Jaren⸆⸉ ✨❤️‍🔥

Texas has had TWO 1,000-year rain events AND several 500-year rain events in the past 2 days. The 1,000-year rain events were those that hit west of Georgetown and Austin on Saturday morning AND that which struck west of Kerrville (and impacted the girls' camp). But we can't forget the MANY areas that saw 500-year rain events, including just north of San Angelo, where 6 to 12 inches of rain fell. A thousand-year rain event doesn't mean something that happens only once every thousand years. Instead, it's about PROBABILITY. On average, a rainstorm THIS intense – with this much rain in such a short window of time – should happen about once every thousand years. In other words, there's a 0.1% chance of it happening any given year. Our infrastructure is rarely designed to handle a thousand-year rain event. We usually plan for a hundred-year rain event... or one that has a 1% chance of happening any given year. Why did this happen? Last Monday, Tropical Storm Barry made landfall in Tamaulipas, Mexico, and brought considerable moisture ashore. That tropical moisture wafted north into Texas. Since then, subtle small-scale features have helped kick off scattered thunderstorms. Those storms then blossom into an incredibly souped-up air mass with extreme tropical moisture. That's made for 3 inch per hour rainfall rates and slow-moving downpours.