Studying the psychology underlying human misbelief. In academic dialect: Walgreen Professor of the Study of Human Understanding, Univ of Michigan he/him

Ann Arbor, MI
Joined October 2015
David Dunning retweeted
In Hennepin County, which endured some of the most brutal ICE raids and the murder of Renee Good, Hispanic turnout is literally 5x what it was at this point in 2022, and >50% above 2024 at the same point.
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New video: A public talk on my lab's work on trust. Trusting others is essential, but deeply mysterious. Major behavioral science theories say you shouldn't do it, but in our studies people trust complete strangers--and they can't tell you why. 1/2 youtube.com/watch?v=DsH7ATw2…
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Related, a recently published chapter on trust vs. rationality. They contradict directly. In our lab, trust appears more to be about emotion rather than thought, the decision rather than its consequences, not really a preference, ... 1/2 taylorfrancis.com/chapters/e…
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not altruism, not consciously understand, with cognitive, behavioral, and emotional components that contradict. Trust may be rational, but it may depend on for whom trust is the rational act. Welcome to Alice Through the Looking Glass. 2/2
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A new interview just dropped in Nautilus about frontier issues related to the Dunning Kruger effect: Does AI suffer? Is it complicit? On the statistical critique. What about experts? The Nobel disease. And although education is an overwhelming good, it does have an issue.
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David Dunning retweeted
the brilliant concluding paragraph of the Dunning-Kruger paper
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Impt advice, especially for #6. #5: Clearly the M-20 line. If you've driven I-75, you know.
Dreading the political fights over Thanksgiving dinner?  This Thanksgiving, we bring you ten things to argue about instead:
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Posted at age 16, 3 years after being cut from the Arsenal academy.
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Last month I was inducted, along w/ 200 peers, into the American Academy of Arts & Sciences. A surprise. Further, I was asked to give the featured talk at the closing session, followed by a conversation w/ Dr. Laurie Patton, the Academy’s president. 1/3 youtube.com/watch?v=0aLIerbU…
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On words beyond English, AI overconfidence, eating tacos upside down, doing your own research, what education undoes… For those who play, spot the Easter eggs for the Delphic oracles, Marcel Marceau, Edvard Munch, and Sinclair Lewis. 3/3 The tie belonged to my late father.
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Overconfidence causes everything from wars to business failure, but it can be accounted for and remedied, says social psychologist David Dunning, co-created of the Dunning-Kruger effect, which explains why smart people make dumb decisions. bit.ly/47dLnSz
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Magic 8 Ball says signs point toward True.
Axiom: No matter how many people contributed to an achievement, all the glory will belong to one. (works in politics, in science, in everything. we have 1 slot in our brain only, and 1 person gets all the credit) Implication: Most myths of how things happened are untrue
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Take a sip. You don't know what you're missing.
Dunning Kruger is best served on the rocks... @daviddunning6
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Going for it on 4th down when you should, according to the analytics. Go Lions! Actually, intrigued that nearly two-thirds of the league is at 50% or less in their decision-making.
whoops, that was 2023-24 combined. Nevertheless, the data is basically the same.
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Of course, the analysis is incomplete, in that you have to consider NOT going for it when you shouldn't. I wonder what a combined analysis would look like.
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Why 13% of Americans think they can land a plane in an emergency. No Such Thing, a brand new podcast by Manny Fidel, Noah Friedman, and Devan Joseph. I chime in with my own 2 cents. open.spotify.com/episode/12n…
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