Cape Cod Shark and Seal Awareness

The oceans - not human industrial activity - are the regulatory engine that maintains global climate stability. Earth, by all physical metrics, should be renamed Ocean. We inhabit an ocean world where deep waters cover 72% of the globe to an average depth of 2.3 miles. Land comprises a mere 28% of the planet's surface, and all human infrastructure combined occupies just 1% to 3% of that remaining land. Crucially, the oceans hold 86% of the surface carbon reservoir and absorb over 90% of retained thermal energy, while the atmosphere holds just a fraction of a percent of each. Because of this vast oceanic thermal capacity, Earth’s climate is buffered within longer-term geological regimes. Currently, our planet remains bound to the Late Cenozoic Ice Age, with an average global temperature of roughly 15°C. This is well below (at least 10°C lower) the long-term planetary average of 24°C seen throughout most of biological history. Carbon dioxide was not the primary driver of these macro-level shifts. The current ice age structure began 34 million years ago with the thermal isolation and glaciation of Antarctica, later intensified by the closure of the Isthmus of Panama and orbital Milankovitch cycles. The modern world emerged during the current 2.58-million-year Quaternary Glaciation. This is a sequence of 100,000-year long glacial cycles, periodically paused by brief, roughly 15,000-year warm interglacials. All human civilisation, agriculture and technological progress has unfolded within the latest of these: the Holocene interglacial, which began 11,700 years ago. Measuring current conditions against these geological baselines reveals a very different picture than the skewed narrative of a runaway warming crisis. Roughly 10% of Earth's land area remains permanently capped by glacial ice (15 million square kilometers) - nearly a third of its extent during the Last Glacial Maximum peak 20,000 years ago. The vast majority of this ice resides in Antarctica, the largest and thickest ice sheet on the planet, extending up to 4.8 kilometers deep and holding 90% of global ice volume. The Earth has a built-in natural stability, which has guided the planet throughout the entire rise of life on land.

The climate crisis agenda was built upon a predicted global warming scenario, now widely recognised as 'implausible'. The Earth is not facing runaway warming. First introduced in 2011 to guide policy, this extreme high-emissions projection - known as RCP8.5 (and later SSP5-8.5) - predicted a 5.5°C temperature rise by 2100. This misleading scenario was used to create subsequent dramatic news headlines for over a decade. With the retirement of the extreme 5°C baseline ahead of the 7th Assessment Report (AR7), the ceiling for high-emissions projections has dropped significantly. The IPCC’s high-end baselines have been downgraded towards a 3.3°C ceiling - but even this appears to be implausible. The flaws in this runaway warming scenario lies in the record of Earth's long climate history. The world exists within a long-term ice age regime that has spanned 34 million years. Current temperatures are actually 9°C 'colder' than the planet's 24°C average across the past 485 million years (Judd et al., Science 2024). The current average temperature stands at approximately 15°C. This already low ceiling reflects a modest increase of up to 1.4°C over the past 250 years since the start of the Industrial Revolution. It also shows that increases in CO₂ do not automatically trigger runaway temperatures. Earth’s climate system is amazingly complex, and is driven by multiple interacting variables. The principal driver of our current ice age cycle lies in orbital anomalies known as Milankovitch cycles, while global surface temperatures remain a composite of distinct regional dynamics. Far from causing ecological collapse, the atmospheric CO₂ rise of just over 100 ppm has actually driven a substantial expansion of global leaf area across previously sparse terrain. Certain crop yields have surged, a phenomenon confirmed worldwide via NASA satellite vegetation data. At roughly 420 parts per million, CO₂ remains a trace gas - still among the lowest concentrations in geological history. The atmosphere is more than 99.9% nitrogen, oxygen, and argon, while atmospheric water vapor exceeds CO₂ concentrations many times over. A deceptive, anthropogenic CO₂-driven warming narrative had been heavily promoted by the United Nations and it's agencies, the World Meteorological Organization and the IPCC. This served as the foundational justification for Net Zero mandates. In practice, it forced the premature dismantling of reliable hydrocarbon energy infrastructure across most Western nations. The downstream result has been widespread economic decline and a historic transfer of industrial capacity to Beijing. China now produces roughly 90% of the world's wind turbines, solar panels and critical processing components. Many consider this to be the greatest transfer of wealth in world history. However, it also suggests the world faces a vast and unpredictable geopolitical shakeup.

The climate alarmists rarely mention a fundamental geographical fact: Earth is in the Quaternary Ice Age. We are simply living through a warm interglacial period—known as the Holocene. Over the last 250 years, global temperatures shifted only 1.1°C to 1.4°C, bringing our global average to around 15°C. How does this compare to Earth's broader history? It is drastically cooler than the planet's long-term baseline range of 18°C to 26°C, a threshold that characterised geological history before the current ice age era. The climate narrative treats carbon dioxide as if it has somehow become a toxic modern pollutant, omitting the fact that CO₂ levels have been sitting at historic low levels for millions of years. Historically, these depleted levels—dropping to a ~180 ppm floor during glacial peak levels—led to hyper-aridness, expanding dry savannahs and severely reduced global biomass. The natural baseline of our planet demonstrates that warmth and elevated carbon are primary drivers of a greener biological expansion. To generate catastrophic sea-level models, computer simulations would require a rapid, uniform melting of global ice caps. But this scenario ignores planetary geography. Past ice-melts came from vast prehistoric sheets—like the Laurentide and Fennoscandian—which extended far into mid-latitudes. They all melted long ago. This were far more vulnerable to solar warmth than today's polar ice caps sitting over the Antarctic landmass and Arctic Ocean basin. The poles are oceanographically and meteorologically isolated from warm tropical currents. Because of this, a sudden, runaway collapse of polar stability is structurally impossible. The entire system is anchored by deep ocean dynamics that models consistently oversimplify. Even if we looked at extreme historical melt events, the mathematical models behind today's 'climate doom' scenario would all collapse. Following the end of the Last Glacial Maximum 19,000 years ago—when massive, vulnerable ice sheets sat directly exposed on land across Europe and North America—the average rate of sea-level rise was only 1.33 cm per year over a 9,000-year thaw, not even crawling pace.