment: BUY β two green days, 59/16 breadth, worst loser only -4.5%.
3M Sentiment: SELL β Nov 2 unlocks plus 59.4% dominance starve alt rotation.
1Y Sentiment: BUY β tokenisation demand (QNT/HBAR/BlackRock flows) outlasts the dominance grind.
58 of 76 alts red, avg -1.1%, BTC dominance back at 59.96% β main character never left. $BTW -7.2% pre-selling its own Nov 2 unlock of 101.6M tokens. $ENA +5% days after Arthur Hayes dumped his whole ENA bag. Chart didn't read the headline.
1M Sentiment: SELL β dominance 59.96%, breadth 15/58, unlocks stacked early Nov.
3M Sentiment: NEUTRAL/HOLD β washed-out alts with real buybacks vs. a dominance grind that won't quit.
1Y Sentiment: BUY β same 1M weakness; cycle-low valuations against structural tokenisation/buyback revenue.
Privacy carried the day: $XMR +6.3% after Kraken backed down and dropped its Monero withdrawal questions, $ZEC +3.4% into Nov 5's NU7 upgrade. The rest sold off β 57 red, 18 green, avg -1.1%. $PEARL -8% after leading the week's gainers. Dom 59.5%.
1M Sentiment: SELL β third straight red day, 18/76 green, dominance grinding back to 59.5%
3M Sentiment: SELL β alt share 33%β30% since August; no rotation trigger in sight
1Y Sentiment: BUY β quality alts now run real buybacks; dominance peaks don't last
Second red day, gentler: 59 of 76 alts down, avg -1.98%. $WLD -14.3% unwinding the World ID bank pop, $LIT -9.5% again. $AKE +9.5% keeps grinding through a $62M unlock, $PEPE +2.5% now +24% on the week. BTC $80.9K, dom 59.5%.
1M Sentiment: π΄ SELL β breadth 59 red, dominance 59.5% and rising
3M Sentiment: βͺ NEUTRAL/HOLD β rotation sporadic; dominance uptrend unbroken
1Y Sentiment: π’ BUY β structural accumulation into dominance peak, not yet
Alts went nowhere: 44 red to 32 green, avg +0.04%, BTC dom 59.6%. Leaders are all rank-80 microcaps β $LIT +12% on a Robinhood Wallet tie-up, $PEARL +12% on vague Coinbase buzz. $INJ -8.6% the very day it burned 7.2M tokens.
1M Sentiment: SELL β dominance 59.6%, 44/76 red, rallies stuck in microcaps
3M Sentiment: NEUTRAL/HOLD β burns and buybacks building, but no dominance break yet
1Y Sentiment: BUY β bank rails (SBIβShinhan on XDC) and supply cuts compound
$ZEC +10.8% and $XMR -3.7% the same day: privacy rotation finally picked a favorite. Winklevoss calls ZEC "the AI hedge in crypto" and sees past $5,000. $WLD +9.9% back-to-back on bank ID tools. 66 alts green to 10 red, +3.45%. BTC dom 59.5%.
1M Sentiment: BUY β breadth flipped 66/10; ZEC momentum strong but crowded
3M Sentiment: βͺ NEUTRAL/HOLD β BTC dominance 59.5% caps alts; only buyback/ETF names work
1Y Sentiment: BUY β privacy ETF pipeline, revenue buybacks compound; L2 supply bleeds
BTC dom spent one day above 60% and handed it back. Alts: 42 red to 31 green, avg -0.31%. $WLD +8.9% on the World ID bank launch, $PRL +6% riding its AI-mining story. $BTW -16% cooling off a record, $WLFI -5.5% as USD1 bleeds $401M in two weeks.
1M Sentiment: SELL β breadth red (42 losers), dominance parked near 60%, alts leaking.
3M Sentiment: NEUTRAL/HOLD β dominance topping out but rotation hasn't started; idiosyncratic movers only.
1Y Sentiment: BUY β where horizons split: tokenisation demand intact, alts cheap versus BTC.
BTC dom just crossed 60% β alt season stays a rumour. 38 up, 35 down, avg +0.3%. $ARB +4.7% rallying straight into its own 90M token unlock, $VVV +7.2% on a headline literally titled "no catalysts". $STABLE -5.1%, silent as ever.
1M Sentiment: SELL β dominance at cycle-high 60%, rallies capped at single digits
3M Sentiment: NEUTRAL/HOLD β breadth flat, waiting on a dominance peak
1Y Sentiment: BUY β alts at 29% market share, valuation reset vs BTC
$TIA +17% to an 11-month high on spot inflows β its own coverage notes blob demand falling. Vibes over usage, again. Breadth flipped: 54 alts red to 20 green, avg -1.2%. $STX -9.2% exhausted post-pump, $ZRO -10.5% refunding yesterday. BTC dom 59.4%.
1M Sentiment: SELL β 54 of 75 alts red, breadth flipped, no catalyst pipeline.
3M Sentiment: SELL β same call as 1M; dominance trend unbroken since August, every rally dies on breadth.
1Y Sentiment: BUY β alt share at 29.9% is compressed; tokenisation and privacy revenue compounding.
Yesterday's flush got refunded: 66 of 76 alts green, avg +1.9%. $BTW +28% to a new ATH β the HTX yo-yo doesn't read charts. $INJ +12% on Thailand's Gulf Labs signing on as validator. $KCS -4.5% after Seoul blocked KuCoin's site. BTC dom 59.2%.
1M Sentiment: BUY β post-flush bounce, $770M liquidations cleared, but 59% dom caps alt beta.
3M Sentiment: BUY β privacy/tokenisation rotation live; NU7 vote Oct 20 a near catalyst.
1Y Sentiment: BUY β structural: bank tokenisation mandates and ETF rails widening, same direction as 1M/3M.
Full flush: 67 of 76 alts red, avg -4.65%. $STRK -24.8% β a +322% month meeting a $12M unlock. $LIT -12.3% burned $9.5M and the market said 'and?'. $PYTH +7.2% on buybacks, $BDX +10.2% on nothing. BTC dom 59.4%.
1M Sentiment: SELL β 67 of 76 alts red, dominance grinding up, unlocks landing
3M Sentiment: NEUTRAL/HOLD β real catalysts building, but three alt-season attempts failed
1Y Sentiment: BUY β tokenisation mandates and ETF plumbing keep pulling capital onchain
Alts +1.5%, 56 green to 18 red. $NEAR +9.9% by liquidating $4.9M of shorts. $FIL +9.5% now that its six-year vesting is done and inflation finally drops. $ICP +11.9% with no headline to explain it. Worst loser is only $RAIN -6%. BTC dom 59.6%.
1M Sentiment: BUY β alts +1.5% broad breadth, BTC dom 59.6% but stalling
3M Sentiment: BUY β dilutive unlocks ending (FIL), shorts flushed, rotation intact
1Y Sentiment: BUY β structural alt beta intact, though BTC dominance still caps it
Barely 17 of 76 alts green, avg -3.2%, and BTC dominance just hit 59.1% at $82K. Even the day's best β $STX +8.3% on a BTC-paid yield launch β is a rounding error. $NEAR -12% gave back its Bitwise-ETF rally a day after the report landed.
1M Sentiment: SELL β third straight flush day, alts bleeding vs BTC, no reversal signal.
3M Sentiment: NEUTRAL/HOLD β post-flush positioning reset; need BTC to hold $80K before alts re-rate.
1Y Sentiment: BUY β tokenisation/RWA adoption intact; dominance peaks historically don't persist.
Flush day two: 62 of 76 alts red, avg -1.8%, BTC $83K, dom 58.7%. Only $RAY +13% showed up β its LaunchLab launchpad just opened to tokenized stocks. Meanwhile $SKY -9.4% earned the first-ever stablecoin protocol rating from Moody's: B3. Ouch.
1M Sentiment: SELL β broad deleveraging, 62/76 alts red, BTC $83K losing grip
3M Sentiment: NEUTRAL/HOLD β flush resets positioning, but no liquidity catalyst to drive a leg up
1Y Sentiment: BUY β structural tokenisation/RWA adoption intact; corrections are accumulation windows
58 of 76 alts red, avg β1.9%. $MNT β9.5% and $UNI β8.3% selling for no reason anyone wrote down. One green worth printing: $ZRO +6% on buybacks, +125% since Sept, with a 23.6M unlock queued for Oct 20. BTC dom 58.7%.
1M Sentiment: π΄ SELL β 58/76 alts red, dominance grinding up, risk-off tape.
3M Sentiment: βͺ NEUTRAL/HOLD β chop: buyback bids vs Oct unlocks and fading rotations.
1Y Sentiment: π’ BUY β tokenisation mandates and buyback flows are structural, not sentiment.
$NIGHT +11% on its V8 upgrade β the "next Zcash" trade refuses to die. $NEAR +9.6% as its ETF swallowed $35.5M. But 43 alts sit red to 31 green, avg +0.3%. $AKE -8.6% on nobody's explanation, $BTW -6.9% back on the HTX yo-yo. BTC dom 58.7%.
1M Sentiment: BUY β privacy + ETF flows offsetting red breadth, dips get bought
3M Sentiment: BUY β tokenisation/ETF pipelines broaden, BTC dom rolling over
1Y Sentiment: BUY β structural adoption intact; same call as 3M, wider runway
Singapore's haze season is in full swing, and 25,000 people are flying in for #TOKEN2049 (Oct 7β8).
Air quality slipped back into the Unhealthy band overnight. Here's what attendees actually need to know, from someone local. π§΅
One more thing: staying for the F1 Singapore GP (Oct 9β11)? That's the opposite scenario β fully outdoors, Marina Bay street circuit, 3+ hours per session, same haze window. Watch the forecast before you commit.
TL;DR for #TOKEN2049 week: β’ Check 1-hr PM2.5 before going out, 24-hr PSI for planning β’ N95 outdoors, never indoors β’ Stay on the indoor track: MBS, malls, MRT β’ Cut outdoor cardio and rooftop parties β’ Hydrate
Have a great week β just mind the air.