we turn complex technical analysis into reports you can actually trade with. for day traders, prop firm traders, and algo traders.
Miami, FL
Joined June 2023
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the IB by rejection has been one of the most popular setups in our community.
but you have to wait until 10:30AM ET to use it.
so we wanted to see if there was another option for traders who want to be active in the first 30 minutes.
here's how you can trade the 15min ORB instead:
on $NQ over the last 6 months, gaps fill 51% of the time.
so we connected edgeful to Claude and had it test 68 combinations of gap size, fill target, and weekday to find the best stats.
trading a specific gap size had the biggest impact.
here's the full breakdown:
ALT NQ gap fill over the last 6 months, NY session: every gap 51.1%, gaps under 0.4% 87.0%, gaps 0.4% or more 26.0%
and as a thank you for reading this far, our free prompt kit is yours. 10 prompts you paste into Claude or Cursor, each one builds a trading dashboard from the edgeful API:
edgeful.com/10-trading-dashb…
that's it for today.
if you enjoyed this post:
1. follow us @edgeful for more breakdowns like these
2. RT & bookmark the tweet below to help more traders find and trade strategies that actually work ↓
on $NQ over the last 6 months, gaps fill 51% of the time.
so we connected edgeful to Claude and had it test 68 combinations of gap size, fill target, and weekday to find the best stats.
trading a specific gap size had the biggest impact.
here's the full breakdown:
ALT NQ gap fill over the last 6 months, NY session: every gap 51.1%, gaps under 0.4% 87.0%, gaps 0.4% or more 26.0%
edgeful retweeted
the first hour candle on $ES has set the bias for most Mondays…
over the last 6 months, on Mondays:
→ green first hour, closed green: 76.92%
→ red first hour, closed red: 84.62%
21 of the last 26 Mondays on $ES closed the same color as the first hour candle.
takeaway:
first hour candle on a Monday = favor continuation in its direction into the close
edgeful retweeted
the IB low forming first on $NQ tells you exactly which trade to look for:
over the last 6 months, on days the 60min IB low formed first:
→ IB high broke first: 76.56%
→ IB low broke first: 20.31%
49 of the 64 days that formed the IB low first on $NQ broke the IB high first.
takeaway:
IB low forms first = look for longs targeting the IB high
edgeful retweeted
5 for 5 on the 8:12–9:12 range last week, and $NQ broke both sides of that range on 73% of Mondays over the last 12 months:
