
Time@Mode analysis via Discord đź’ą| TradingView chartist | Called each cycle top and bottom in #BTC since 2015 in real time.
Joined March 2014
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10 years of timestamped calls.
Every link verifiable.
3 BTC cycles, equities, commodities, macro.
👇
Seeing "$CHIP pumped on a buyback"... USDAI bought ~$1M of it, once. The token itself has no buyback, burn or payout, it's governance-only and holders get zero revenue. Meanwhile about 10x that just went out to claimants with no lockup, so I'd treat the pump as a one-off.
Ivan Labrie retweeted
4 data leaks reported today:
1. Coinbase's vendor Amplitude exposed some users’ contact data (funds unaffected).
2. Bithumb (Korea) had user data leaks.
In TradFi, two securities firms in Korea leaked data:
3. Mirae Asset
4. Daishin Securities
You can't prevent a leak, but you can protect yourself.
Leaked exchange data (names, emails, phone numbers, addresses, ID documents, transaction history) is mostly used for phishing, SIM swapping, and social engineering.
Reduce info you share
- Use a unique email alias for each exchange (SimpleLogin, Apple Hide My Email, etc). A leak then can't be linked to your other accounts, and you can spot which service leaked.
- Share only what's required. Don't add optional profile details.
- Use a dedicated phone number (a VoIP or secondary SIM) for exchange accounts if you can, since leaked numbers are the main route to SIM swaps.
Lock down the account
- Use a unique, long password from a password manager.
- Turn on hardware security keys (YubiKey) or passkeys, or at least an authenticator app.
- Avoid SMS 2FA.
- Enable withdrawal address whitelisting and a withdrawal time lock if the exchange offers them.
- Set up an anti-phishing code, which puts a code you choose in every legitimate email from the exchange.
- Review active sessions and API keys regularly. Delete any API keys you don't use.
- Restrict API keys to withdraw-disabled and IP-whitelisted.
Defend against
- SIM swapping: Ask your carrier to add a port-out PIN or number lock.
- Phishing and impersonation: Assume anyone who contacts you about your account, "security issues," or "refund recovery" is a scammer, even if they know your name, balance, or recent trades.
- Exchange support staff don't ask for your password, 2FA codes, or seed phrase.
- Never click links in emails or texts. Go to the site yourself.
- "Wrench attacks": Leaked addresses plus holdings data have led to real-world extortion and robberies. Don't publicize your holdings, and keep large balances out of anything tied to your home address if you can.
If a breach is announced
1. Change the exchange password and any other account that reused it.
2. Check haveibeenpwned.com for your email address.
3. Revoke API keys and active sessions.
4. Review recent withdrawals and security settings.
5. Watch for phishing emails and texts that reference the breach, because scammers move fast after one.
Stay SAFU! 🙏
This idea is as retarded as this comment in the thread...
Your Discord messages could soon show up on Google.
Starting in mid-December, Discord will let public messages from “Discoverable” servers be indexed by Google and other search engines, per TC.
It’s on by default for adult users in the US and most countries
It’s off by default in the EU, UK, Canada, Brazil, Australia and South Korea
Only public channels in Discoverable servers are included, not private servers or DMs
Usernames and avatars won’t appear next to indexed messages
Messages sent before the rollout won’t be indexed
Everyone's quoting Musk that debt markets have "shut off" for AI. It's narrower than that... it's unsecured GPU names and neoclouds, many the same crowd that burned capital in Bitcoin mining. Meta is selling $37.5B of stock for its build, the indebted ones get bought for pennies.
**[1/5]** Fed Wednesday, then GOOGL and MSFT after the close.
Thursday: Q3 GDP, Sept PCE, claims, then AMZN and COIN.
Friday: XOM, CVX, ECI, Chicago PMI, and the October monthly close.
With a hold priced, Warsh on December is what I'm watching.
**[4/5]** ETH: weekly closed 2,326.47 Bitstamp, under the 2,400 floor, inside the 2,080-2,385 support region.
Quarterly bullish above 1,741.80. 2,400 back on a weekly close is the repair.
**[5/5]** Full brief: ivanlabrie.substack.com/p/mo…
Free month of Laboratory, no card: ivanlabrie.netlify.app/trial
Ivan Labrie retweeted
Replying to @rrwilliams
For folks who are wondering, this has nothing to do with Ethereum crypto currency. Its about Exponential Time Hypothesis (ETH). Don't panic sell your crypto lol.
The September-top call is back, a month late.
$SPX closed its 5th weekly bar at 7,623.68, under the 7,641.70 weekly mode. The weekly signal from August ran out of time without reaching 7,881.
A weekly close back above 7,641.70 and I'm early again.
The September signal is still technically live with a target at 8,105.87, but I give it a low chance. Fed Wednesday, monthly close Friday.
Full walkthrough, with the daily targets and the oil lag: youtu.be/ejLGEBxjFWs
Ivan Labrie retweeted
Replying to @tayvano_
We understand your concerns about the potential risks this incident poses to our customers, and we take them seriously.
The leaked key could potentially allow an attacker to create counterfeit devices that pass our device verification process. To address this risk, we’ve taken the following measures:
Devices delivered before October 20, 2026: According to our investigation, these devices were delivered before the incident, and their authenticity can still be verified through our device verification process.
Devices received after October 20, 2026: We cannot completely rule out the possibility that devices using the old authentication key could be counterfeit, even if they pass verification. We urge customers who received devices after this date to contact us at [email protected] for assistance in verifying their device’s authenticity before using it.
Existing inventory: We’ve suspended shipments because our current inventory contains devices provisioned with the old authentication key. All 18,835 affected devices will be destroyed and will not be sold or shipped.
New orders: Preorders are now available, and devices provisioned with the new authentication key are expected to ship within 4–6 weeks.
We recognize the responsibility we have to protect our customers and the wider community. We’re taking these steps to address the risks associated with this incident and strengthen our device authentication process. We sincerely apologize for the concern this has caused.
Ivan Labrie retweeted
This week demonstrated that global sovereign duration can rally despite resilient economic activity and persistent inflation risks when financial-market uncertainty generates sufficient demand for safe assets. This is far from over
OFF. 📉🫡. Have a great w/e legends!
Ivan Labrie retweeted
Everyone who keeps sharing these short interest charts is missing the flows behind them. Most shops are not taking outright short bets. This is another effort to ease margin requirements across the street: banks providing balance sheet for more speculative bets are asking clients to post more short exposure.
The sequence on the street looks like this:
HF manager: “I want more margin.”
Bank: “Things look risky in public AI bets, and we’re already lending a lot against private AI bets. For some clients, we’ll extend more financing, but only if they add more short exposure to improve their collateral scores.”
HF manager: “Okay, I’ll short more stock against my main bet.”
That is how you end up with short exposures that look astronomically high while many end users remain heavily long tech. The additional shorts are supporting the financing of their main bets.
Which also tells the bigger story on why raw equity financing rates haven’t blown out the way they did ahead of the big SpaceX IPO in June, despite the fact that lending is slowing.
[1/8] Monday I said META and TSLA Wednesday night would show how the AI build is being paid for.
META's print was the week's one shift. Capex ran at 106.5% of operating cash flow and FCF was -$2.12B.
First week the buyer half of this build is on file reaching for outside money.
[7/8] BTC closed over 83.7k once, on 10/21, and lost it the next day. Third week without the repair.
ETH closed under 2,400 and traded to ~2,350.
SPX closed the week under 7,641.70, the first weekly close under it since the 9/25 signal.
[8/8] Full review: ivanlabrie.substack.com/p/we…
Free month of Laboratory, no card: ivanlabrie.netlify.app/trial
















