Freedomphile

We finally closed the 2025 yearly candles and boy, oh boy, are they gorgeous. 😀 #Gold gained almost 65% and our beloved #silver finished just shy of a thunderous +148%, including the timely ~5% and ~10% corrections our dear Tutors delivered to both metals in the final three trading sessions of the year, courtesy of vicious, albeit predictable, margin increases. 🥲 No reason to complain or cry mama. You must understand how markets work and the incentives fueling them. If you want to play, these are the rules. We watched #PreciousMetals go through a structural repricing that confirmed what we had been positioning for since well before the crowd woke up. Both metals opened near yearly lows (Silver 28.96, Gold 2625) and closed in the upper quartiles. 😋 That is institutional accumulation, with no meaningful selling pressure until late December, except for the April Master Slam we can now recognize for what it was: a giant shakeout of weak, and not so weak, hands from the silver cake. 🤕 The market delivered its medicine brutally, liquidating countless positions with an unprecedented 20% silver collapse in just two days, just to reverse back like a banshee. We achieved extraordinary results, even by our own high standards as a community of dedicated precious metals believers. I don't know about you, but a top above $84 in silver wasn't on my scorecard, even though we often discuss eventual targets in the hundreds. When it comes to actual gains, genuine risk management, and real money, long-term projections typically accommodate more realistic intermediate figures. 😄 It is now crucial to see whether the late-December trimming was just ephemeral window dressing or more serious profit taking after the massive 2025 advance. We will soon see: if new highs are not recovered quickly, I expect some mean reversion and digestion, especially time-wise. Gold's monthly candle shows a massive upper wick, rejection from 4550, and a tiny 2.53% body gain, closing below October's high. That kind of stalling typically precedes sideways consolidation or a shallow pullback as value gets established. Silver closed well off its 84.03 high despite strong monthly gains. Expect volatility and a choppy, two-way trade as late longs get shaken out and 70.00 is tested multiple times, maybe from both sides. For Q1 2026, I am hunting for a constructive trading range in the upper quartile of the yearly candles. After a vertical move like this, I strongly prefer time dispersion over price correction. Gold will hopefully trade in the 4000 to 4500 range to digest the year's move. Silver needs to prove it can hold above Q3 breakout levels: I'm fairly confident it will, but you never truly know in markets and it's always better to examine more the hypothesis you don't like or think possible. 😉 A quarterly close below 54 would signal a failed parabolic move, but I assign an extremely low probability to that scenario. If silver consolidates sideways while retaining most of Q4’s gains, the continuation setup remains intact. 😙 In my view, the primary yearly trend remains aggressively bullish, but 2026 won't replicate 2025's linearity unless we truly run out of metal, the monetary system melts down (something we might not enjoy even as precious metals lovers), or geopolitics drags us into something even worse. 😬 I am preparing for a volatile continuation with wide ranges, where finding the floor matters more than chasing the ceiling. Those yearly wicks, Gold 4550 and Silver 84, are now my primary juicy supply targets. 🙂 A clean breakout above would hint at blow-off territory, but my base case is a few months of consolidation, while we dissipate part of the immense energy built in the glorious year of the Lord 2025, shake out latecomers and newly minted, never market-tested gold bugs, and prepare, technically and psychologically, for the next phase of the ascent into the end of the year and the decade. 🫡 We have lived together in the trenches for years, swallowing mud in the darkest moments, and we can finally celebrate something truly amazing and generational. Congratulations to all of you who made it this far. I am proud of you, and of myself. ☺️ Happy New Year. 🥳 Looking forward to 2026 with a light heart. 😌 #Commodities #Investing #SoundMoney #Inflation #MoneyPrinting