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Joined September 2017
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Action Network retweeted
🏈NFL Week 7 1ST TOUCHDOWN MODEL! 🔥Model had FOUR +EV hits in Week 6 + 5000 +3000 +1200 +750 Updated daily & after inactives of each game window are announced 👇Here's the model for Week 7👇 actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-we…
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Action Network retweeted
It's time to attack Thursday Night Football! Got 3 TD Bets locked in for Patriots-Bears. TD Vid comes out after Action Island at 3pm ET. If you want them now, download the FREE @ActionApp 👇 action.onelink.me/qhpb/gille…
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The BBOC squad cooked up a parlay for ya this weekend! 🍳🔥 🏈 Central Michigan Moneyline - @Steponaduck 🏈 Colorado State Moneyline - @EastBreese Tail here👉 bit.ly/6GEARMLPARLAYWEEK8 Download the DraftKings Sports app and use code BBOC. The crown is yours. @DKSports
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Underdogs have covered 10 straight primetime games 👀 Will the Patriots (+3) extend the streak tonight at the Bears?
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⚡️NUGGETS vs THUNDER NBA BEST BET 🏀 Jared McCain o9.5 Points 👇Add directly to your betslip bit.ly/NBA102226G 🗣️"Jared McCain was incredibly solid in the opener, dropping 20 points in just 22 minutes of action. What makes that even more impressive is that it came against a much tougher Spurs defense. If McCain can produce that efficiently against San Antonio, I have a lot of confidence backing his scoring output in this specific matchup. When you look at his track record against Denver from his time with OKC last season, the production is remarkably consistent. He put up point totals of 14, 13, and 15 against the Nuggets. I understand there are different rotations at play for Denver this year, but structurally, I fully expect the Nuggets' defense to remain susceptible from three-point range. That is obviously an area where McCain thrives and can easily exploit for quick scoring. I'll back him to score over 9.5 points tonight." -@JoeDellera
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⛰️ NUGGETS vs THUNDER NBA BEST BET 🏀 Denver Nuggets +8.5 👇Add directly to your betslip bit.ly/NBA102226F 🗣️"I don’t want the moneyline here. I don’t think Denver will win outright, but I do think this is a heavy price to lay. Let’s give OKC a full 2.5 points for home-court advantage, considering they have one of the better crowds you’ll find in the league. That makes this a 6-point difference in power ratings on a neutral floor. For context, I have the Timberwolves at about a 6-point advantage versus a completely average team. Is the gap between the Thunder and the Nuggets really as wide as the gap between the Wolves and an average team? I mean, maybe. The Thunder are really darn good. But I still think this line is too heavy; I actually make it 5.5. There’s also a notable trend to consider here: home favorites coming off a road win in their season opener (like the Thunder) are just 29-47-1 ATS (38%) since 2003. That includes an 11-15-1 ATS mark over the last 10 years and a 6-9-1 ATS record since the Bubble, via KillerSports.com. Furthermore, Denver went 3-1 ATS against OKC last season across three real matchups and one late-season fake game. They have consistently hung around in this matchup, despite Aaron Gordon only playing in one of those contests (though to be fair, OKC was missing a bunch of guys in those games as well). Denver can absolutely score against OKC; they just can’t get stops, and that dynamic is not likely to change tonight. I want to fade OKC coming off an emotional win against the Spurs—the team that kept them from a chance at repeating—so I'll gladly take the points with Denver tonight." -@HPbasketball
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Are prediction markets or polls more accurate for elections? @HarryDCrane joins @EastBreese on the latest episode of the Predicting Politics Podcast youtube.com/watch?v=Rezco0fO… Download the DraftKings Sportsbook app and use code ACTIONNETWORK. The crown is yours. @DKSports
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🔥 CAVALIERS vs 76ERS NBA BEST BET 🏀 Philadelphia 76ers -3.5 👇Add directly to your betslip bit.ly/NBA102226E 🗣️"Honestly, this Philadelphia team gelled significantly faster than I originally anticipated. The 76ers were admittedly a bit sloppy in the first half of their opener against the Knicks, but they quickly figured it out and allowed everybody to cook exactly the way they needed to for this offensive system to be functional. Tyrese Maxey was allowed to completely control the pace and tempo, and it simply looks like everyone already understands their specific roles—and they did this in their very first game together on the road against the defending champions in a hostile environment. This is just the tip of the iceberg for Philadelphia; their current power rating is simply too light for a team operating with this much cohesion early on. On the other side of the floor, I try not to overreact to the preseason, but if you are going to play your actual starters, I am going to analyze the tactical results. The Cavaliers played their core guys in three games, got worked by Boston's backups, got worked by Orlando, and in their final tune-up, not a single starter finished better than a -16 in 20 minutes of action. That is absolutely not what I want to see from a team heading into a matchup against a Sixers squad that already looks dialed in." -@BrandonKravitz
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The Buckets crew has cooked up a SGP for tonight's Cavaliers vs 76ers game! 🏀 Philadelphia 76ers -3.5 - @BrandonKravitz 🏀 Tyrese Maxey 20+ Points - @BryanFonsecaNY 🏀 Donovan Mitchell 20+ Points Download the DraftKings Sports app and use code BUCKETS. The crown is yours. @DKSports
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The Buckets crew has cooked up a SGP for tonight's Cavaliers vs 76ers game! 🏀 Philadelphia 76ers -3.5 - @BrandonKravitz 🏀 Tyrese Maxey 20+ Points - @BryanFonsecaNY 🏀 Donovan Mitchell 20+ Points Download the DraftKings Sports app and use code BUCKETS. The crown is yours. @DKSports
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🏆 PATRIOTS vs BEARS NFL BEST BET 🏈 New England Patriots 1st Half +2.5 👇 Add directly to your betslip bit.ly/NFL102226D 🗣️"But I do think the basic dynamic could show up here. Early on, New England gets the benefit of McDaniels’ script, can lean into heavy personnel, and has a better chance to hide the weakened OL. As the game progresses, Chicago gets more opportunities to adjust, Williams gets more chances to create outside structure and the New England’s lack of OL depth becomes more dangerous. If the Patriots lose another lineman in-game, that obviously exacerbates the problem. That risk is naturally lower in the first half. I’m basically neutral on the full-game spread and I think the matchup gives New England a better chance to hang around early than the market is giving them credit for." -@The_Oddsmaker
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🤩 PATRIOTS vs BEARS NFL BEST BET 🏈 AJ Brown o5.5 Receptions 👇Add directly to your betslip bit.ly/NFL102226C 🗣️"In his first game this season, A.J. Brown got four targets early against the Seahawks before getting injured. After missing four games, we saw Brown return in Week 6 for an underwhelming performance. He only made three catches for 27 yards and made some bad drops — but what really matters is how he was used. The Patriots didn’t try and ease Brown back in against the Jets — he got serious work immediately. He had 10 targets, had a 33% target share, and ran routes on 91% of Drake Maye’s dropbacks. This is a guy that they are very clearly trying to get the ball and with volume, comes opportunity." -@FarleyWrites
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Action Network retweeted
🏈 NATIONAL TIGHT END DAY Tight ends scored 12 TDs last year. These are Action PRO’s top edges for Sunday. 200 ❤️ and we’ll drop the duo we’re backing to score.
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Action Network retweeted
Big money doesn't make election markets sharper... better polling does. Polls vs. prediction markets, with @HarryDCrane. Watch here 👉 youtube.com/watch?v=Rezco0fO…
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🐻 PATRIOTS vs BEARS NFL BEST BET 🏈 Caleb Williams Anytime Touchdown 👇Add directly to your betslip bit.ly/NFL102226B 🗣️"Caleb Williams scored twice in Week 1. He scrambled a couple of times in his return from injury but didn’t really need to run with the game script out of hand. The Patriots' run defense is above average, but they’ve faced a lot of stiff quarterbacks who don’t rush with the ball often, like Aaron Rodgers, Geno Smith and Kirk Cousins. When they faced mobile QBs like Josh Allen and Trevor Lawrence, both had success running against this defense. Coming off injury, Williams is still a threat to run inside the red zone. If he’s healthier, these odds are too high for his TD prop. His average anytime TD odds last year were +285." -@GDAWG5000
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🔥 PATRIOTS vs BEARS NFL BEST BET 🏈 Hunter Henry Anytime Touchdown 👇Add directly to your betslip bit.ly/NFL102226 🗣️"Hunter Henry has scored in each of the last two games and leads the Patriots in red-zone targets (5) while running nearly triple the routes of fellow TE Eli Raridon. Henry is facing a Bears defense that tends to play a bit more man coverage and two-high safety looks. That’s good for Henry, who tends to see higher target rates against those defenses. The Bears also gave up two touchdowns to Kyle Pitts last week, so look for the Patriots to try and exploit that weakness." -@GDAWG5000
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NBA favorites went 9-2 ATS last night 👀
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✅ HAWKS +2.5 The Hawks get the road win to cover the spread and cash @BrandonKravitz’s best bet!🔒
🪄 HAWKS vs MAGIC NBA BEST BET 🏀 Atlanta Hawks +2.5 👇Add directly to your betslip bit.ly/NBA102126B 🗣️"I want to pounce on market overreactions, and I think we have an incorrect price here for the Magic's home-court advantage. This line bumped from 2.5 to 3.5, likely due to Franz Wagner being upgraded — but at +3.5, this is a must-bet for me. The numbers are wrong, the injuries aren't priced in accurately, and Atlanta owns this matchup. I will gladly take the points with the Hawks." -@BrandonKravitz
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✅ DAVION MITCHELL OVER 8.5 POINTS 11 PTS for Davion Mitchell to clear his line and cash @BryanFonsecaNY’s best bet!
🐺 TIMBERWOLVES vs HEAT NBA BEST BET 🏀 Davion Mitchell o8.5 Points 👇Add directly to your betslip bit.ly/NBA102126A 🗣️"Davion Mitchell is in line for his best season yet, and should outperform this point total before too long. I think Mitchell averages 12-15 points per game in this system with space to operate alongside Giannis, who will handle the ball and kick out to shooters in this fast Heat offense. Mitchell made 39.5 percent from three on 3.3 attempts per game last year while fighting for looks with Norman Powell and Tyler Herro, among other now-former Heat players. This — on paper — is a steal to start the year." -@BryanFonsecaNY
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