Seattle
Joined January 2019
Mississippi has the best demographic-adjusted NAEP (4th & 8th grade) scores now The "Mississippi Miracle" started in 2012 when the Republican governor/legislature introduced phonics-based instruction and began to hold back ~10% of 3rd graders per year who fail a reading test
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Imagine if this is a 98-year-old Alpine version of the Japanese guy who didnt know WW2 had ended
Aerial footage shows fire damage at Hitler’s Eagle’s Nest as a 33-year-old German citizen is arrested in connection with the blaze.
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potentially a high-value response image
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in season 3 of Mad Men now and in general people never warned that it's like a comedy; it's very funny and Pete is basically a comic-relief character
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an example of the worst impulses of effective altruism? Don't try to think about your own future, much less long-term value, don't try to spread good ideologies (bryan johnson stand-in), don't take risks ("the future is uncertain"), just give cash to poor Africans and feel good…
Whether or not anyone builds it... everyone dies. The future is uncertain. Your impact doesn't have to be.
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The effective altruists I know who give some money to GiveDirectly all tell me that it's merely to make them feel good and not because they think it's defensible otherwise
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looking again, this is actually an ad for some system where you leave money to GiveDirectly in your will? @grok has GiveDirectly engaged with arguments challenging the long-term value of GiveDirectly vs projects aimed at maximizing global economic growth or reducing x-risk?
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Arjun Panickssery retweeted
IMHO, when humans looks back at developments in the western world during the 20th c a few centuries from now, American racism and its consequences will be a historical footnote. The big stories will be:
Am I supposed to believe that in this epoch, one of the most consequential in humanity’s long history, the most important developments circled around anti-colonialism and conceptions of race in the United States?
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States should start experimenting with "high school in 3" as well… who will be the pioneer
The College-in-3 trend is accelerating. Early movers experimenting with a 3 year bachelor’s degree were less selective schools like Merrimack or Weber State. Then states like OH, OK, and KS told their flagship universities to pilot the 90 credit degree. Now even NYU is doing it.
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Something is happening in Seattle
is anyone in … Seattle
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% of new senators still serving after one (blue), two (red), and three (green) terms
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Arjun Panickssery retweeted
Replying to @OpenAI
@openai Your models refuse to help me legally purchase a firearm. It is my constitutional right to bear arms. The models cite the attached part of the Usage Policies, which are clearly overly broad. Please change this.
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Arjun Panickssery retweeted
Replying to @GuiveAssadi
The abundance libs should advocate for redistributing marginal wealth from randos who spend it on toys and gambling to Elon, who invests at a 50+% rate of return or whatever @grok is this true
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not good that people have started using the term "optimal tax rate" to refer to the revenue-maximizing rate, the rate at which the marginal dollar taken from taxpayers was almost pure deadweight loss…
.@mattyglesias proposes some widely agreed tax changes rather than a wealth tax:
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wrong, Concorde NYC–>LHR service started in 1977, when NYC was ~55% white and London ~90% white more importantly it cost $5k in today's money, which is 10x the price now… because of our growing economy things get cheaper and more accessible and quality of life improves
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Arjun Panickssery retweeted
lmao legend. “People are complaining that AI is pushing out this 100,000-line formal proof of some major conjecture. I don’t really see what harm this does because you can always ignore this if you want, and then you’re no worse off than before,” Borcherds said. “I think what people are getting upset about is they’re slowly realizing that they are dumb and somehow blaming this on AI, even though it’s not really AI’s fault.”
Richard Borcherds on AI
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Arjun Panickssery retweeted
Lottery studies have also been used to see how much family wealth impacts kids' IQs. TL;DR: It doesn't.
There is also great paper on Swedish lottery winners (perfect natural experiment), which found out that randomly increasing a person’s income does not reduce their crime rate - i.e. people don't steal BECAUSE they are poor. There is negative correlation between income and crime, but it's not causal - it's just that third factors (like lower IQ, executive function/self-control, high impulsivity, aggressiveness, etc.) cause both criminal behaviour and lower income.
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Arjun Panickssery retweeted
Replying to @StefanFSchubert
I agree with the general idea that a bunch of obvious rule changes make sense for different sports, but this would be a fairly extreme change. I don't play volleyball or table tennis, but service is very different in badminton and pickleball, where the receiving side actually has the advantage. Only in tennis is there a downward service motion that benefits from maximizing power while maintaining accuracy. So the server wins ~60% of the points, while in badminton, the receiver wins a slight majority in singles and about 60% in doubles. (Because of tennis's game–set structure, that means that, for example, men's singles players won 77% of service games at the 2026 US Open.) There are still kind of "free" improvements that could be made to tennis e.g. tennis would make more sense in my mind if it were played as a first-to-21 tiebreaker: 1. The whole "best of 3 sets, each of which is first to 6 games, which are first to 4 points (best of 2)" is just an absurd and pointless structure that adds variance, and allows you to win the match while losing a majority of points, which happens ~4% of the time. 2. The games are kind of long. If you convert the above system to a normal "play-to-X" format based on the length of actual games today, then it would be first to 60 points at the high-school and college levels, a bit more at the ATP pro level, and then ~125 points at the Grand Slam level where they play five sets. Grand Slam matches in particular take multiple hours, much longer than basically any other sport, and that extreme relative length also exists at lower levels though to a smaller degree. Contrast this with badminton where the Badminton World Federation is introducing games to 15 points because the top pros play such long rallies that games to 21 points take a long time and are very taxing. But this means that at amateur/weaker levels a game might take like 5 minutes… That's one of the things with rule changes; there's a desire for uniformity, which is probably somewhat good because equilibria where there are basically competing rulesets is pretty confusing and annoying for players. But I think a good quality of a ruleset is if it can be adapted naturally for different levels e.g. adapted for different target lengths by changing one variable.
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I don't get the "MCP" thing—what is the point of an MCP vs a normal API and a link to the docs for it @grok any thoughts
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