
Web3 Project Manager | Content Creator @XOMarket | Community Builder | Engineer | Former Ambassador @Ankr, @BluefinApp & @HTX_DAO | Building Web3's future.
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Joined September 2011
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I'm leaning strongly toward YES on this one. ๐ฅ
I believe there's a solid chance Papertrade makes its token transferable by the deadline. In crypto, token launches are one thing, but actual transferability is another milestone that many users look forward to. That's why this market is interesting.
Of course, timelines can shift, but I'm backing YES because I believe it's a realistic outcome. Now, the big question is whether Papertrade can deliver within the expected timeframe.
What's your take? Are we getting transferable tokens before the deadline, or will the timeline stretch? ๐
๐จ Now live on XO, with 2x Conviction Points boost!
@papertrade_xyz is a complicated primitive and the role of its token might be even more so.
When will $PAPER be transferable?
Jason and Grant Cardone have an interesting BTC bet going on: Will Bitcoin break its all-time high again before the deadline?
This is getting attention because everyone wants to see whose conviction holds up when the market does the talking. Personally, I'm not buying the hype. BTC breaking ATH before the deadline? I'm taking NO.
Interestingly, their conversation highlights exactly why prediction markets exist.
There's a platform where anyone can create a market on virtually any topic. It's called @xomarket.
And guess what? This exact BTC ATH question is already live on XO.
Why just watch Jason and Grant debate when you can take a position yourself?
Market link below ๐
๐จ Now live on XO, created by @AliHabbabeh!
There's something about a public Bitcoin conviction we all love.
@GrantCardone thinks we absolutely send.
@Jason remains skeptical.
Can $BTC hit a new ATH in the next two years?
Heard #Binance got compromised and rushed to check my account. ๐
Everything is intact. Not a single dollar missing. Even hackers saw my balance and said, "This one is not our target." ๐ญ
How to create a conviction on XO
You've been making bold predictions on X, arguing your takes, and telling everyone what you think will happen. But what if you could turn those opinions into markets and earn 20% of the trading fees they generate?
That's exactly what @xomarket lets you do with Convictions.
Here's how to go from having an opinion to launching your own market, step by step. ๐
1๏ธโฃ Sign in to XO
Head to beta.xo.market, sign in, and explore the Convictions section to see how existing markets work.
2๏ธโฃ Get your Catalyst Badge
To create a Conviction, you need to connect your X account, maintain a 10-day Peck-in streak, and earn at least 500 Conviction Points (CP).
3๏ธโฃ Fund your account
The published requirements include a $1 creation fee and a minimum $10 seed order. The seed order is your initial market position, not another fee. Budget at least $11, excluding other applicable costs.
4๏ธโฃ Create your Conviction
Select the option to create a market and turn your opinion into a clear YES/NO question.
For example: Will Bitcoin cross $120,000 before December 31, 2026?
Keep your question specific, with a clear deadline and an objectively verifiable outcome.
5๏ธโฃ Set the rules and choose your position
Use XO's AI oracle, MODRA, to help draft the market rules. Review the conditions, choose YES or NO, and place your seed order.
The published seed-order price range is $0.05โ$0.95 per share. Remember, your position carries risk, so only commit what you can afford to lose.
6๏ธโฃ Submit for review
Double-check your question, deadline, resolution source, and position before submitting. Your Conviction must pass the required review before going live.
7๏ธโฃ Share your market
Once live, share the link on X and in your communities. Explain your reasoning and invite others to take a position.
The goal isn't to make everyone agree with you. It's to create a market where people can trade their different opinions.
8๏ธโฃ Earn 20% of trading fees ๐ฐ
Here's where it gets interesting.
As a creator, you receive 20% of eligible trading fees generated by your Conviction, subject to XO's rules.
For example:
- $100 in eligible trading fees = $20 for you.
- $1,000 in eligible trading fees = $200 for you.
That's 20% of the fees collected, NOT 20% of the total trading volume.
Your earnings depend on actual trading activity and applicable fees. The more your market attracts genuine participation, the more opportunities you have to earn.
9๏ธโฃ What are CP, and how do you earn them?
CP stands for Conviction Points. They're part of XO's rewards system, separate from USDC and your creator fee earnings.
You can earn CP through eligible activities such as:
- Holding positions: Accumulate points over time on eligible open positions.
- Trading: Participate in eligible markets under the applicable reward rules.
- Referrals: Earn through qualifying referral activities.
- Special incentives: Participate in other eligible XO reward programmes.
CP accrual can depend on factors such as position size and how your position compares with market consensus. Reward rates and eligibility may change, so always check XO's latest rules.
๐ฅ What makes a good Conviction?
Ask a question people genuinely care about. Keep the outcome clear, use reliable resolution criteria, and back your opinion responsibly.
Don't create markets just to chase attention. Create questions people actually want to trade.
The bottom line?
On XO, your opinion can become more than another post on the timeline. You can turn it into a market, back your own conviction, earn a share of eligible trading fees, and collect CP through qualifying activities.
You already have the opinions. Why not turn one into a Conviction?
Can 1WIN pull in $20M+?
XO Market is asking whether the $1WIN token sale will attract more than $20M in deposits before October 30, and things are getting interesting!
YES is currently sitting at 69%, up 19%, so market confidence appears to be building.๐ฅ
Personally, I'm leaning YES because $20M is a serious target, but it's achievable if the hype translates into real demand.
With the market leaning bullish, will 1WIN deliver before the deadline, or are traders getting ahead of themselves? ๐
๐จ Now live on XO, created by @KnightPredict!
Token sales are so back with @1win from the iGaming world using it for gaming activity and buyback-burn.
With $6.3M deposited already, can the 1win token sale cross $20M?
$40M?
Bubblemaps says Kimchi didnโt make that $40M, so Iโm leaning NO on whether heโll be jailed in 2026. Thatโs a big leap from disputed claims to jail time.
Tochi created this market on @xomarket , and thatโs the interesting part: anyone can turn their take into a market on XO. Now letโs see how this one plays out.
๐จ Now live on XO, created by @oxtochi!
Since his YouTube vlog and Pump Fun partnership dropped, he's been loved, hated and everything in between.
Will Kimchi be jailed in 2026?
India putting Polymarket's X profile on hold, and now the question is: will it be back within 48 hours?
Honestly, I'm leaning NO. Government restrictions don't always get reversed overnight.
Shoutout to @skivthecreator for creating this market on @xomarket. The beauty of XO? Anyone can create a market on any topic. If people are debating it, why not put a market on it?
๐จ Now live on XO, created by @skivthecreator!
Will the @Polymarket ๐ handle be back in India?
Wait, $3,000 USDC AND 30,000 CP for trading BTC 5-minute markets? ๐ฅ
@xomarket really said, let's see who can actually read the market!
Pulse PnL Panache (PPP) is LIVE!
It's a two-week trading competition on XO's BTC 5-minute Up/Down markets, where your trading performance determines how high you climb on the leaderboard.
Here's what's at stake ๐
๐ฐ $3,000 USDC in total rewards
โก 30,000 Conviction Points (CP) up for grabs
๐ Top 10 traders take the rewards
๐ Winners are ranked by PnL (Profit and Loss).
Two weeks of BTC price action. Every decision counts. Can your market reads put you among the top 10?
I'm putting my own trading skills to the test too, and I'll be sharing my run as the competition unfolds.
Want in? Join here:
beta.xo.market/contests
BTC traders, are we cooking or getting cooked?
Who's joining me?
#XOMarket #PulsePnLPanache
Pulse PnL Panache is now live! ๐คบ
PPP is a two week trading competition on the BTC 5-minute Up/Down markets on XO.
๐ฐ $3000 USDC and 30,000 Conviction Points
๐๏ธ Top 10 participants ranked by PnL
Join now: beta.xo.market/contests
Black Monday 2.0? Bro, are we cooked or what?
Will October 19, 2026, go down as another Black Monday? Markets are still moving, and traders are watching closely to see whether today brings a historic sell-off or a surprise recovery. The clock is ticking, and the outcome is still unfolding.
My take? I'm leaning NO. Not every market scare becomes a Black Monday. Let's see how the day plays out.
What's your call? Head to @xomarket to check the market and make your prediction. Big shoutout to @KnightPredict for putting this market on the table. ๐
๐จ Now live on XO, created by @KnightPredict!
AI labs revenue shock, crude oil near $100 again, memory stocks sell off, crashes in emerging markets amidst a global supply shortage.
S&P 500: 2% off ATH.
Will 19 Oct be another Black Monday for US capital markets?
Predict.fun hitting $1B FDV in 24hrs is crazy work ngl
Predict.fun is launching, and the question is whether its FDV will be above $1B a day after launch. Hype can be crazy, but sustaining that kind of valuation that early is a different ball game.
I'm leaning NO. That's a massive valuation to hit in just 24 hours, and I'm not betting on it that quickly.
Got a different take? Go check the market and place your trade on @xomarket ๐
Shoutout to @KyleDeWriter for creating this market. Anyone on XO can turn their opinion into a market. ๐ฅ
๐จ Now live on XO, created by @KyleDeWriter!
Prediction Market tokens are becoming the talk of the speculation street.
Will @predictdotfun FDV be above $1B after launch?
bro got paid to log off for 6 MONTHS ๐ญ nah this is crazy work lmaooo
๐จ Now live on XO, created by @KierianV!
A real contractual oopsie or a great marketing stunt? The internet is divided on @shufflecom shunning @dohertyjackk.
Before GTA 6 launches, will Jack post anywhere online including his OnlyFans?
So, are we getting two more Elon posts about Ambani this October or nah?
Elon has been posting about Ambani lately, while Starlink is still waiting for government approvals to launch in India. With Reliance being a major player in India's telecom space, there's plenty to keep an eye on. The question on @xomarket is simple: Will Elon mention Ambani in at least 2 posts on X this October? Personally, I wouldn't rule it out (YES). But Elon is Elon, and nobody knows what he'll post next. Check out the market, weigh the possibilities, and make your own call!
This market was created by Skiv (@skivthecreator ). Head over to XO, check it out, and let the market speak! ๐ฅ
๐จ Now live on XO, created by @skivthecreator!
Starlink in India has become a major contention in the country with brewing ๐ drama.
Will @elonmusk mention Ambani in two separate posts this month?
โฉ๐๐๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ข๐ง๐ค โโฉ retweeted
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