Pinned Tweet
Hey for everyone new i'm Cryptogit
Been over 9 years in this game and all im sharing here is in depth knowledge i wish i truly had when i started out
In my early days in 2016-2017 i was heavy into trading because most influencers online sold me the "dream of trading"
I honestly wasted so much time and money trying to become a successful trader then later i realized that the truly successful people in this industry either
1) built a business
or
2) held a coin for long term
I'm talking people in Forbes list (not just social media)
Once i started to apply that mentality i truly found more success on what i did
Last cycle i did over 200x in total and also called the top of the bull run. A screenshot of when i called BTC, ETH, NEO during the covid dip is exactly here and i got also many members that can vouch for what i do.
I'm not here to sell a dream. I'm here to show the reality and truly build a community that when i started out i didn't have
Also if you need me to review quickly the coins you're holding and get an opinion from me, send me a message i'll do my best to reach out and help you
DISCLAIMER: What i share here is not financial, investment, or legal advice. I am not a licensed financial advisor, broker, or attorney. Cryptocurrency investing is highly risky and may result in the loss of all capital. Past performance or examples shared do not guarantee future results, and individual outcomes will always vary. All content is for educational purposes only. By engaging with this content, you agree that Cryptogit is not responsible for any financial decisions, losses, or damages. Always do your own research and consult licensed professionals before making financial choices.
90% said: “Wait for Q4 2026, the 4-year cycle always plays out”
Reality: the bottom came earlier and everyone missed it
90% said: “If the CLARITY Act fails crypto is over” Reality: it failed and price went up
90% said: “If Democrats win the midterms crypto is dead”
Reality: so far we’re pumping
Contrarian investing is the only edge you need
Study what the crowd is doing and you will learn a lot about where we're headed next
The lesson of 2023 was that bad news doesn’t stop the price going up once the next trend is set
Everyone in 2023 made the mistake of waiting to buy until the news got better
Then they bought Bitcoin 2x higher in 2024
The same thing is happening right now
That doesn’t mean we can’t dip in the short term
But after all these hacks, problems and bad news, the price is still holding and that’s a bullish sign, not a bearish one.
Everyone waited for Clarity Act then bought higher
Everyone waited for Midterms and it's likely gonna buy higher soon
Study this post
The CLARITY Act was a similar event to next month's midterm elections
Everyone was waiting for the CLARITY Act outcome to decide whether to invest or not
Everyone got it wrong
They thought the CLARITY Act failing would stop crypto and now nobody even cares about it
The next narrative is the midterm elections
If the Republicans lose the midterms I'm not saying we can't go down in the short term but I wouldn't be surprised if the market keeps going up (im not a short term trader)
The truth is that Republicans and Democrats will both print money and devalue the currency
We've seen it happen again and again
People also don't realise that the market is a forward-looking machine.
If you wait for the news and then react, you'll be too late.
In 2023, the market went up exactly when there was no bullish news that made any sense.
What made you buy crypto when:
- USDC lost its peg
- The SEC went after every crypto project
- BTC ETFs were rejected all the time
- The FED was hiking rates and running QT
The first bullish news was in 2024 when BTC ETFs came but did you made more money if you bought in 2023 or 2024 ? 😆
If you watched my YouTube video a few weeks ago you would know exactly where we're headed next
youtu.be/b2KaJ9IhNB0?si=5QgJ…
Most people holding altcoins since 2022 feel like this is the worst case ever
Almost 5 years of waiting
But look at how long a 20x usually takes everywhere else:
- Stock market: about 31 years
- Venture capital: 7 to 10 years, and 75% of deals never return a dollar
- Building a business: 10+ years, and half fail within 5
Our worst case is most people’s dream scenario
So if you sold everything today, ask yourself:
Where else could you realistically 20x it in the next 1 to 3 years?
For most people the honest answer is nowhere
In the stock market the average 20x takes about 31 years
A 30x takes about 36
That’s at the S&P 500’s long-run 10% a year
After inflation it’s more like 45 to 50 years
In crypto the right coin at the right time has done that in a single cycle
That’s why being early to the right shift matters so much
The future of business is small teams with huge output
AI is one side of it
Crypto rails are the other
Hyperliquid showed it in 2025: 11 people, over $1 billion in revenue
Tether showed it too, with around $93 million in revenue per employee
The companies of the next decade won't look like the companies of the last one
You need to study the divergence between sentiment and fundamentals and it will help you a lot to know where the market could be headed next
If the news and macro were bad and everyone was investing more, thinking we would go higher, that’s where I would be most concerned
But right now, even if we drop hard from here, who would be rewarded? It’s going to be the crowd because they’re the ones sitting in cash or slowly reducing their exposure due to uncertainty.
While if we go up from here, most people will be destroyed, because it’s the most unexpected outcome, and everyone will likely buy BTC above 100K.
Let’s see how this plays out.
I’m not saying this is 100% going to be right or that we can’t dip in the short term.
All I try to analyze are the patterns and the long-term outlook from my contrarian view
Think about what October did to crypto investors
1) Convinced the 4 year cycle believers that they might be right and staying in cash was the right move all this time
2) Push more fear to the ones who bought in summer into believing that the 4 year cycle might be still in play
Both those beliefs push more people to SELL or STAY IN CASH
In the meantime we got all the bearish news in macro + crypto
- Binance got hacked a few days ago
- Self custody wallets got hacked
- Clarity act didn't pass
- FED is hiking rates
- US midterms looks bad if democrats win
- US likely to attack Iran after midterms
Isn't that the perfect setup to push everything to the upside while leave everyone outside ?
Not saying it will come tomorrow or short term we can't dump just study the sentiment and analyze the patterns
Think about what October did to crypto investors
1) Convinced the 4 year cycle believers that they might be right and staying in cash was the right move all this time
2) Push more fear to the ones who bought in summer into believing that the 4 year cycle might be still in play
Both those beliefs push more people to SELL or STAY IN CASH
In the meantime we got all the bearish news in macro + crypto
- Binance got hacked a few days ago
- Self custody wallets got hacked
- Clarity act didn't pass
- FED is hiking rates
- US midterms looks bad if democrats win
- US likely to attack Iran after midterms
Isn't that the perfect setup to push everything to the upside while leave everyone outside ?
Not saying it will come tomorrow or short term we can't dump just study the sentiment and analyze the patterns
US midterms are the same event like Clarity Act
A lot overestimate the impact in short term without realising that long term outcomes are usually priced in
Remember how in 2023 all people found a reason to not invest in crypto
- BTC ETFs rejections
- FED was hiking rates + QT
- USDC dropped lower than $1
- SEC came after all crypto
Most people still haven’t worked out why stablecoins are bullish for the US government.
Stablecoins are how America exports demand for its own debt and quietly adds a new class of buyer: ordinary people.
Take someone in Argentina holding 100 USDT because they don’t trust the peso
That 100 USDT is funding US debt
1 USDT = $1 of buying pressure on T-bills
That’s what the GENIUS Act wrote into law
Now scale that worldwide
The Treasury gets a new buyer in stablecoin issuers and behind them, millions of individuals. Not just central banks, institutions and hedge funds like before.
Tokenization gives control and power to the US
Stablecoins keep the Treasury funded
Crypto isn’t a speculative space anymore
It’s becoming essential infrastructure for governments
Once you realize this, you’ll understand you’re not bullish enough
In the early days the mainstream media told everyone the internet was bad for people
Meanwhile the biggest companies were positioning for that narrative and building everything
The internet became 100x bigger than most people thought
Tokenization and crypto today are in the same setup
If you fall for what they say and don’t study what they’re building and doing, you’ll be left behind
Imagine a world where ETH is $20,000 and everyone online is arguing about whether a 2x is still possible at that market cap
Sit with that for a second. Then think about the regret of everyone who had years to buy and didn’t.
I know it sounds delusional
It already happened with Bitcoin
Tell someone at $700 that BTC hits $20,000. They’d laugh at you. Tell them $50,000 and they’d call you an idiot
Every number that looks absurd now looked absurd then too. That’s the whole pattern.
There is no other asset class right now offering this kind of asymmetry
Be grateful you’re early enough to be laughed at...
The biggest regret people will have in crypto will be:
- ETH going above 10K
- Altcoins skyrocketing
The reason for both is that 90% of people had almost 5 years to buy ETH and altcoins this cheap. If they soon see those things skyrocketing which I believe they will, the regret will eat people alive. Everyone had over 5 years to DCA and chose instead to fall for the manipulation, get bored, stay pessimistic and leave the market
I know everyone today wishes they could turn back time to 2021 because back then making money was so easy and most people missed it since the dips didn’t last long. But this time people had almost 5 years to DCA at these prices. 5 years is not something you can tolerate and find an excuse...
I constantly think about that and I think it’s my biggest fear. I constantly ask myself whether I have enough, and I don’t consider selling...I consider accumulating
Because the reality we all forget is that there’s nothing in life that offers the risk-to-reward ratio altcoins offer right now
Show me one other thing where you can risk an amount you can afford to lose for a shot at 30x or 50x
(just think about that)
not saying those will come but if you study the sentiment it will teach you a lot and contrarian investing is not 100% right but you will be often more right than wrong...interesting to see how the next few months will play out
The most contrarian moves in crypto right now
> ETH making a new ATH this year or early Q1 2027
> Altcoins skyrocketing before a huge crash which comes later in 2027
> All crowd joining when BTC is above 100K + without realising smth will break in 2027
i recently had a guy who saved over 100K+ from me because he already had an "unlimited USDC token approval" on an exchange which got almost hacked a few months ago. luckily this guy didn't have USDC in his wallet but over 100K in ETH, but the moment he would swap ETH back to USDC the hackers could drain his money
he literally told me "i have a ledger so i'm protected" and i explained exactly how a ledger will not save him at this time, because having an unlimited approval means that exchange that got hacked, if the hack is still there, they can take your money as you gave permission to take unlimited USDC from your wallets
i immediately told him to go and revoke permission to that contract and he did that and luckily saved over 100K at this time. he was planning to sell ETH over 5K which would have put him over 200K. he would have lost 200K+ just because of this minor mistake he never thought of
security, self custody audit, being up to date with current hacks, problems or bugs are something no one prepares for
and to be honest i have been over 9 years here and with all those AI improvements i still have to learn a new thing every day... i tell this for a fact, that a person who's not an expert in crypto will have it so hard in the upcoming years, and if you don't invest in communities or mentors or people you can trust and consult with, you will be left behind.
Most people only think about one thing in crypto: making money
But structuring your portfolio, holding the right assets, setting up proper self-custody, and securing your wallets before a hack hits are just as important and almost nobody prepares for them.
Think about it. The worst outcome is doing the hardest part, actually making the money, and then losing it all to a hack because you had no plan.
I recently helped someone in my community avoid exactly that, from a hack he'd never even heard of ...
These are things you need to plan before
Not after you have the money ...




