QB Grading/Contributing Writer for https://xitter.cf/t.co/VDmG6y35NS Bears | Cubs | Blackhawks | NIU | Illini JV WR that got scouted by a Power 4 school once NCR Truther
Dallas, TX
Joined April 2016
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1.5 years ago I built code to predict Caleb Williams' 2025 season, that code ended up being 81.7% accurate to his 2025 production.
I've tweaked that code to also run simulations based off various inputs for a team.
Here's how the NFC North turned out:
iamcogs.com/post/predicting-โฆ
There is currently 1 QB in the NFL that has taken at least 100 dropbacks with a positive EPA when facing pressure.
Top quarterbacks when pressured this season in terms of EPA/dropback (min. 100 total dropbacks):
1. Caleb Williams, +0.15
2. Bryce Young, -0.02
3. Brock Purdy, -0.06
4. Josh Allen, -0.07
5. Patrick Mahomes, -0.10
6. Drake Maye, -0.10
7. Kirk Cousins, -0.15
8. Kyler Murray, -0.18
9. Lamar Jackson, -0.21
10. Dak Prescott, -0.22
Data: @SumerSports
Not gunna lie Thursday Night Football might be my favorite prime time slot to play, leads to a stress free Sunday, which is peak football watching.
SNF and MNF I just end up clock watching and stressing about the game coming up. โ at Hebron, TX
You couldn't have scripted a better return for Caleb Williams as he put together a near perfect day against the Falcons in Week 6.
Let's take a look inside the numbers: โ at Hebron, TX
A deeper look with @iamcogs at Caleb Willaims and the Chicago Bearsโ 31-23 bounce back victory against the Falcons. windycitygridiron.com/chicagโฆ
windycitygridiron.com/chicagโฆ โ at Hebron, TX
Jonah Jackson has that wolverine blood in him! โ at Hebron, TX
#Bears Injury Report
The Chicago Bears conducted a walk-thru on Wednesday, participation is an estimation.
Officially 1/3rd the way into the season, with 1278 total snaps graded, so let's look at some accuracy metrics across graded QB's, including raw comp% and On-Target%.
We will also take a look at who's protecting the ball the best while generating big plays at a high rate.
๐งต๐งต
OnTar%
Tracks all aimed throws deemed catchable given circumstances.
- Williams shining early even more on in OnTar%, obviously the early ADOT aids things, but an area of struggle last year was in the short level, so far so good.
- Rex and Love, two natural born gunslingers.
Tyler Shough Week 6 QB Grade: Saints @ Giants
Notes:
- Solid plan against another good pass rush, good rebound game.
- Second 4 TD game in 4 weeks. (Raiders)
- Comp%/Adj%/OnTar%: 53.3%/67.9%/61.3%
- Passer Rating/TPR/PFN Grade: 99.9/108.1/73.7
More info in the link in comments.
