I write on politics, history, culture; also a speechwriter. All my stuff is at https://xitter.cf/t.co/tzvJM7XpLX

Makati City
Joined April 2007
"Out from some timeless wintry fog shambled the hairy old beast - history - big with memories." --Simon Schama, on Churchill's funeral.
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Bill Gates predicts a massive number of people will reject AI and choose to "live like the Amish."
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🇰🇷🇵🇭 | 10 warships are currently under construction in HD Hyundai Heavy Industries, including the @Philippine_Navy's remaining Offshore Patrol Vessels (OPV) and the 3rd 3,200-ton Miguel Malvar-class Frigate. The 3rd and 4th 3,200-ton Frigates are expected to be delivered in 2029.
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There is nothing more fascinating than watching someone stubbornly defend a delusion simply because reality doesn't match their expectations. Appearing on The Graham Norton Show, Rowan Atkinson shared a hilarious encounter at a Land Rover parts department where a stranger pulled him aside to inform him that he was the "spitting image" of Mr. Bean. When Atkinson gently explained that he was, in fact, the actor who plays the character, the stranger didn't believe him growing increasingly annoyed and convinced that Atkinson was just a delusional imposter going around impersonating him. ​It’s a perfect reminder of how human psychology works. People don't judge situations by the facts in front of them, they judge them by the narrative already locked inside their heads. When reality contradicts a preconceived script, most people won't update their worldview they'll just assume reality is lying to them.
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Your grandparents probably have a little round scar on their upper arm from the smallpox vaccine. Nobody gets that shot anymore, because 49 years ago this week the disease caught its last person in the wild, a 23-year-old cook who hopped in a stranger's car to give directions. His name was Ali Maow Maalin, and he worked in the kitchen at a hospital in Merca, Somalia. A driver pulled up one day looking for an isolation camp, with two sick kids in the back seat. Ali got in to point the way. He'd never been properly vaccinated, even though the hospital was supposed to cover all its staff, so that short ride was enough. About ten days later he came down with a fever. Doctors told him it was malaria, then chickenpox, and by the time anyone realized what he really had, the last wild smallpox on the planet had been walking around a port town for days. The eradication team tracked down every person he'd been near and vaccinated all of them. Nobody else got sick, including every patient he'd been cooking for. Then the world held its breath for two years. WHO put up a cash reward for anyone who could find one more case, and nobody ever did. In May 1980 they made it official, and smallpox became the first human disease ever wiped off the face of the earth. And this thing was enormous. Smallpox killed around 300 million people in the 1900s alone, more than both World Wars combined. 9/11 killed 2,977. In 1967, the year the final push started, smallpox killed about 2 million, which is like losing nearly two 9/11s every day, all year long, to one virus. The whole global campaign cost about $300 million over 12 years. The US earns back everything it put in every 26 days, just in vaccines it never has to give again. Wall Street would kill for that kind of return. Good news like this is easy to miss because it shows up as funerals that slowly stop happening, spread across years, in places most of us will never visit. Nobody pins a date on that. The records can't even agree whether Ali's rash appeared on October 26 or the 27th. Ali spent the rest of his life going door to door in Somalia, vaccinating kids against polio. He died of malaria in 2013, out in the middle of a polio campaign, still trying to help the world wipe out a second one.
I’ve asked this before but is there any historical event that is like the Opposite of 9/11. Like something so good that happened that it changed the world forever
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You know how Brazil reversed deforestation. It wasn’t a bunch of conservation tax incentives for farmers. IBAMA (Brazil’s equivalent of the EPA) airdrops shock troops to firebomb illegal logging and mining camps. Yanuni (2026)
UPDATED – Analysis: Lula presidency saved at least 20,000km2 of Brazilian Amazon since 2022 ✍️ By Orla Dwyer and Josh Gabbatiss Read here: buff.ly/QqRBFfy
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It’s an ungodly amount of reading and no easy A. So why are freshmen lining up to get into Humanities 10? on.wsj.com/4iIxhOF
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Fun fact about this part of Pope Leo's life. He learned addiction ministry from Fr. Bill Stenzel. A few years later, Fr. Stenzel was mentoring another future world leader doing organizing on the South Side: a young Barack Obama.
The year a future pope ministered to people with drug and alcohol addictions.
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People in Tokyo found $29 million in cash lying around last year and walked it to the police. That's a record, and it's the fourth year in a row they've set one. Japan figured out how to make that happen on purpose. It's also why an Apple store there can leave a brand new iPhone sitting loose on a table with a crowd of strangers all around it. The trick is that Japanese law pays you to be honest. Turn in a lost wallet and you're entitled to 5 to 20% of what it's worth when the owner picks it up. If nobody claims it within three months, the whole thing is yours. Of that ¥4.5 billion, about ¥3.2 billion made it back to the people who lost it. A law professor at Michigan, where I went to school, actually tested this back in 2003. Mark West dropped wallets and phones around Tokyo and New York on purpose and counted how many came back. In Tokyo, 80% of the wallets and 88% of the phones got turned in, while New York managed about 10% and 6%. West put most of it down to the law and the habits it drills into kids from a young age. Then there's the koban. Japan has around 6,000 of these tiny police boxes, so when you find something there's almost always one a short walk away. They hold the item for a month in case the owner comes back looking, then ship it to a central lost and found that logs everything into a database anyone can search. A New York City Council report back in 2007 basically called the city's version a dead end. My favorite stat is the umbrellas. Tokyo residents turned in 338,000 lost umbrellas in one year. About 1% ever got back to their owner, because who goes to the police over a $3 umbrella? People kept bringing them in anyway. And they leave money on the table all the time. Last year ¥700 million, roughly $4.5 million, went to the Tokyo government because the owner never showed up and the finder never came back to collect it. That's cash strangers could've legally pocketed, and they just never came back for it. West did point out the catch if you want to copy this. A lost and found this good eats up a ton of police time, and Japan can spare it because its murder rate is one of the lowest on earth. So that untethered iPhone is sitting on top of a law from 1882 and a police force with enough free time to chase down your wallet.
The biggest culture shock I've experienced so far is that the Apple store in Japan doesn't lock any devices to the table
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Interesting. I've long believed the Philippines, too, is stuck in a circular road to nowhere, because of the way the constitution can't be amended.
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My column today looks at runoff elections and what lessons, if any, Brazil has to teach us.
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Using the old Anthem representing the Catholic Portuguese Brazil triumphing over the alien American Protestant Brazil.
O Hino da Independência mds, o Lula reencarnação de D Pedro II #Fantástico
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John Milton coined ‘sensuous’ so that he wouldn't have to use ‘sensual.’ ‘Sensual’ usually describes gratification of the senses or physical appetites as an end in itself. ‘Sensuous,’ on the other hand, usually implies pleasing of the senses by art or similar means.
Who is inventing words like John Milton these days? He gave us pandemonium, sensuous AND complacency, truly a generational run
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The opening paragraph to AJP Taylor's "The Course of German History" remains my absolute favourite start to a history book. Nobody's ever hit this hard right off the bat before
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Lula's victory is deeply personal for me. Above all, I feel relief: Brazil has prevented the far right from returning to the presidency, alongside a strengthened right in Congress. But the result also exposes challenges facing democracies far beyond Brazil. 1/....
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Curtam aí o mapa de como o Lula fez esse verdadeiro milagre eleitoral. Aqui temos na imagem a diferença de votos entre 1 e 2 turno. Foi algo descomunal! Lula aumentou sua votação em mais de 10,1 milhões de votos enquanto Flavio Bolsonaro subiu apenas 3,6 milhões de votos. Não gosto do Janones, mas sou obrigado a concordar que ele fez um trabalho sensacional. Outro que merece parabéns é o Alckmin, foram 2,1 milhão de votos a mais no interior de SP em relação ao primeiro turno. (e mais 500 mil na capital, fechando os 2,6 milhões de votos a mais no estado de SP) E outro dado, pra mim o mais ABSURDAMENTE improvável do segundo turno: NULOS E BRANCOS foram 1.822.029 a MENOS que no primeiro turno!!! (aqui os votos foram praticamente todos pro Lula) E tiveram 2.936.573 de eleitores a mais nas urnas no segundo turno, com a queda da abstenção! (e não esse número não foi só pro Lula, aposto em praticamente 50% pra cada um)
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I've been reading analyses on what the Lula campaign did in the last three weeks to win. One of the most effective things they did was to convince people who are already on Lula's side to actually go out and vote. Resulted in a massive voter turn out. Tapos dito, "elections do not change things" ang messaging ng ibang grupo. Lol.
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Amidst the relieved celebrations, it was a close-run thing: the Right won the first round, just not by enough, allowing others to recover and make a last-ditch recovery. But the next election? It will be post-Lula while the Right's anointed is relatively young.
A virada de Lula sobre o 1º turno vem sobretudo do Sudeste: metade do ganho, puxado por SP (+3,8 p.p.) e RJ (+4,4). O Nordeste, base de Lula, contribui menos (+1,5 a +2,6): lá quase não houve voto em outros candidatos no 1º turno (~5%), então sobra pouco para transferir.
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The two most famous lines, does your dog bite, and, that is not my dog.😆
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This paper answers why can’t you remember being a baby? For over a century, science said you can't remember being a baby because your infant brain was just too "immature" to record anything. researchers assumed your hard drive was basically turned off for the first two years of life. But this wild paper from Yale completely rewrites how we understand human memory.. Researchers literally put awake babies (between 4 and 25 months old) into an fMRI scanner to watch their brains process new visual experiences in real-time. and what they found is mindblowing.. the infant hippocampus isn't turned off at all. it is actively firing, capturing, and encoding episodic memories. they proved that babies with higher hippocampal activity during a new experience formed a highly stable memory trace. the babies are recording the data. the memory of your first birthday, your first steps, the exact layout of the room you slept in.. it was all successfully saved to your brain. so why can't you remember it? the paper concludes that infantile amnesia isn't an "encoding" problem.. it is a "retrieval" problem. your brain recorded everything perfectly. but as you grew, your brain underwent massive developmental shifts, like explosive neurogenesis (the rapid birth of new neurons), which completely restructured your neural networks. the pathways to access those early files got buried or locked away. you didn't fail to make the memories.. you just lost the encryption key to open them. somewhere deep in your hippocampus, the exact first-person memory of being a 1-year-old might still be sitting there. you just can't access the file anymore.. the human brain is terrifyingly beautiful.
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