Kaur Parve retweeted
As a recent paper shows, both influence and coercion mathematically reduce the value of a consensus. Using Bayes’ theorem, the researchers found that, without freedom to dissent, an expert consensus can easily form around a false idea. mindmatters.ai/2021/05/conse…
Temp decrease by 1°C: risk for URTI +4.3%, for common cold +2.1%, for pharyngitis +2.8%. for LRTI +2.1%.
Abs humidity decrease by 1 g/m3: risk for URTI +10.0%, for pharyngitis +10.8%! sciencedirect.com/science/ar…
A piece of research published in 2021 with absolutely elegant methodology and deserving a lot more attention. sciencedirect.com/science/ar…
Kaur Parve retweeted
It's a common belief that cattle cause ecological destruction.
So common that Allan Savory, whose grazing framework has been used to regenerate 40 million acres, once held this belief.
That is, until he came across the work of a little-known Frenchman
How Bad Is China’s Covid Outbreak? It’s a Scientific Guessing Game. (NYT)
By the weather data in Beijing and Shanghai - it must be pretty bad from early Dec. It had incubated 2 previous seasons, it could spread without causing symptoms in summer and now exploded in Sep-Oct.
Some relief can be forecasted from the coming week, more significantly for Shanghai, sadly a bit less for Beijing. timeanddate.com/weather/chin….
1/n Changes in absolute humidity triggering the waves of illness.
AH in the air has dropped from our summer level (10-12 g/kg) to the winter level (~2-3 g/kg). Like last autumn, respiratory diseases fill the hospitals by the changes of AH below or above its level of adaptation.
Air humidity driving hospitalization. Estonian data on graph. Similar to previous seasons.
xitter.gq/kparve/status/16026346…
Attn: @VPrasadMDMPH @Johnincarlisle @DrAseemMalhotra @DrJBhattacharya
@PeterSweden7 @MartinKulldorff @FatEmperor
7/n The lower AH is before and after the drop, the less vulnerable age groups become affected. Inability to rehydrate and adapt to the dropping humidity may be among the key causes of complications for the most fragile ones.







