Media & Research Director for @ActionNetworkHQ | Previously: @NBA @ESPN @SportsCenter @ESPNStatsInfo @Bloomberg @DonBestSports | 📝💻: https://xitter.gq/t.co/89P8myJX0L
New York, NY
Joined May 2010
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Welcome to Week 1 with some fun new stuff @ActionNetworkHQ...
+ New weekly betting primer from me. One link, all season (free as always): actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-be…
+ TD machine w/ @GDAWG5000 (PRO feature): actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-an…
+ QB Ratings w/ @The_Oddsmaker's rankings (PRO): actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-l…
We've had 29 night games in the NFL so far this season -- underdogs are 14-15 (48%) outright in those games.
That would be the best SU win pct for dogs at night thru 10 weeks since 1998 w/ 2 games left 🐶⤵️
A 49ers game hasn't closed with an O/U of 55+ since 2001 and this is their second total of 56+ in the last 50 years... 📈
The other? A 2000 game vs Rams, "Greatest Show on Turf." Total closed 63, a 34-24 final.
So far early season, 49 teams have closed -8 or longer -- they are 48-1 SU (Cavs lost to Hornets)...
30 home teams have closed -8 or bigger -- 30-0 SU. Heck of a start.
"Good teams win, great teams cover!"
Double-digit NBA favorites this season are 31-0 SU but 15-16 ATS 📉
(via @Bet_Labs)
Some line movement w/ Kirk Cousins to the Vikings...
+ Fernando Mendoza now starting vs Drew Lock, Seahawks. Vegas up to +6.5 at home.
+ Cousins probably starts at Packers this week. Line sitting at 3.5.
Entering their bye this week, Eagles have lost 12 consecutive games against the 2nd half spread via @Bet_Labs...
Since '05, that is tied for the longest 2H ATS losing streak for any team with ... the 2012-13 Eagles ⤵️
Favorites go 14-1 SU & 11-3-1 ATS in Week 9 -- the best week for favs overall since 2004...
Only the 3rd week w/ chalk 14-1 SU or better and 3 or fewer ATS losses ✅
Two QBs have had 25+ pass attempts and a passer rating of 9 (!) or less since 2015:
+ Carson Wentz tonight
+ Sam Darnold for Jets vs NE in 2019
Favorites are now 13-1 SU so far in Week 9 with the Bills (-3) at Minnesota on Monday Night Football.
A 14-1 SU week for favorites would be tied for the 3rd-best week in the Super Bowl era.
What a terrible beat this under was: 12 combined pts entering 4th quarter & over 43.5 hits in OT.
Entering today, unders were 130-0 since 2000 when teams had 12 pts or less entering 4Q in games w/ total of 40+
Chargers are the first team since the Bengals in 1991 to start winless both SU and ATS through 8 games.
+ L.A. officially goes under their win total (9.5)
+ Chargers are 0-10-1 ATS in their last 11 games dating back to last season. Every other NFL team has at least 2 covers since Christmas of last year.
Nick Sirianni and the Eagles are now 0-10 SU (1-9 ATS) as a home dog, losing in this spot now with his 4th different QB.
17 straight one-score wins for Bo Nix and the Broncos now -- they've covered 7 straight in one-score games 😂
Since 2017, Michigan is 66-3 SU as a double-digit favorite…
• 4-3 SU vs Michigan St
• 62-0 SU vs all other teams
