Buy and sell political futures. PSAs: - 95% ≠ Certainty - Forecasts ≠ Future - Turnout = Outcome
Washington, DC
Joined November 2013
- Tweets23.9K
- Following17.4K
- Followers40.3K
- Likes16.3K
📊 MARKET PROJECTION: Holscher (D) has an 85% chance to win the Kansas governor race, per PredictIt traders.
🔵 Holscher (D): 85%
🔴 Masterson (R): 2%
A week ago, Masterson led this market. The race has not been called yet.
📊 MARKET PROJECTION: Pete Ricketts (R) has a 95% chance to win, up 25 points today, per PredictIt traders.
🔴 Ricketts (R): 95%
🟡 Osborn (I): 9%
The race has not been called yet.
📊 MARKET PROJECTION: Josh Shapiro (D) has a 98% chance to win the Pennsylvania governor race, per PredictIt traders.
🔵 Shapiro (D): 98%
🔴 Garrity (R): 2%
The race has not been called yet.
Follow the Pennsylvania governor market live 👇
predictit.org/markets/detail…
📊 MARKET PROJECTION: Peggy Flanagan (D) has a 96% chance to win, per PredictIt traders.
🗳️ Polls are closed in Minnesota.
🔵 Flanagan (D): 96%
🔴 Tafoya (R): 5%
The race has not been called yet.
Follow the Minnesota Senate market live 👇
predictit.org/markets/detail…
📊 MARKET PROJECTION: Rob Sand (D) has a 98% chance to win the Iowa governor race, up 9 points today, per PredictIt traders.
🗳️ Polls are closed in Iowa.
🔵 Sand (D): 98%
🔴 Lahn (R): 2%
The race has not been called yet.
Follow the Iowa governor market live 👇
predictit.org/markets/detail…
📊 MARKET PROJECTION: Hamilton (D) has a 99% chance to win, up 34 points today, per PredictIt traders.
🗳️ Polls are closed in Kansas.
🔵 Hamilton (D): 99%
🔴 Marshall (R): 1%
The race has not been called yet.
📊 This morning, nobody could call Iowa. Now traders give Turek (D) a 99% chance.
🗳️ Polls are closed in Iowa.
🔵 Turek (D): 99%
🔴 Hinson (R): 1%
The race has not been called yet.
ollow the Iowa Senate market live 👇
predictit.org/markets/detail…
🔴 UPDATE | Senate Radar
Traders now give Democrats a 99% chance to win the Senate.
🔵 21 races lean D | 🔴 14 lean R
Iowa jumps to 99% D. Nebraska moves to 96% R. No race on the board is below 90%.
Not results. The races have not been called yet.
📊 MARKET PROJECTION: Ben Ray Luján (D) has a 99% chance to win, per PredictIt traders.
🗳️ Polls are closed in New Mexico.
🔵 Luján (D): 99%
🔴 Marker (R): 1%
The race has not been called yet.
🔴 UPDATE | Senate Radar
As results come in, traders give Democrats a 98% chance to win the Senate, up from 77% this afternoon.
🔵 21 races lean D | 🔴 14 lean R
No toss-ups left on PredictIt. Iowa moved to 81% D.
📊 THE MARKET FLIPS IN SOUTH CAROLINA: Andrews (D) surges to a 95% chance, up 55 points today, per PredictIt traders.
🗳️ Polls are closed in South Carolina.
🔵 Andrews (D): 95%
🔴 Graham (R): 4%
Graham was at 67% earlier today. The race has not been called yet.
One of the biggest market swings of the night. Follow the Texas governor market live 👇
predictit.org/markets/detail…
📊 MARKET PROJECTION: Jackson (D) has an 86% chance to win, up 17 points today, per PredictIt traders.
🗳️ Polls are closed in Maine.
🔵 Jackson (D): 86%
🔴 Collins (R): 15%
The race has not been called yet.
Follow the Maine Senate market live as results come in 👇
predictit.org/markets/detail…
