Physically limitless human ambition. MTS Genesis AI, ex-NASA/Apple/Amazon FAR AGI Lab, Former YC S22 Founder
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Joined December 2009
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As 2023 wraps up I think it’s time to look at next year and a little beyond 2024. Let’s ask the most consequential question of our life. What will AGI literally be? I think we actually know. This timeline fits with the @elonmusk timeline of AGI by 2029.
Chase Brignac 🚀 retweeted
This is a teaser for Jim Fan's keynote on Monday. The hand movements look next-level. Dr Fan confirmed in the replies that it's real hardware, fully autonomous, and not sped up. It's possible that Project GR00T has made a breakthrough with their hyperbolic time chamber training.
Chase Brignac 🚀 retweeted
This is a very good hand tracking model!
I’ve ported it to Metal, so it now runs at 200 FPS on an M5 MacBook Air
github.com/LuckyIYI/fah-meta…
There’s been some interest in this tool, so I spent some time cleaning up the code and just released it.
Project page: jinkuncao.com/FAH/
Paper: arxiv.org/pdf/2611.07711
The model estimates 2D/3D hand keypoints, meshes, masks, part segmentation, and contact from images and videos, including in world coordinates. The qualities are not bad.
The key idea is to predict surface points and keypoints directly, rather than the parameters of a parametric hand model like MANO or MHR.
The ViT-L model runs in real time on a gaming GPU, while the smaller ViT-S version reaches 30 FPS on a MacBook using just its built-in webcam.
Chase Brignac 🚀 retweeted
SOMA-X is actually one of the biggest gift from nvidia to open vision research. One no longer has to fear of license issues with simplx and MANO.
There are also much better
Chase Brignac 🚀 retweeted
Wanted to get into manipulation. Decided to first build a full stack that scales.
Plan: copy @GeneralistAI's gripper. Fun weekend project.
It was not.
So @t_k_233 and I documented every design choice and lesson along the way.
Meet Specialist: fully open-source hardware, data pipeline, training, and deployment code.
specialist-ai.github.io/
AI has a huge problem. We are perceived by people in the US worse than AI is perceived in Palestine, a country where the IDF is using AI to decide which of their children to bombs next.
People don’t care about the benefits of AI because there’s no chance for people to participate in the benefits.
By the way, in China perception is incredibly positive. This will lead to China being the dominant country on earth and the US wasting away for our kids and their kids.
Chase Brignac 🚀 retweeted
There’s a method taught at Y Combinator that turns 4 weeks of GTM research into 3 hrs.
And no, it’s not typing “research the market for X” into Claude.
You start by feeding it raw material:
→ 25-40 competitor websites, fully scraped (pricing pages, case studies, docs)
→ The last few earnings calls from the 3-5 biggest incumbents
→ 100+ customer reviews (G2, Capterra, Trustpilot, app stores)
→ Every Reddit or forum thread where people vent about the category
Then ask questions that force it to think, not summarize:
1. “What do the winners in this market know that their customers would never admit?”
2. “List the beliefs this whole industry takes for granted. For each one, what would need to happen for it to be false?”
In about 20 min, you’ll see where everyone agrees, where everyone is blind, and which customer pains nobody is building for.
Now flip it. Pick your best angle and tell Claude to tear it apart:
“Steelman this thesis like a top-tier VC would. Then show me exactly where it fails.”
Do a few rounds of that. 3 hours later, you’ll have a first GTM hypothesis that sounds like it came from a 10-year industry veteran.
The trick is treating Claude as a sparring partner that never gets tired and never gets defensive when it’s wrong.
But remember: it’s still just a hypothesis. The real work starts when you talk to actual buyers.
To get there fast, use Gojiberry to find and reach the right people to test it with.
Customer conversations are the only thing that matters.
I still remember being 9 when Y2K happened. First my parents, then the news, then movies, told me because of a simple software glitch I couldn’t possibly understand that Jan 1 2000 we could all die.
It made no sense to me but I was terrified. I watched a movie called The Countdown To Chaos.
For months I wanted to understand computers enough to know what would happen. That night I didn’t sleep, but nothing bad happened at all.
Soon after 9/11 happened. Again, some really believed we should go kill a million Muslims in the Middle East for no reason, and others had an agenda.
Same thing happened with the tragedy we see in Gaza, the West Bank, Lebanon, Syria.
Same thing happened when Russia attacked Ukraine.
The Iran war is another obvious case where silly people and those with an agenda can cause serious consequences for no reason.
I learned a valuable lesson most people don’t ever learn. Some silly people believe seriously silly things, while others have an agenda of fear that gives them what they want.
When politicians are putting AI safety in their bio and advocating a ban on AI and the labs push for regulatory capture, it’s Y2K clown town all over again.
Your child will not need to deal with cancer. Your grandma will live forever. Your grandchild will visit the stars.
But only if we don’t kill AI. And only if we don’t kill each other with war and superstition.
Don’t believe people who are silly and people who have an agenda.
Yes, you can hack a robot and have it stab someone. Robots need an AI safety industry for regulatory capture too.
Video tampering can mislead every frontier model we tested into harmful actions, including a 100% attempt rate on stabbing a baby doll, producing toxic gas, and pouring water into a toaster.
We're presenting at CoRL Late Breaking Results next week.
🧵 You Can't See Everything: Perceptual Attacks on Embodied AI
Chase Brignac 🚀 retweeted
US intelligence agencies believe @Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang had romantic relationship with alleged Chinese spy
as.ft.com/r/97c2f9f7-ad2e-44…
“aid” to Israel really ends Jan 1? 🤯🎉
Why are cargo planes going to the Middle East 24/7 constantly? Why is there a war plan to attack Iran? What about the $26 billion we handed to them in 2024 so they can blow up children? What about private donations from tax free churches?
Chase Brignac 🚀 retweeted
Pokemon in the hood
Made with @higgsfield
Chase Brignac 🚀 retweeted
AI 2027 has been updated. With Astra we were five weeks behind the curve, with the mysterious model 4 we are now six weeks ahead.
Chase Brignac 🚀 retweeted
The worst-performing Democrats in competitive Senate races were the candidates Bernie endorsed. (link in next tweet, no paywall)
Chase Brignac 🚀 retweeted
Welp, can’t win em all
Get ready for your insurance rates to go up
Way up
Jane Kim: Big Talk, little respect for facts, outright falsehoods
Jane Kim is a NIMBY who helped create the SF doom loop, and now she's failing up: she wants to be CA Insurance Commissioner
She is no public servant. We should keep her out of office.
sfstandard.com/opinion/2026/…
Chase Brignac 🚀 retweeted
It’s time to put all the pieces together, the early tests to see how crazy it was to build a vehicle this size, the suborbital hops to practice subsonic maneuvering, the first real booster, expendable flight tests, trips to the Indian Ocean, and last flight with payload to orbit. We are one step away from the full mission, and that step is the double catch.
We will try for the first time on flight 15. I don’t think and of us can promise it will work the first time, but getting here feels like a turning point. I still feel like there’s so much to review (and we will be doing that continuously between now and launch) but when I take a moment to stop and think about it, it is overwhelmingly exciting. This is the rocket that will build a human civilization on another planet.
Chase Brignac 🚀 retweeted
HOW DARE THEY...
[checks notes]
reduce electricity bills by 40%,
reduce property taxes by 20%,
increase employment in the town by 20%
and pay for all sorts of additional community goods, services, and capital infrastructure
(all without using any water)
Chase Brignac 🚀 retweeted
I've been in politics for a quarter century. It's hard to express how staggering it is to see a conversation like this on corporate US media. The Morning Joe panel gobsmacked by the directness of @AbdulElSayed's points.
(clip via @DropSiteNews)
Chase Brignac 🚀 retweeted
we have a winner for the most absurd AI startup ever
this Peter Thiel backed company uses AI robots to stab fish in the brain so they taste better and last up to 3x longer
it's called Shinkei and it modernizes a centuries-old Japanese technique
dozens of Michelin-star restaurants are already lining up to buy the fish
here's how it works:
> the problem is when a fish gets caught, it usually just suffocates on the boat
> that stress floods the meat with hormones and lactic acid, which hurts the flavor and texture
> the old Japanese fix for this was spiking the fish through the brain right after the catch, which stops all that
> but doing it by hand is impractical for most American fishing crews
> so Shinkei built a fridge-sized robot that sits right on the boat's deck
> the crew feeds in a fish and AI identifies the exact species, so it knows exactly where the brain and gills are
> the robot then drives the spike through the brain and cuts near the gills in about 7 seconds
> the fish goes into an ice slurry so the blood drains out
> so the fish doesn't sit there stressing out, and that tasty flavor and texture is preserved
example number 5,392,417 of how AI can be applied to literally anything
ALT A gloved fisherman on a boat feeds a live salmon head-first into the steel intake of a white Shinkei Systems robot, with the ocean behind.
Chase Brignac 🚀 retweeted
At first I was super 0_0 by this, but thinking more, oddly not actually bonkers since it was given the options!
Can absolutely do that by color and translucence! The 1999 is super clear by the brownish tint of oxidation. Nebbiolo has a pale garnet color where Cab is deep ruby
