🌐 The Official X of Global Election Simulator: Covering Electoral Politics Globalwide!

Joined September 2022
🇬🇧 UK General Election under an alternative vote-transfer system. globalelectionsimulator.com
2
7
2,346
We accurately predicted the swing of the rural northeast, but underestimated the magnitude of lulas gains along the coastline cities, where lula managed an insane turnout increase in young voters. globalelectionsimulator.com
64
6
1
179
19,453
Lula managed to generate a supercharged turnout in São Paulo, while Bolsonaro apparently failed to secure many vote transfers. globalelectionsimulator.com
We predicted the result of first turn, all of the gubernatorial runoff outcomes, but missed on the second turn, underestimating Lula by 10 million but getting Bolsonaro's number about right.
20
2
158
14,838
🇩🇪 2029 German Bundestag Election Projection: 🔗 globalelectionsimulator.com 🔵 AfD (Weidel, far-right) - 217 seats (29.5%) 🔵 CDU/CSU (Merz, centre-right) - 134 seats (18.3%) 🟢 Grüne (Brantner, left-wing) - 103 seats (14.0%) 🔴 SPD (Klingbeil, centre-left) - 97 seats (13.3%) 🩷 Die Linke (Schwerdtner, left-wing) - 77 seats (10.5%) ⚪️ SSW (Seidler, centre-left) - 2 seats (0.2%)
2
2
2
46
6,347
Global Election Simulator retweeted
Replying to @globalelectsim
Vocês são extremamente competentes no seu trabalho. Só que para acertarem as eleições no Brasil, é necessário criar um perfil mais adequado: Global Fraud Simulator.
5
9
246
6,190
🇮🇱 2026 Israeli Knesset Election Projection: 🔗 globalelectionsimulator.com 🔵 Likud (Netanyahu, right-wing) - 24 seats (18.0%) 🟣 Yashar (Eisenkot, centre) - 23 seats (17.4%) 🟢 Together (Bennett, centre-right) - 12 seats (9.4%) 🟢 Democrats (Golan, left-wing) - 9 seats (7.2%) 🟠 Joint List (Odeh, left-wing) - 8 seats (8.3%) 🟢 Shas (Deri, right-wing) - 8 seats (6.3%) 🟠 Otzma (Ben-Gvir, far-right) - 8 seats (6.3%) 🔵 Yisrael Beiteinu (Lieberman, right-wing) - 8 seats (6.2%) 🟢 UTJ (Goldknopf, right-wing) - 8 seats (6.1%) 🟡 RZP-Zehut (Smotrich, far-right) - 6 seats (4.9%) 🟢 Ra'am (Abbas, centre-left) - 6 seats (4.3%)
10
18
4
189
43,929
🇨🇦 Final 2026 Toronto Mayoral Election Projection: 🔗 globalelectionsimulator.com 🩷 Olivia Chow (NDP, centre-left) - 381,665 (52.7%) 🟢 Brad Bradford (NPA, centre) - 313,985 (43.3%) 📊 Margin of Error: ±2.0% 📅 October 26, 2026
2
1
12
5,879
🇺🇸 2026 North Carolina Senate Election Projection: 🔗 globalelectionsimulator.com 🔵 Cooper (Democratic) - 2,005,278 (55.5%) 🔴 Whatley (Republican) - 1,608,185 (44.5%) 📊 Margin of Error: ±2.2% 📅 October 26, 2026
2
3
25
5,478
We predicted the result of first turn, all of the gubernatorial runoff outcomes, but missed on the second turn, underestimating Lula by 10 million but getting Bolsonaro's number about right.
🇧🇷 Nailed it again! We are incredibly proud to announce that our latest election prediction was spot-on, with a margin of error of under 1%. 📌 Bookmark globalelectionsimulator.com right now, as we are bringing you 100% free, live election results for Round 2! We also have major features and a page revamp dropping over the next two weeks. ⭐️ While you wait, explore our simulators, look out for updated polling projections tomorrow, or track upcoming elections in the USA, Israel, and France!
223
57
22
1,457
85,635
Global Election Simulator retweeted
🇧🇷 The Final Battle: Certainly, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's last Battle! The END of an Era. 🔗 globalelectionsimulator.com
🇧🇷 2026 Brazilian Presidential Election Projection: 🔗 globalelectionsimulator.com 🔵 Bolsonaro (PL, right) - 58,912,959 (50.8%) 🔴 Lula (PT, left) - 56,976,138 (49.2%) ----- 🔴 Lula (PT, left) - 49,657,402 (43.0%) 🔵 Bolsonaro (PL, right) - 47,629,079 (41.2%) 🟢 Cury (Avante, centre) - 6,427,882 (5.6%) 🟣 Santos (Missão, right) - 5,129,172 (4.4%) 🩵 Caiado (PSD, centre) - 3,866,947 (3.3%) 🟠 Zema (Novo, right) - 1,276,820 (1.1%)
50
336
18
2,877
96,782
Global Election Simulator retweeted
''statistical certainty''
8
27
1
409
10,638
Tô com pena desses caras. Fazem um trabalho seríssimo no mundo inteiro, mas chegou no Bostil e conheceram a maracutaia, o jeitinho brasileiro. É DEMOCRACIA PUJANTE
BREAKING: Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) is officially re-elected to a fourth term, defying all expectations and odds and cruising to a comfortable victory. Flavio Bolsonaro supporters did not turn out in the second round, while most Cury, Santos, and Caiado supporters chose Lula. This is unprecedented in brazilian politics, as it is also the first time ALL of the polling aggregators got the result wrong, including us.
32
248
4
6,414
102,563
🇷🇸 looks like we were right in that the serbian polls were biased.
🇷🇸 The closely watched Serbian parliamentary election this Sunday brings the potential for regime change. If government-funded polls are incorrect, the Student List could win an outright majority, drawing a direct parallel to the victory of the Tisza Party in Hungary. 🔗 globalelectionsimulator.com
17
2
75
20,549
🇧🇷 BREAKING: Following a narrow victory by President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, Senator Flávio Bolsonaro refused to concede the runoff election and announced plans to seek an annulment. According to The New York Times Live Updates, the legal challenge centers on an unprecedented last-minute decision by Supreme Court Justice Cristiano Zanin to extend voting hours nationwide by two hours. The extension, requested by both campaigns due to local disruptions, created widespread confusion. Because the ruling came down minutes before the scheduled closing time, some polling places had already turned off their voting machines and could not reopen them. Four electoral lawyers interviewed by the publication called the situation unprecedented. Lawyer Priscilla Sodré Pereira characterized it as an extremely serious, critical situation. Professor Fernando Neisser of the Fundação Getulio Vargas explained that an annulment remains a legal possibility if the final margin is narrow and evidence shows that extended hours disproportionately favored one candidate's strongholds.
77
55
7
1,102
57,486
🇧🇷 2026 Tocantins Presidential Election Tabulation: 🔗 globalelectionsimulator.com 🔵 Bolsonaro (PL) - 469,321 ➡️ 467,916 (51.4%) 🔴 Lula (PT) - 404,009 ➡️ 442,962 (48.6%)
21
7
5
199
31,794
🇧🇷 2026 Brazilian 1º turno; 2º turno survey (part 2)
73%Flavio; Flavio
19%Lula; Lula
6%Cury/Santos/Caiad; Flavio
3%Cury/Santos/Caiad; Lula
9,357 votes • Final results
34
34
1
263
41,788