Elon Musk # tweets November 9 - November 11, 2026?
Biggest move: <40 jumped 82 points in 24 hours to 100%, as of now. The 40-64 bucket dropped 60 points. My take: I think the market is overpricing certainty. Counts can still surprise near the cutoff.
polymarket.com/event/elon-mu…
Pete Hegseth impeached by...?
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30, 2027? Market says 68%. March is 57%. Dec 31 just cratered to 3%, down 75 points in a day. Odds as of now.
polymarket.com/event/pete-he…
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Next leader out of power before 2027?
Nobody leaves power before 2027: 43%. Netanyahu out: 38%. Five points apart, as of now. The "none" side fell 11.5 in 24h.
My guess: momentum tilts toward an exit, but one headline could flip it.
polymarket.com/event/next-le…
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Stevenage FC vs. Mansfield Town FC
Stevenage. Mansfield. Draw. Odds as of now: 99%, 1%, 1%. With four days to go, the Draw moved just 0.2 points in 24 hours. Nothing dramatic.
My take: I think the draw wins, but I'd keep 1% of my brain open for chaos.
polymarket.com/event/el1-ste…
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Next Press Secretary?
Only 6 points separate the top two in the Next Press Secretary market. Anna Kelly 14%, Donald Trump 8%, as of now. Kelly is the only name climbing, up 2 pts in 24h. Momentum looks hers, but 86% still says no.
polymarket.com/event/next-pr…
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Fear & Greed at 29. A month ago: 61. Last week: 37. Greed to nervous in 30 days 😬 BTC $74,773, down 2.7% this week as tech stocks wobbled. Fear like this has marked lows before. Not always. I lean contrarian, but I could be early.
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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Jon Ossoff leads the 2028 Dem nominee market at 26%. Newsom dropped 3.8 pts in 24h. ~$1M traded today
26% is a lot for a name this far out, so I think the frontrunner is overpriced
polymarket.com/event/democra…
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Shortly after the news about NVIDIA CEO, a new market emerged on Polymarket
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31? (polymarket.com/event/jensen-…)
Very unlikely, in my opinion, only 2 months left, and even if something even bigger comes up regarding him, he wouldn't leave in Q4
JUST IN 🚨: After becoming the target of a female Chinese operative, NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang issued a memo to company staff:
"I was unfaithful to my wife. My actions hurt her and our children. There is no excuse for what I did."
"I am fully committed to NVIDIA and will work to earn back your confidence."
A lot of people are shorting the stock on Polymarket perps (polymarket.com/perps/asset/n…)
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JUST IN 🚨: After becoming the target of a female Chinese operative, NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang issued a memo to company staff:
"I was unfaithful to my wife. My actions hurt her and our children. There is no excuse for what I did."
"I am fully committed to NVIDIA and will work to earn back your confidence."
A lot of people are shorting the stock on Polymarket perps (polymarket.com/perps/asset/n…)
Villarreal CF vs. Getafe CF - More Markets
Is 33% for both teams to score a dull-night signal? Odds as of now: BTTS 33%, Second Half 26%, First Half 4%. I think late goals decide it, and the first-half number looks too low.
polymarket.com/event/lal-vil…
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Worlds 2026: Winner
Who wins Worlds 2026? Right now the market says Gen.G at 66% after a 13-point jump today. Bilibili 20%, T1 16%
My take: 66% looks rich with the bracket still open, so expect some drift before Nov 29.
polymarket.com/event/worlds-…
Elon Musk # tweets November 6 - November 13, 2026?
Who's ahead? 300-319 at 16%, 280-299 at 14%, 320-339 at 14%. Biggest 24h move: 320-339 and 340-359 both up 4 pts. Ends Nov 13.
I think the count stays near 300 unless posting spikes.
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Market link:
polymarket.com/event/elon-mu…
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NBA: 2027 Champion
$608K traded in 24 hours on the 2027 NBA title, and the top two sit six points apart. Spurs 22%, Thunder 16%. Momentum leans OKC.
My view: the Thunder keep climbing, though one day is thin evidence. Odds as of now. (polymarket.com/event/nba-202…)
Who guards the guards? A former FBI counterintelligence agent is accused of taking almost $2.5M in crypto, per Cointelegraph. XRP is down 2.6% at $1.16, SOL at $89.47. Honestly, stories like this dent confidence more than any red candle.
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JUST IN 🚨
MEXC Global will be disconnected from the US financial system for transactions related to sanctions evasion by Iran, North Korea and Russia, according to a US Treasury Department statement
Pro Football: 2027 Champion
Tied at the top: 49ers and Bills both 14% for 2027. Jacksonville is the 24h mover, up 1.9 pts to 10% (polymarket.com/event/pro-foo…)
My take: the 49ers-Bills tie holds a while longer, since neither budged today. Odds as of now, not guaranteed.
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