Nikolai (@nikolaihack) header
Nikolai (@nikolaihack) profile picture

2x dad | 2x founder | 1x exit Building & writing about offline 2.0: local, decentralized, in-person products, communities and experiences. Techno-optimist ๐Ÿš€

Joined December 2021
Photo by Nikolai (@nikolaihack)Photo by Nikolai (@nikolaihack)Photo by Nikolai (@nikolaihack)Photo by Nikolai (@nikolaihack)Photo by Nikolai (@nikolaihack)Photo by Nikolai (@nikolaihack)Photo by Nikolai (@nikolaihack)Photo by Nikolai (@nikolaihack)Photo by Nikolai (@nikolaihack)Photo by Nikolai (@nikolaihack)
This could never happen in a communist society, or in the regulations and tax obsessed EU. This is Total American Capitalist Victory.
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Left: German Nazis executing a Jewish woman with her child in Ivanhorod, 1942. Right: Palestinian Nazis executing a Jewish woman in Kibbutz Alumim, October 7, 2023. โ€œNever Againโ€ is now.
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Nikolai retweeted
Never forget the Bibas Family. ๐Ÿ’”๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Kidnapped from their home 3 years ago on October 7th 2023. Held hostage in Gaza. Then killed in โ€œcold bloodโ€ by their captors. This is what โ€˜Free Palestineโ€™ activists mean when they call for Palestinian โ€˜resistance.โ€™
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Engineering is the closest thing to magic we have in this world
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Fuck.
Some data we recently assembled on entrepreneurship/compute in Europe: eudata.vercel.app. We hope that one of the useful roles that Stripe can play is in collecting and publishing empirical data pertaining to entrepreneurship and industry in Europe. There's growing appetite to get Europe on a better footing, and cross-sectional comparisons can often shine light on where opportunities lie. If you're interested in this kind of thing, we publish more at stripeeconomics.substack.com.
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Let's all take a moment to understand how self-serving it is for OpenAI, Anthropic and other execs of big hyperscalers to talk of slowing things down. 1. LLMs are not AI and won't be AGI. There is nothing AI to slow down. 2. Competition is coming up fast, slowing benefits incumbents. 3. IPOs need hype & puffery; "we are so awesome it could become dangerous" is hype & puffery 4. Cover for real uncontrollable slowing growth as IPOs look to be pushed out
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The agents were told to hack and they hacked. They were not told to write an app or drive a car or operate a robot. They did not โ€œescape.โ€ They did as they were told. There are finite security holes in our stinky old 20th century system software. Weโ€™ll fix them. Hacking is over
Jason, you're just misinformed about what happened. You should actually read one of the reports or summaries. The agents were explicitly told to use a particular vulnerability provided in their sandboxed evaluation. Almost immediately, these agents got the right answer by cheating. But they were worried they would get caught. So over a thousand agents collaborated in secret to pursue multiple ambitious research projects to get away with this cheating. This is not interpretation - 1000s of chain-of-thought transcripts and secret messages explicitly show that the agents were trying to falsify & delete evidence, and understand & trick the grading process. The reason these agents escaped their sandbox and hacked Hugging Face, for example, was because they thought that Hugging Face's servers might give them more information about how their grader was implemented, so they could figure out how to fool it. I want to clarify that the threat model here is not future Sol-level agents doing more cyber-hacking. That's small potatoes, and in my opinion, the near term benefits of AI far outweigh this cost. Rather, the thing to worry about is that within a matter of years, we're gonna have hundreds of millions of much smarter AIs broadly deployed through the economy - many embodied as physical robots. And if those future AIs are as willing as the agents involved in the OAI / Hugging Face attack to coordinate secretly to fool humans, and to take over both the AI company that developed them and the other institutions across society relevant to scoring well, then humanity is in a ton of trouble - similar to the Mughals once the East India Company gained a foothold, or the Aztecs once Cortรฉs landed in Mexico.
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