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π¨ BREAKING FROM POLLFINITY:
2026 Ohio
π΅ Sherrod Brown: 48.0%
π΄ Jon Husted: 44.0%
Marist University | n=1,176 | lv | 2026-10-15 β 2026-10-18
Does this match your expectations?
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Democratic candidate leading in Texas Senate while Trump dominates statewideβa split-ticket scenario worth watching.
2026 Texas Senate Race
π΅ Talarico: +2 to +5 avg
π΄ Republican: Trailing in all 8 polls
2024: Trump +14 statewide
Politix+ average of recent polls | | Texas likely voters
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Michigan Senate rematch shows a 7-point Democratic lead in a state Trump just won by 1βa notable split between presidential and Senate performance.
2026 Michigan U.S. Senate
π΅ Abdul El-Sayed (D): 52%
π΄ Mike Rogers (R): 45%
2024: Trump +1
Marist Poll #A | n=1,185 | Michigan registered voters | Oct 15-18, 2026
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Texas Senate is tied at 45%, and Libertarian Ted Brown is pulling 5%.
π΅ Talarico (D): 45%
π΄ Paxton (R): 45%
π‘ Brown (L): 5%
2024: Trump +14
Rasmussen #B | n=965 LV | Oct 20β21
Independents: Talarico 45, Paxton 43
(R-leaning firm)
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π¨ BREAKING FROM POLLFINITY:
Texas Senate Race 2026
π’ James Talarico (D): 48%
π΄ Ken Paxton (R): 44%
Siena/ReconMR | n=617 | Likely Voters | Oct 5β8, 2026
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π¨ BREAKING FROM POLLFINITY
Texas Senate: Talarico 48%, Paxton 43%. Brown (L) 2%, undecided 5%. Inside the margin.
Pollfinity Research | N=278 registered voters | Texas | Oct 15-18, 2026 | MoE Β±6.5
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New - Senate poll - Texas
π΅ James Talarico 48%
π΄ Ken Paxton 43%
Pollfinity - RV - 10/18
Pollfinity retweeted
Republican pollster Fabrizio showing historic Democratic gains in Senate map
2026 Senate Battlegrounds
π΅ North Carolina (Cooper): +11
π΅ Texas (Talarico): +4
π΅ Alaska (Peltola): +6
π΅ Ohio (Brown): +3
π΅ Maine (Jackson): +3
π΅ Georgia (Ossoff): +9
π΅ Michigan (El-Sayed): +1
Fabrizio (R) & Impact (A) for AARP | #C | Conducted for AARP
Note: Source is third-party X account; verify against original topline.
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Marshall faces a historic collapse with independent Kansas voters.
Kansas Senate (Independent Voters)
π΅ Adam Hamilton: 62%
π΄ Roger Marshall: 29%
Insider Advantage #C | n=360 LV | Independent voters
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Alaska's ranked-choice system reshapes the race: Begich gains 6 points in final round as third-party votes consolidate.
2026 Alaska At-Large House Race
π΄ Nick Begich (incumbent): 53% (final RCV round)
π΅ Bill Hill: 47%
First round: Begich 47%, Hill 35%, Hafner 8%, McDermott 5%
NYT/Siena #B | 9/24β10/1 | Likely voters
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Montana's open seat race is essentially tied as Labor Day passes.
Montana CD-01
π΅ Aaron Flint (R): 45.9%
π΄ Sam Forstag (D): 45.4%
π‘ Nick Sheedy (L): 5.4%
American Pulse Research #C | n=? | likely voters | Sept 19-24, 2026
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Trump's cost of living approval hits a historic low across both his terms
Cost of Living Handling
π΄ Approve: 17%
π΅ Disapprove: 82%
Only 7% say his handling is better than expected.
AP/NORC #C
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Democrat leads by 1 in Texas Senate, running 14 points ahead of Trump's 2024 margin in the state.
π΅ Texas Senate Race
π΅ Talarico (D): 46%
π΄ Paxton (R): 45%
π‘ Brown (L): 4%
2024: Trump +14
Rasmussen #C | n=1,128 LV | Sept. 28β29
Key: Talarico leads independents 48β34.
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Ohio governor's race, Pollfinity Research poll.
π΅ Amy Acton: 49%
π΄ Vivek Ramaswamy: 42%
π‘ Don Kissick: 2%
Someone else: 3% | Undecided: 3%
Pollfinity Research | n=496 | Registered voters | Sept 16-18, 2026
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Democrats' largest generic ballot lead in YouGov/Economist history.
2026 Generic Ballot
π΅ Democrats: 51%
π΄ Republicans: 39%
Trend: Oct 2018: D+6 | Oct 2022: R+1 | Sept 2026: D+12
YouGov/Economist #A | Sept 1-30, 2026
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Kansas hasn't elected a Democrat to Senate since 1932. This poll suggests that could change.
π°πΈ Kansas Senate 2026
π΅ Adam Hamilton (D): 45%
π΄ Roger Marshall (R, inc.): 43%
Hamilton leads independents 42-27.
2024: Trump +20
Emerson #A | Kansas | Nexstar
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Collins flips Maine despite voters backing Democratic Senate control
2026 Maine Senate Race
π΄ Susan Collins (R): 49%
π΅ Troy Jackson (D): 46%
π‘ Undecided: 5%
2024: Harris +7
Fox News #C | n=[?] | Maine | [date not specified]









