Islam Mohamed (@igm95) header
Islam Mohamed (@igm95) profile picture

We Must Pass The Great Filter. All views are my own. Yes that’s my real name. $IREN $NVDA $AVGO $GOOG $HOOD

49 52 18 N 119 29 38 W
Joined December 2008
Photo by Islam Mohamed (@igm95)Photo by Islam Mohamed (@igm95)Photo by Islam Mohamed (@igm95)Photo by Islam Mohamed (@igm95)Photo by Islam Mohamed (@igm95)Photo by Islam Mohamed (@igm95)Photo by Islam Mohamed (@igm95)Photo by Islam Mohamed (@igm95)Photo by Islam Mohamed (@igm95)Photo by Islam Mohamed (@igm95)
Islam Mohamed retweeted
No exaggeration, this guy might be the best interview in pro sports right now
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Islam Mohamed retweeted
⚡️The chart is not telling me teenagers suddenly lost IQ. It is telling me civilization has started consuming the cognitive substrate required to express intelligence. The hidden variable is attention. Reading, mathematics, and science all require the same underlying machinery: hold a problem in working memory, tolerate confusion, resist distraction, build a representation over time, then reason inside it. Modern childhood increasingly trains the opposite loop: stimulus → reaction → novelty → stimulus → reaction → novelty Short video, notifications, algorithmic feeds, constant task-switching, reduced long-form reading, less boredom, less unstructured thought. The brain adapts to the environment it repeatedly inhabits. So the frightening possibility is not “kids are genetically becoming stupider.” It is: we are taking perfectly capable brains and training them into cognitive shallowness during the years when attentional architecture is being built. That would explain why reading gets hit especially hard. Reading is almost pure sustained internal simulation. Nothing moves. Nothing rewards you every three seconds. You must manufacture the world inside your own head. And the pandemic looks more like an accelerant than the origin. The decline was already forming before it. COVID then removed structure, normalized screens further, damaged attendance, and widened learning gaps. The next phase may be even stranger because AI removes another layer of cognitive friction. Previously, a student who did not understand something had to wrestle with it. Now the answer can appear immediately. That is incredibly useful, but struggle itself is part of how cognition gets built. So the deepest risk is not AI making people less intelligent. It is humans progressively outsourcing the exact cognitive operations that used to develop intelligence in the first place. The civilization-level pattern would be: better tools → less cognitive friction → weaker native cognitive endurance → greater dependence on tools → even less friction That is a reflexive loop. And if it continues, you could get the strangest outcome imaginable: the most intelligent civilization in history, surrounded by the most powerful cognitive machinery ever built, while the median human becomes less able to think without it. That is what this chart makes me worry about.
Every three years the OECD, a club of mostly rich countries, releases the results of international school tests sat by 15-year-olds all across the world. Anyone who cares about the young of today should be alarmed at this year’s scores bit.ly/4zXPj6g
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Islam Mohamed retweeted
GPT-6 Astra, trained on ~100K+ NVIDIA Grace Blackwell NVLink72. From ChatGPT to o1 to Astra in 4 years. AGI has arrived. Congratulations @OpenAI team. 400K GPUs coming online next.
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Islam Mohamed retweeted
Trump: "If we were playing hardball, all we'd do is say we're going to do no trading with Canada. If we did no trading with Canada would save $90 billion."
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Islam Mohamed retweeted
Eric Prydz brought out his legendary mashup of Daft Punk’s ‘Harder, Better, Faster, Stronger’ x New Order ‘Blue Monday’ at Creamfields 🥵🤖
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Islam Mohamed retweeted
There's no fucking helping these people
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Islam Mohamed retweeted
Extremely not how it works
Trump: "We don't need their product. So if we cut off trade with that country, we just made $40 billion. You do a few countries like that, and we become a big money machine." 🙃
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this is incomprehensible to me. this is more impressive than the original solo. at least i have some dim conception of how the original was created. i have no way of understanding how someone can do this
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Every ship entering the Great Lakes goes through the Welland Canal, located fully in Canada. There’s no other option. $26.3 billion of US trade depends on it. Would be a shame if tolls skyrocketed or it was transit-taxed heavily… Thank you for your attention to this matter.
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Islam Mohamed retweeted
A big reason for the trade imbalance? We were buying oil at below market rates from Canada. We had a sweat heart deal. Take oil imports out of it and we had a trade surplus. This thing with Canada is moronic. And the people buying into Trump's bizarre misunderstanding of basic facts and economics are telling on themselves.
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
US Census Bureau data shows the average annual US goods trade deficit with Canada was about $38 billion over 2016-2025, not $60 billion. Much of the deficit is from energy imports; excluding them the US has typically run a surplus. census.gov/foreign-trade/… economics.td.com/ca-canada-us-t… ustr.gov/countries-regi…
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Islam Mohamed retweeted
babe wake up, new term just dropped
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Islam Mohamed retweeted
The bigger they are…..
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Islam Mohamed retweeted
This is ridiculous. These are terms you ask for from an enemy after defeating them in a world war. That is how the USA now treats its 'allies'. And that is why every country in its right mind wants out of the relationship.
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Islam Mohamed retweeted
This was the most interesting part of Carney's appearance this morning. Asked what changes the Americans made that were unacceptable, he gave a clear and direct answer with concrete examples. This was not a deal any PM should have signed with those auto tariffs on trucks.
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Islam Mohamed retweeted
The first time I watched Return of the Jedi, I wondered how we were supposed to believe that a gelatinous slimy mound of evil who could barely move around and wholly depended on sycophants to cater to his every whim could have possibly amassed such a fortune that he would inspire fear and be running things. I get it now.
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Islam Mohamed retweeted
Closest Image ever taken of Jupiter.😮
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Oof.
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Islam Mohamed retweeted
Local minima are extremely rare in high dimensional spaces, so if you ever feel stuck in a rut it’s probably just because you aren’t considering a wide enough set of orthogonal options
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Islam Mohamed retweeted
Ludwig von Mises sat down in 1920 and published a paper that ended the intellectual case for socialism, even if the socialists took another seven decades to notice. The argument was precise. Mises showed that without private ownership of the means of production, there are no real prices for capital goods. Without prices, you cannot calculate profit and loss. Without profit and loss, economic planners have no way of knowing whether they are creating value or destroying it. They are flying blind, spending real resources with no feedback mechanism telling them whether the factory, the railway, or the grain depot was worth building. Every allocation becomes a guess dressed up as a decree. This, he called the Socialist Calculation Problem, and nobody answered it. Oskar Lange tried in 1936, proposing that socialist planners could simulate prices by trial and error. Mises read this and was unimpressed (charitably put). Lange assumed you could reproduce the function of market prices without the institution that generates them: private property, genuine exchange, real skin in the game. You cannot fake the signal and expect accurate information. The Soviet Union spent seventy years proving Mises right. Chronic shortages, misallocated steel, surplus winter boots in Georgia in July, famine engineered by committees convinced they understood grain supply better than the price system. The USSR collapsed in 1991 under the weight of precisely the inefficiencies Mises predicted in Vienna in 1920. You are watching this play out again today, every time a government sets energy prices, rent ceilings, or pharmaceutical price caps, and then expresses shock at the resulting shortages. The calculation problem did not expire with the Soviet Union. Bureaucrats who override price signals recreate the same blindness Mises identified. Mises told you exactly what would happen.
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