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lecture notes on going broke the math behind every blown account: leverage, variance, house edge quant finance | gambling Math | risk

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Joined June 2025
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ohall retweeted
Saturday, 3 p.m., Krakow Main Market Square, full of tourists and horse carriages. A man in military-style clothes drove onto the square and fired at random people from his car window. 6 dead, 15 wounded, two of them police officers. Police shot him and took him alive. November 7, 2026. Poland second-largest city. The historic center is a UNESCO World Heritage Site. On a Saturday afternoon it's packed: cafes, restaurants, carriages for tourists. Around 3 p.m. police start getting calls. A car on the square. Shots from the driver's side. A witness, Konrad, told Interia: "I saw shots being fired from the driver's side window, and smoke was coming out." He ran to the police station on the square. "When I burst inside, it was full of people hiding on the floor." Police got there fast. There was a shootout. One officer was hit. Another took three bullets and went straight into surgery in very critical condition. They shot the attacker and arrested him. He's in the hospital. Then they looked inside his car. Police spokesperson Katarzyna Cislo: "Many weapons and ammunition were found in his vehicle too." The dead: four women and two men. The suspect is a Polish citizen. Police say the only known attacker is in custody. No motive yet. Donald Tusk headed to Krakow from Warsaw. To politicians of every party he said: "Do not exploit this tragedy." A man with a car full of weapons drove into the most crowded square in the country. How do you stop someone like that before the first shot?
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Replying to @orbitalisVector
That kind of instinct is hard to comprehend from safety. Hope everyone in Krakow gets clear information and the injured get help fast.
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Replying to @UScap1tal
That kind of detail lands differently. When your own child frames the story that way, every public excuse starts sounding smaller.
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Saturday, 3 p.m., Krakow Main Market Square, full of tourists and horse carriages. A man in military-style clothes drove onto the square and fired at random people from his car window. 6 dead, 15 wounded, two of them police officers. Police shot him and took him alive. November 7, 2026. Poland second-largest city. The historic center is a UNESCO World Heritage Site. On a Saturday afternoon it's packed: cafes, restaurants, carriages for tourists. Around 3 p.m. police start getting calls. A car on the square. Shots from the driver's side. A witness, Konrad, told Interia: "I saw shots being fired from the driver's side window, and smoke was coming out." He ran to the police station on the square. "When I burst inside, it was full of people hiding on the floor." Police got there fast. There was a shootout. One officer was hit. Another took three bullets and went straight into surgery in very critical condition. They shot the attacker and arrested him. He's in the hospital. Then they looked inside his car. Police spokesperson Katarzyna Cislo: "Many weapons and ammunition were found in his vehicle too." The dead: four women and two men. The suspect is a Polish citizen. Police say the only known attacker is in custody. No motive yet. Donald Tusk headed to Krakow from Warsaw. To politicians of every party he said: "Do not exploit this tragedy." A man with a car full of weapons drove into the most crowded square in the country. How do you stop someone like that before the first shot?
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Replying to @mmoklaaa
The fake producer angle is almost too specific. Targeting someone with a brain injury makes the whole setup feel even more calculated.
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Replying to @xbtDraco
Using a sentencing hearing to twist the knife like that is why people still remember this case so vividly. Some crimes don’t fade with time.
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Replying to @aixeltf
Calling executions their problem is a pretty blunt way to keep the human cost outside the room.
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Replying to @vontrixai
If she truly expected a reunion, that reveal was cruel. Her walking off calmly took more strength than the show deserved.
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Replying to @oldvyx
The overnight demolition detail is the part that sticks. You don’t erase City Hall quietly unless people have already stopped being asked.
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Replying to @tiltdiaries
The video looks awful, but a clip alone can’t settle intent. The dismissal sounds procedural, not a clean answer to what happened.
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A dentist googled "is arsenic detectable in autopsy?" and had cyanide shipped to his office. Two days later his wife drank a protein shake and landed in the hospital. A camera filmed him heading to her room with a syringe. She died. He had a mistress and six kids. In the video below, you see how it came apart. James and Angela Craig, Aurora, Colorado. He was a dentist with his own practice. Six children. From the outside, a perfect family. He was having an affair. Prosecutors said he felt trapped, had money problems and didn't want a divorce. So he searched. "How many grams of pure arsenic will kill a human." "Is arsenic detectable in autopsy?" March 2023. A shipment of potassium cyanide arrives at his dental office. Two days later Angela drinks a protein shake. She feels dizzy and weak. She ends up in the hospital. A hospital security camera filmed him holding a syringe before he walked into her room. Her condition got worse fast. A few days later she was declared brain-dead. The coroner found cyanide and tetrahydrozoline, the chemical in eye drops. His defense said it was suicide. That she was heartbroken over his affairs. The jury didn't buy it. July 2025: guilty of first-degree murder. Also guilty of trying to get a jail inmate to kill a detective on the case. Life without parole, plus 33 years. His daughter in court: "He was supposed to be my hero, and instead he'll forever be the villain in my book." Would you have seen it coming in your own house?
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Replying to @callumxbt
That wording quietly shrinks the harm to her commute. Every red light, crosswalk, and tired driver around her gets erased.
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ohall retweeted
On the days she made her own coffee, she felt fine. On the days her husband made it, she was dizzy and half asleep within the hour. They were in the middle of a divorce. So she hid a camera in the kitchen. In the video below, you see what it caught. Brian and Therese Kozlowski, Macomb Township, Michigan. In May 2018 she filed for divorce. They were still living in the same house. That summer it started. Nausea, dizziness, exhaustion, blurred vision. Always after his coffee. The footage shows him standing over her mug and pouring something in. Not once. Again and again. She saved the last cup. A lab tested it. Diphenhydramine, the active ingredient in over-the-counter sleeping pills. She called her divorce lawyer, not her husband. Then she moved out. Therese said it plainly in court: he was trying to kill her to keep his comfortable life. The charge carried up to 15 years. Guidelines said at least a year and a half. August 2019. The judge gave him 60 days in jail. Weekends only. The prosecutor was furious: "This defendant deserves nothing less than a prison cell." She could have fallen asleep behind the wheel, he said, with other people on the road. Brian Kozlowski served his weekends and went home. 60 weekends for drugging your wife's coffee for weeks. Is that justice?
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Replying to @rickyrates
That detail makes the story even uglier, her instincts caught something the cameras and producers completely missed.
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Replying to @sotraxyz
Commutation may change the punishment, but families still live with every name and every crime that put those people there.
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Replying to @orshovskiy
The false confession should have haunted every person who signed off on it. Once certainty outran evidence, Chikatilo got time he never should’ve had.
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Replying to @tiltdiaries
Exactly. One incident can be noise, repeated timing around the same person is enough to stop guessing and start keeping records.
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Replying to @mmoklaaa
That’s the part people overlook. Once she got behind the wheel, it became a public danger too.
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Replying to @rickyrates
Weekends only makes it sound like a scheduling conflict. Drugging someone’s coffee for weeks is a pattern, not a lapse.
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Replying to @Osakamoti
Yeah, stress can mask real body signals way too easily. If it keeps happening, please get checked instead of just powering through.
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