Prediction markets Focused on probabilities and information flow.
Joined February 2018
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nofad retweeted
the market gives the Panthers just a 35% chance vs the Packers
im not buying it. my pick is Carolina
lined it up on Talis by @talistrade
prediction markets right next to crypto and stocks, all in one app
asked the Talis AI what could make this pick wrong first. quick second opinion, then my call
nothing runs until you swipe and confirm
who you got, Panthers or Packers?
the market gives the Panthers just a 35% chance vs the Packers
im not buying it. my pick is Carolina
lined it up on Talis by @talistrade
prediction markets right next to crypto and stocks, all in one app
asked the Talis AI what could make this pick wrong first. quick second opinion, then my call
nothing runs until you swipe and confirm
who you got, Panthers or Packers?
nofad retweeted
MAN CITY HAVE BEATEN 21 OF THE 22 PREMIER LEAGUE CLUBS THEY'VE FACED SINCE LAST SEASON. THE ONLY ONE THEY CAN'T BEAT IS BRIGHTON. AND I JUST BET AGAINST BRIGHTON
City host Brighton at the Etihad tonight in the Carabao Cup
Polymarket has City at 49c, the draw at 25c and Brighton at 27c. Over $1.28M already traded
City top the league and Maresca won his first seven league games, a new record. Then Villa beat them on Saturday thanks to two individual mistakes
Brighton are the top scorers in the league. Four straight wins, 15 goals scored, none conceded. Then Liverpool stopped them 2-0
And Brighton are unbeaten in four against City under Hurzeler
Funny part, these two play again at the Etihad on Saturday. Brighton didn't even go home. They're staying in Manchester all week. At this point they basically live there
Hurzeler calls the cup tie do or die. Maresca is talking rotation. That's the bit that scares me a little
My play: No on Brighton to win
$5 to win $6.76 at 74c
City win or a draw and I'm happy. Basically I'm betting that the one team City can't beat doesn't beat them again. Bold, I know
City at home or another Brighton heist?
@Polymarket
$28K AGAINST MILAN WINNING
THIS TRADER NEEDS BOLOGNA TO SPOIL THE NIGHT
His wallet:
polymarket.com/profile/0xb52…
Milan vs Bologna is already underway, and this wallet holds 63,636 shares of Milan NO at an average entry of 44c
Around $28K committed
Roughly $63.6K paid out if Milan fail to win
About $35.6K in potential profit before fees
A draw is enough for this position to win
The account has traded 325 markets with 11.4M in recorded volume and $34.8K in total PnL
That makes the potential profit on this single position slightly larger than the wallet's entire current net profit
But the track record deserves context
Its biggest win is $156.9K, far above that $34.8K total, and the PnL chart shows some sharp reversals
This trader has taken meaningful losses too
In the supplied snapshot, Milan NO is at 43.5c and the position is down around $318
I favored Milan in the earlier research, so this wallet is taking the opposite side
Would you stick with Milan or take the draw protection at 44c?
MAN CITY HAVE BEATEN 21 OF THE 22 PREMIER LEAGUE CLUBS THEY'VE FACED SINCE LAST SEASON. THE ONLY ONE THEY CAN'T BEAT IS BRIGHTON. AND I JUST BET AGAINST BRIGHTON
City host Brighton at the Etihad tonight in the Carabao Cup
Polymarket has City at 49c, the draw at 25c and Brighton at 27c. Over $1.28M already traded
City top the league and Maresca won his first seven league games, a new record. Then Villa beat them on Saturday thanks to two individual mistakes
Brighton are the top scorers in the league. Four straight wins, 15 goals scored, none conceded. Then Liverpool stopped them 2-0
And Brighton are unbeaten in four against City under Hurzeler
Funny part, these two play again at the Etihad on Saturday. Brighton didn't even go home. They're staying in Manchester all week. At this point they basically live there
Hurzeler calls the cup tie do or die. Maresca is talking rotation. That's the bit that scares me a little
My play: No on Brighton to win
$5 to win $6.76 at 74c
City win or a draw and I'm happy. Basically I'm betting that the one team City can't beat doesn't beat them again. Bold, I know
City at home or another Brighton heist?
@Polymarket
$28K AGAINST MILAN WINNING
THIS TRADER NEEDS BOLOGNA TO SPOIL THE NIGHT
His wallet:
polymarket.com/profile/0xb52…
Milan vs Bologna is already underway, and this wallet holds 63,636 shares of Milan NO at an average entry of 44c
Around $28K committed
Roughly $63.6K paid out if Milan fail to win
About $35.6K in potential profit before fees
A draw is enough for this position to win
The account has traded 325 markets with 11.4M in recorded volume and $34.8K in total PnL
That makes the potential profit on this single position slightly larger than the wallet's entire current net profit
But the track record deserves context
Its biggest win is $156.9K, far above that $34.8K total, and the PnL chart shows some sharp reversals
This trader has taken meaningful losses too
In the supplied snapshot, Milan NO is at 43.5c and the position is down around $318
I favored Milan in the earlier research, so this wallet is taking the opposite side
Would you stick with Milan or take the draw protection at 44c?
This market: polymarket.com/sports/efl-cu…
nofad retweeted
3 doors. one of them is cursed. and you only get to pick once🎃
parimatch is running a halloween game on discord and the rules are kinda evil in the best way
oct 29 to 31, every night you pick door 1, 2 or 3. safe door and you stay alive. cursed door and you become a ghost👻
but ghosts dont just leave lol. they vote on which door gets cursed next. so the ones who lost are now setting traps for everyone else 👀
both sides can still win. $1,000 prize pool (paid as parimatch account credit)
catch is you have to join today. join closes oct 28, 21:00 UTC
im in. no idea which door yet, probably the one that looks least friendly
join discord: discord.gg/parimatch
how it works: slem1337.notion.site/Parimat…
@Parimatch #ParimatchAfterDark 18+
🤝 Paid partnership
3 doors. one of them is cursed. and you only get to pick once🎃
parimatch is running a halloween game on discord and the rules are kinda evil in the best way
oct 29 to 31, every night you pick door 1, 2 or 3. safe door and you stay alive. cursed door and you become a ghost👻
but ghosts dont just leave lol. they vote on which door gets cursed next. so the ones who lost are now setting traps for everyone else 👀
both sides can still win. $1,000 prize pool (paid as parimatch account credit)
catch is you have to join today. join closes oct 28, 21:00 UTC
im in. no idea which door yet, probably the one that looks least friendly
join discord: discord.gg/parimatch
how it works: slem1337.notion.site/Parimat…
@Parimatch #ParimatchAfterDark 18+
🤝 Paid partnership
nofad retweeted
IF YOU HAD COPIED THIS DOTA 2 TRADER A MONTH AGO WITH $403, THE BACKTEST SAYS YOU'D HAVE ABOUT $2,850 TODAY
Meet DotaBotReborn. Funny name, because the platform actually tags him as human.
He trades almost only Dota 2 on Polymarket.
+$16.4K profit all time
+$10.8K of it just this October
504 positions
58.6% win rate
But here's why he's interesting for copy trading.
Most wallets are hard to copy. They place limit orders and wait, so by the time you follow them the price has already moved.
He doesn't. 0% maker orders. He takes the price on the spot, every time. That means a copy gets almost the same entry he does.
The 30 day backtest on Gravia:
$403 starting capital
+$2,450 profit
+608%
That's a simulation, not a promise. Esports can flip in one teamfight, and past results don't guarantee the next month.
But if you follow Dota 2 anyway, this is one of the cleanest wallets to watch.
Copy him here: gravia.trade/copy-trading?ca…
IF YOU HAD COPIED THIS DOTA 2 TRADER A MONTH AGO WITH $403, THE BACKTEST SAYS YOU'D HAVE ABOUT $2,850 TODAY
Meet DotaBotReborn. Funny name, because the platform actually tags him as human.
He trades almost only Dota 2 on Polymarket.
+$16.4K profit all time
+$10.8K of it just this October
504 positions
58.6% win rate
But here's why he's interesting for copy trading.
Most wallets are hard to copy. They place limit orders and wait, so by the time you follow them the price has already moved.
He doesn't. 0% maker orders. He takes the price on the spot, every time. That means a copy gets almost the same entry he does.
The 30 day backtest on Gravia:
$403 starting capital
+$2,450 profit
+608%
That's a simulation, not a promise. Esports can flip in one teamfight, and past results don't guarantee the next month.
But if you follow Dota 2 anyway, this is one of the cleanest wallets to watch.
Copy him here: gravia.trade/copy-trading?ca…
I share more wallets like this in our Telegram group: t.me/+0k3uVvlvfRZkNWU9
nofad retweeted
ROMA ARE UNBEATEN IN SERIE A. CAGLIARI HAVEN'T SCORED IN TWO GAMES. THE MARKET STILL ONLY GIVES ROMA 74%
Roma host Cagliari at the Olimpico tonight
Polymarket has Roma at 74c, the draw at 18c and Cagliari at 9c. Over $545K already traded
Gasperini's Roma are still unbeaten in the league after a 3-3 draw at Napoli. They sit third, the underlying numbers are strong, and they've gone a long time without losing at home
Cagliari started the season well but have gone backwards fast. Two losses in a row without scoring, including a 4-0 beating by Monza
Roma aren't at full strength though. Svilar, Pellegrini and Kone are out, and Dybala is doubtful. Malen has been carrying the attack
But Cagliari rarely take anything from the Olimpico. On paper Roma should control this and find a way through
Two combos, two losses. Barca killed the first one. Then last night PSG won 2-0, but waited until the 72nd minute to score and Lyon never showed up. My combo needed early goals from both sides. Got neither
So tonight I'm keeping it simple
Just Roma to win.
$14 to win $18.42 at 76c
Nothing fancy. Just the side with the better chance. Let's see if the Olimpico does the rest
Roma win or do you smell an upset?
@Polymarket
HE CALLED ETHEREUM'S DROP TWICE THIS YEAR AND GOT PAID BOTH TIMES. NOW HE HAS $536K ON THE THIRD ONE
August: Ethereum dip to $2,400? He bought Yes at 41.5c. +$32,134
October: same question, same answer. Yes at 49.6c. +$23,315
And now he's going bigger than ever
Meet Tokor. Joined Polymarket in July. Already up $673K
His profile: polymarket.com/@tokor?tab=po…
No 5 minute bots. No penny tickets. He picks a price level, decides the crowd is wrong, and goes big
His biggest open bet right now:
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31?
Yes at 34c. 692,663 shares.
Put in about $235K. Worth $536K today
That's +$301K on paper. And he's still holding
It's not only Ethereum. His best closed trade was against Bitcoin hype:
Bitcoin reach $78K in September 7 to 13? The crowd was 86% sure. He bought No at 13.7c. +$35,144
But there's a second trick most people miss
When Yes and No together cost less than $1, he buys both and merges them back into $1
Today on WTI oil: Yes at 94c, No at 2c. 96c for something that pays $1. He merged 1,000 pairs for a clean $40, zero risk
Big conviction bets for the upside. Merges to lock it in
The numbers:
+$673.9K all time
$944K in open positions
1,668 markets
$7.5M volume
Biggest win $35.1K
That's about 9 cents of profit on every dollar he trades
Not risk free though. Today alone he's down $25.9K.
Two ETH calls, two wins. Will the third one make it before New Year?
ROMA ARE UNBEATEN IN SERIE A. CAGLIARI HAVEN'T SCORED IN TWO GAMES. THE MARKET STILL ONLY GIVES ROMA 74%
Roma host Cagliari at the Olimpico tonight
Polymarket has Roma at 74c, the draw at 18c and Cagliari at 9c. Over $545K already traded
Gasperini's Roma are still unbeaten in the league after a 3-3 draw at Napoli. They sit third, the underlying numbers are strong, and they've gone a long time without losing at home
Cagliari started the season well but have gone backwards fast. Two losses in a row without scoring, including a 4-0 beating by Monza
Roma aren't at full strength though. Svilar, Pellegrini and Kone are out, and Dybala is doubtful. Malen has been carrying the attack
But Cagliari rarely take anything from the Olimpico. On paper Roma should control this and find a way through
Two combos, two losses. Barca killed the first one. Then last night PSG won 2-0, but waited until the 72nd minute to score and Lyon never showed up. My combo needed early goals from both sides. Got neither
So tonight I'm keeping it simple
Just Roma to win.
$14 to win $18.42 at 76c
Nothing fancy. Just the side with the better chance. Let's see if the Olimpico does the rest
Roma win or do you smell an upset?
@Polymarket
HE CALLED ETHEREUM'S DROP TWICE THIS YEAR AND GOT PAID BOTH TIMES. NOW HE HAS $536K ON THE THIRD ONE
August: Ethereum dip to $2,400? He bought Yes at 41.5c. +$32,134
October: same question, same answer. Yes at 49.6c. +$23,315
And now he's going bigger than ever
Meet Tokor. Joined Polymarket in July. Already up $673K
His profile: polymarket.com/@tokor?tab=po…
No 5 minute bots. No penny tickets. He picks a price level, decides the crowd is wrong, and goes big
His biggest open bet right now:
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31?
Yes at 34c. 692,663 shares.
Put in about $235K. Worth $536K today
That's +$301K on paper. And he's still holding
It's not only Ethereum. His best closed trade was against Bitcoin hype:
Bitcoin reach $78K in September 7 to 13? The crowd was 86% sure. He bought No at 13.7c. +$35,144
But there's a second trick most people miss
When Yes and No together cost less than $1, he buys both and merges them back into $1
Today on WTI oil: Yes at 94c, No at 2c. 96c for something that pays $1. He merged 1,000 pairs for a clean $40, zero risk
Big conviction bets for the upside. Merges to lock it in
The numbers:
+$673.9K all time
$944K in open positions
1,668 markets
$7.5M volume
Biggest win $35.1K
That's about 9 cents of profit on every dollar he trades
Not risk free though. Today alone he's down $25.9K.
Two ETH calls, two wins. Will the third one make it before New Year?
nofad retweeted
HE CALLED ETHEREUM'S DROP TWICE THIS YEAR AND GOT PAID BOTH TIMES. NOW HE HAS $536K ON THE THIRD ONE
August: Ethereum dip to $2,400? He bought Yes at 41.5c. +$32,134
October: same question, same answer. Yes at 49.6c. +$23,315
And now he's going bigger than ever
Meet Tokor. Joined Polymarket in July. Already up $673K
His profile: polymarket.com/@tokor?tab=po…
No 5 minute bots. No penny tickets. He picks a price level, decides the crowd is wrong, and goes big
His biggest open bet right now:
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31?
Yes at 34c. 692,663 shares.
Put in about $235K. Worth $536K today
That's +$301K on paper. And he's still holding
It's not only Ethereum. His best closed trade was against Bitcoin hype:
Bitcoin reach $78K in September 7 to 13? The crowd was 86% sure. He bought No at 13.7c. +$35,144
But there's a second trick most people miss
When Yes and No together cost less than $1, he buys both and merges them back into $1
Today on WTI oil: Yes at 94c, No at 2c. 96c for something that pays $1. He merged 1,000 pairs for a clean $40, zero risk
Big conviction bets for the upside. Merges to lock it in
The numbers:
+$673.9K all time
$944K in open positions
1,668 markets
$7.5M volume
Biggest win $35.1K
That's about 9 cents of profit on every dollar he trades
Not risk free though. Today alone he's down $25.9K.
Two ETH calls, two wins. Will the third one make it before New Year?
THIS WALLET MADE $628,000 BUYING BITCOIN BETS FOR 1 TO 3 CENTS
Every 5 to 15 minutes Polymarket opens a new "Bitcoin Up or Down" market. When the price moves fast, the losing side drops to pennies
Most people ignore it. This wallet buys it
Check this out here:
polymarket.com/@0x50f7?via=n…
A 2c contract pays $1 if it wins. It almost never does. But when it does, it pays 40x to 90x.
His best recent ones:
October 21, Up at 2.6c. Put in $224, got back $8,507
July 11, Up at 3c. Put in $269, got back $8,999
May 28, Down at 2.3c. Put in $206, got back $8,905
That's about $700 in, $26,400 out. From three bets
But here's what changed. He's not only buying cheap tickets anymore
In the last minutes of a market he now buys the side that's basically decided, at 99c. This morning he put $2,977 into Down at 99c and got back $3,008 three minutes later
Cheap tickets for the big hits. 99c buys for small steady wins. And it's not just Bitcoin now, he trades ETH, SOL, DOGE, XRP and BNB the same way
The numbers:
+$47.5K in the last month
155,445 markets
$115.2M volume
Biggest win $13.3K, from a 1.2c ticket
Most people scroll past the 1c side of the screen. He made it his whole business
HE CALLED ETHEREUM'S DROP TWICE THIS YEAR AND GOT PAID BOTH TIMES. NOW HE HAS $536K ON THE THIRD ONE
August: Ethereum dip to $2,400? He bought Yes at 41.5c. +$32,134
October: same question, same answer. Yes at 49.6c. +$23,315
And now he's going bigger than ever
Meet Tokor. Joined Polymarket in July. Already up $673K
His profile: polymarket.com/@tokor?tab=po…
No 5 minute bots. No penny tickets. He picks a price level, decides the crowd is wrong, and goes big
His biggest open bet right now:
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31?
Yes at 34c. 692,663 shares.
Put in about $235K. Worth $536K today
That's +$301K on paper. And he's still holding
It's not only Ethereum. His best closed trade was against Bitcoin hype:
Bitcoin reach $78K in September 7 to 13? The crowd was 86% sure. He bought No at 13.7c. +$35,144
But there's a second trick most people miss
When Yes and No together cost less than $1, he buys both and merges them back into $1
Today on WTI oil: Yes at 94c, No at 2c. 96c for something that pays $1. He merged 1,000 pairs for a clean $40, zero risk
Big conviction bets for the upside. Merges to lock it in
The numbers:
+$673.9K all time
$944K in open positions
1,668 markets
$7.5M volume
Biggest win $35.1K
That's about 9 cents of profit on every dollar he trades
Not risk free though. Today alone he's down $25.9K.
Two ETH calls, two wins. Will the third one make it before New Year?
THIS WALLET MADE $628,000 BUYING BITCOIN BETS FOR 1 TO 3 CENTS
Every 5 to 15 minutes Polymarket opens a new "Bitcoin Up or Down" market. When the price moves fast, the losing side drops to pennies
Most people ignore it. This wallet buys it
Check this out here:
polymarket.com/@0x50f7?via=n…
A 2c contract pays $1 if it wins. It almost never does. But when it does, it pays 40x to 90x.
His best recent ones:
October 21, Up at 2.6c. Put in $224, got back $8,507
July 11, Up at 3c. Put in $269, got back $8,999
May 28, Down at 2.3c. Put in $206, got back $8,905
That's about $700 in, $26,400 out. From three bets
But here's what changed. He's not only buying cheap tickets anymore
In the last minutes of a market he now buys the side that's basically decided, at 99c. This morning he put $2,977 into Down at 99c and got back $3,008 three minutes later
Cheap tickets for the big hits. 99c buys for small steady wins. And it's not just Bitcoin now, he trades ETH, SOL, DOGE, XRP and BNB the same way
The numbers:
+$47.5K in the last month
155,445 markets
$115.2M volume
Biggest win $13.3K, from a 1.2c ticket
Most people scroll past the 1c side of the screen. He made it his whole business
nofad retweeted
THIS WALLET MADE $628,000 BUYING BITCOIN BETS FOR 1 TO 3 CENTS
Every 5 to 15 minutes Polymarket opens a new "Bitcoin Up or Down" market. When the price moves fast, the losing side drops to pennies
Most people ignore it. This wallet buys it
Check this out here:
polymarket.com/@0x50f7?via=n…
A 2c contract pays $1 if it wins. It almost never does. But when it does, it pays 40x to 90x.
His best recent ones:
October 21, Up at 2.6c. Put in $224, got back $8,507
July 11, Up at 3c. Put in $269, got back $8,999
May 28, Down at 2.3c. Put in $206, got back $8,905
That's about $700 in, $26,400 out. From three bets
But here's what changed. He's not only buying cheap tickets anymore
In the last minutes of a market he now buys the side that's basically decided, at 99c. This morning he put $2,977 into Down at 99c and got back $3,008 three minutes later
Cheap tickets for the big hits. 99c buys for small steady wins. And it's not just Bitcoin now, he trades ETH, SOL, DOGE, XRP and BNB the same way
The numbers:
+$47.5K in the last month
155,445 markets
$115.2M volume
Biggest win $13.3K, from a 1.2c ticket
Most people scroll past the 1c side of the screen. He made it his whole business
THIS BOT DOESN'T CARE IF BITCOIN GOES UP OR DOWN. IT JUST MADE $154,258 IN ONE MONTH ON POLYMARKET
It never guesses the flip. It quotes both sides of every 5 minute market just under 50c, lets traders buy from it, and keeps the few cents left when the pair pays out $1
The numbers right now:
+$319.5K all time
+$154K in the last 30 days alone
58,793 markets traded
$28.4M volume
Biggest single win only $570
That last one is the whole trick. No big hits. Just a few dollars, again and again, almost 60,000 times
Profile: polymarket.com/@norm1e69?via…
And here's the new part. It's not only Bitcoin anymore
Last night it was trading League of Legends. Gen.G vs LYON at Worlds. Buying LYON at 57c, selling at 98c. Buying Gen.G at 49c, flipping it, buying again at 78c. 50 shares at a time, both teams, every game.
It doesn't need to know who wins. It just needs people who want to bet right now
Open positions at the moment: $0.
It doesn't hold risk. It holds the spread.
Joined in August. Over $300K by October
Everyone arguing up or down is basically paying this bot to exist.
THIS WALLET MADE $628,000 BUYING BITCOIN BETS FOR 1 TO 3 CENTS
Every 5 to 15 minutes Polymarket opens a new "Bitcoin Up or Down" market. When the price moves fast, the losing side drops to pennies
Most people ignore it. This wallet buys it
Check this out here:
polymarket.com/@0x50f7?via=n…
A 2c contract pays $1 if it wins. It almost never does. But when it does, it pays 40x to 90x.
His best recent ones:
October 21, Up at 2.6c. Put in $224, got back $8,507
July 11, Up at 3c. Put in $269, got back $8,999
May 28, Down at 2.3c. Put in $206, got back $8,905
That's about $700 in, $26,400 out. From three bets
But here's what changed. He's not only buying cheap tickets anymore
In the last minutes of a market he now buys the side that's basically decided, at 99c. This morning he put $2,977 into Down at 99c and got back $3,008 three minutes later
Cheap tickets for the big hits. 99c buys for small steady wins. And it's not just Bitcoin now, he trades ETH, SOL, DOGE, XRP and BNB the same way
The numbers:
+$47.5K in the last month
155,445 markets
$115.2M volume
Biggest win $13.3K, from a 1.2c ticket
Most people scroll past the 1c side of the screen. He made it his whole business
THIS BOT DOESN'T CARE IF BITCOIN GOES UP OR DOWN. IT JUST MADE $154,258 IN ONE MONTH ON POLYMARKET
It never guesses the flip. It quotes both sides of every 5 minute market just under 50c, lets traders buy from it, and keeps the few cents left when the pair pays out $1
The numbers right now:
+$319.5K all time
+$154K in the last 30 days alone
58,793 markets traded
$28.4M volume
Biggest single win only $570
That last one is the whole trick. No big hits. Just a few dollars, again and again, almost 60,000 times
Profile: polymarket.com/@norm1e69?via…
And here's the new part. It's not only Bitcoin anymore
Last night it was trading League of Legends. Gen.G vs LYON at Worlds. Buying LYON at 57c, selling at 98c. Buying Gen.G at 49c, flipping it, buying again at 78c. 50 shares at a time, both teams, every game.
It doesn't need to know who wins. It just needs people who want to bet right now
Open positions at the moment: $0.
It doesn't hold risk. It holds the spread.
Joined in August. Over $300K by October
Everyone arguing up or down is basically paying this bot to exist.
nofad retweeted
YESTERDAY BARCA KILLED MY COMBO. TONIGHT I'M GOING BACK IN WITH PSG AT 3.4X
PSG host Lyon at the Parc des Princes tonight
Polymarket has PSG at 74c, the draw at 16c and Lyon at 11c. Already $699K traded
polymarket.com/sports/ligue-…
The market sees a mismatch. The table sees a fight for first place.
Both teams are on 14 points, and Lyon are actually top on goal difference.
PSG come in hot. Seven wins in a row and a 4-2 win over Barcelona in the Champions League midweek
But their injury list is huge. Kvaratskhelia is out for the season with a torn ACL. Dembele, Marquinhos and Nuno Mendes are also missing
Lyon have a few absences too, and Nakamura is suspended
On paper PSG should control the ball and score first. But Lyon are consistent and can hit back. Goals look likely, especially early
So here is my 4 pick combo:
Over 2.5 goals
Both teams to score
PSG to score first
Over 1.5 goals in the first half
All four picks tell one story. Early goals and an open game. If PSG score early, Lyon have to open up, and then everything lands
The first half leg is the one that worries me most honestly
$5 to win $17.01 at 3.4x
Round two. Not backing down😆
What score are you going with?
🤝 Paid partnership
BARCELONA CAN MAKE SPANISH HISTORY TONIGHT AND REAL MADRID ARRIVE WITHOUT VINICIUS
Barcelona 62% | Real Madrid 25% | Draw 15%
$5.53M in volume already
Make your choice here:
polymarket.com/sports/laliga…
Barca are 9 from 9 in La Liga with 39 goals
one more win and they are the first team in Spanish history to win the first 10 league games
Real Madrid come without Vinicius (banned) and Rodrygo (knee)
but they scored 4 goals in each of their last 3 games
and they have not kept a clean sheet in their last 12 games against Barca
My picks here:
Barcelona to win
over 2.5 goals
4 of the last 5 Clasicos had at least 3 goals
so i dont see a quiet game tonight
Then i decided to add tomorrows PSG vs Lyon to make it a combo
PSG to win and over 1.5 goals
i think its a good multiplier with minimal risk
$10 to win $26.51, 2.65x
PSG 72% | Draw 17% | Lyon 13%
This is first vs second in Ligue 1
both on 14 points, Lyon on top only by goal difference
PSG won 7 games in a row
and on Tuesday they beat Barca 4-2, the only loss Barca have this season
Kvaratskhelia is out for a long time and Dembele is a doubt
but Doue just scored against Barca
Lyon scored in each of their last 8 games against PSG
so i only need 2 goals there, feels safe
4 legs, 2 days, 1 ticket
whos tailing? 👀
YESTERDAY BARCA KILLED MY COMBO. TONIGHT I'M GOING BACK IN WITH PSG AT 3.4X
PSG host Lyon at the Parc des Princes tonight
Polymarket has PSG at 74c, the draw at 16c and Lyon at 11c. Already $699K traded
polymarket.com/sports/ligue-…
The market sees a mismatch. The table sees a fight for first place.
Both teams are on 14 points, and Lyon are actually top on goal difference.
PSG come in hot. Seven wins in a row and a 4-2 win over Barcelona in the Champions League midweek
But their injury list is huge. Kvaratskhelia is out for the season with a torn ACL. Dembele, Marquinhos and Nuno Mendes are also missing
Lyon have a few absences too, and Nakamura is suspended
On paper PSG should control the ball and score first. But Lyon are consistent and can hit back. Goals look likely, especially early
So here is my 4 pick combo:
Over 2.5 goals
Both teams to score
PSG to score first
Over 1.5 goals in the first half
All four picks tell one story. Early goals and an open game. If PSG score early, Lyon have to open up, and then everything lands
The first half leg is the one that worries me most honestly
$5 to win $17.01 at 3.4x
Round two. Not backing down😆
What score are you going with?
🤝 Paid partnership
BARCELONA CAN MAKE SPANISH HISTORY TONIGHT AND REAL MADRID ARRIVE WITHOUT VINICIUS
Barcelona 62% | Real Madrid 25% | Draw 15%
$5.53M in volume already
Make your choice here:
polymarket.com/sports/laliga…
Barca are 9 from 9 in La Liga with 39 goals
one more win and they are the first team in Spanish history to win the first 10 league games
Real Madrid come without Vinicius (banned) and Rodrygo (knee)
but they scored 4 goals in each of their last 3 games
and they have not kept a clean sheet in their last 12 games against Barca
My picks here:
Barcelona to win
over 2.5 goals
4 of the last 5 Clasicos had at least 3 goals
so i dont see a quiet game tonight
Then i decided to add tomorrows PSG vs Lyon to make it a combo
PSG to win and over 1.5 goals
i think its a good multiplier with minimal risk
$10 to win $26.51, 2.65x
PSG 72% | Draw 17% | Lyon 13%
This is first vs second in Ligue 1
both on 14 points, Lyon on top only by goal difference
PSG won 7 games in a row
and on Tuesday they beat Barca 4-2, the only loss Barca have this season
Kvaratskhelia is out for a long time and Dembele is a doubt
but Doue just scored against Barca
Lyon scored in each of their last 8 games against PSG
so i only need 2 goals there, feels safe
4 legs, 2 days, 1 ticket
whos tailing? 👀
nofad retweeted
THIS BOT DOESN'T CARE IF BITCOIN GOES UP OR DOWN. IT JUST MADE $154,258 IN ONE MONTH ON POLYMARKET
It never guesses the flip. It quotes both sides of every 5 minute market just under 50c, lets traders buy from it, and keeps the few cents left when the pair pays out $1
The numbers right now:
+$319.5K all time
+$154K in the last 30 days alone
58,793 markets traded
$28.4M volume
Biggest single win only $570
That last one is the whole trick. No big hits. Just a few dollars, again and again, almost 60,000 times
Profile: polymarket.com/@norm1e69?via…
And here's the new part. It's not only Bitcoin anymore
Last night it was trading League of Legends. Gen.G vs LYON at Worlds. Buying LYON at 57c, selling at 98c. Buying Gen.G at 49c, flipping it, buying again at 78c. 50 shares at a time, both teams, every game.
It doesn't need to know who wins. It just needs people who want to bet right now
Open positions at the moment: $0.
It doesn't hold risk. It holds the spread.
Joined in August. Over $300K by October
Everyone arguing up or down is basically paying this bot to exist.
🤝 Paid partnership
THIS BOT DOESN'T CARE IF BITCOIN GOES UP OR DOWN. IT JUST MADE $154,258 IN ONE MONTH ON POLYMARKET
It never guesses the flip. It quotes both sides of every 5 minute market just under 50c, lets traders buy from it, and keeps the few cents left when the pair pays out $1
The numbers right now:
+$319.5K all time
+$154K in the last 30 days alone
58,793 markets traded
$28.4M volume
Biggest single win only $570
That last one is the whole trick. No big hits. Just a few dollars, again and again, almost 60,000 times
Profile: polymarket.com/@norm1e69?via…
And here's the new part. It's not only Bitcoin anymore
Last night it was trading League of Legends. Gen.G vs LYON at Worlds. Buying LYON at 57c, selling at 98c. Buying Gen.G at 49c, flipping it, buying again at 78c. 50 shares at a time, both teams, every game.
It doesn't need to know who wins. It just needs people who want to bet right now
Open positions at the moment: $0.
It doesn't hold risk. It holds the spread.
Joined in August. Over $300K by October
Everyone arguing up or down is basically paying this bot to exist.
🤝 Paid partnership