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8 PRIZEPICKS PLAYS IN A ROW ✅
VIP HAS NOW BEEN PROFITABLE 8 DAYS IN A ROW 📈
3-0 ON PLAYS TODAY 🧹
4-0 ON NFL PLAYS THIS SEASON 🏈
WE ARE ABSOLUTELY ROLLING RIGHT NOW.
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HE IS OVER IN 4 OF THE LAST 5 GAMES AT HOME 📈
PRIZEPICKS PLAY #1 🔒
🏟️ Miami Dolphins @ Las Vegas Raiders
⬆️ Maxx Crosby Over 0.75 Sacks (-119)
Full explanation below 👇
Over in 5 of 8 games at home. Over in 64% of games this season. Over in 71% of games at home last season. Over in H2H game at home last season getting 3 SOG. Over in 8/L10 games. EDM ranks tough for blocks allowed but he is getting enough volume to lean this to the over.
Currently -145 on HRB implying a fair value around -127. Underdog has it at -157 too and other sportsbooks just don't really know where to price this.
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🟢 BEST PRIZEPICKS GOBLINS 11/3
The highest probability PrizePicks Goblins on today’s board, according to sportsbook odds 👇
Damarion Witten Over 9.5 Receiving Yards (-1280 DK)
Maleek Huggins Over 14.5 Receiving Yards (-870 DK)
Charle-Edouard D'Astous Over 0.5 SOG (-800 FD)
Jonathan Lekkerimäki Over 0.5 SOG (-800 FD)
Porter Martone Over 0.5 SOG (-800 FD)
Emmitt Finnie Over 0.5 SOG (-780 FD)
Kirill Kaprizov Over 1.5 SOG (-780 FD)
Matvei Michkov Over 0.5 SOG (-780 FD)
Tom Wilson Over 0.5 SOG (-780 FD)
Charlie Coyle Over 0.5 SOG (-750 FD)
The lower the odds, the higher the implied probability that the prop hits 📈
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Under in 8/L10 games. Under in 9 of 14 games this season. Under in 60% of games on the road last season. Under in 71% of road games this season. NYR allows 11th fewest SOG in the league. No power play minutes in the past 5 games at all.
Under is currently -150 on HRB implying a fair value around -130. All other sportsbooks are juiced over too.
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Under in 9 straight games. Under in 10 of 13 games this season only getting 5 points total. Averaging 0.4 points. Only getting 18.6 min on ice, slightly less than last season. Under in H2H game last season. Had lots of points last season, but does not seem to have that same role this season.
The sportsbooks agree with the under. HRB has it at -150 and theScoreBet has it at -130 implying a fair value of -122.
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PRIZEPICKS GOBLINS RECAP 11/2:
Overall 6-4
Dylan Harper Over 19.5 PRA ✅
Cade Cunningham Over 24.5 PA ✅
Jabari Smith Jr Over 3.5 Rebounds ✅
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 24.5 PR ✅
Trey Murphy III Over 9.5 Points ✅
Cameron Johnson Over 0.5 3-Pointers Made ✅
De'Andre Hunter Over 0.5 3-Pointers Made ❌
Franz Wagner Over 3.5 Rebounds ❌
Kevin Durant Over 14.5 Points ❌
VJ Edgecombe Over 3.5 Rebounds ❌
Chalked day in the NBA overall. Zion could not secure a block or steal for our POTD and lots of goblins fell short. Let's come back stronger today 💪
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🟢 BEST PRIZEPICKS GOBLINS 11/2
The highest probability PrizePicks Goblins on today’s board, according to sportsbook odds 👇
Dylan Harper Over 19.5 PRA (-1000 FD)
VJ Edgecombe Over 3.5 Rebounds (-950 FD)
Cade Cunningham Over 24.5 PA (-900 FD)
Jabari Smith Jr Over 3.5 Rebounds (-900 FD)
Kevin Durant Over 14.5 Points (-900 FD)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 24.5 PR (-900 FD)
Trey Murphy III Over 9.5 Points (-900 FD)
Cameron Johnson Over 0.5 3-Pointers Made (-850 FD)
De'Andre Hunter Over 0.5 3-Pointers Made (-850 FD)
Franz Wagner Over 3.5 Rebounds (-850 FD)
The lower the odds, the higher the implied probability that the prop hits 📈
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🟢 BEST PRIZEPICKS GOBLINS 11/2
The highest probability PrizePicks Goblins on today’s board, according to sportsbook odds 👇
Dylan Harper Over 19.5 PRA (-1000 FD)
VJ Edgecombe Over 3.5 Rebounds (-950 FD)
Cade Cunningham Over 24.5 PA (-900 FD)
Jabari Smith Jr Over 3.5 Rebounds (-900 FD)
Kevin Durant Over 14.5 Points (-900 FD)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 24.5 PR (-900 FD)
Trey Murphy III Over 9.5 Points (-900 FD)
Cameron Johnson Over 0.5 3-Pointers Made (-850 FD)
De'Andre Hunter Over 0.5 3-Pointers Made (-850 FD)
Franz Wagner Over 3.5 Rebounds (-850 FD)
The lower the odds, the higher the implied probability that the prop hits 📈
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Over in 100% of games so far this season going 6 for 6. Over in 2 of the last 4 H2H matchups averaging 3.0 B+S. Averaging 3.2 steals this season. Yves Missi is out which boosts his blocking role. MEM ranks 6th-most in blocks allowed to power forwards and their steals allowed is middle of the pack. His numbers don't look good last season, but it seems his defensive role has allowed him to get more steals compared to last year.
The sportsbooks agree too. Currently -160 on theScoreBet to the over implying a fair value of -140. All other sportsbooks are juiced over too.
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PRIZEPICKS GOBLINS RECAP 11/1:
9-0 SWEEEEEEEP 🧹🧹
Andrew Nembhard Over 11.5 Points ✅
Andrew Nembhard Over 14.5 PR ✅
Austin Reaves Over 15.5 Points ✅
Hunter Henry Over 9.5 Longest Reception ✅
Julius Randle Over 19.5 PR ✅
Julius Randle Over 24.5 PRA ✅
Justin Herbert Over 9.5 Rushing Yards ✅
Kelly Oubre Jr. Over 9.5 PR ✅
Luka Doncic Over 24.5 Points ✅
Jakob Poeltl Over 3.5 Rebounds 🔄️
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🟢 BEST PRIZEPICKS GOBLINS 11/1
The highest probability PrizePicks Goblins on today’s board, according to sportsbook odds 👇
Andrew Nembhard Over 11.5 Points (-1000 CZ)
Andrew Nembhard Over 14.5 PR (-1000 FD)
Austin Reaves Over 15.5 Points (-950 CZ)
Hunter Henry Over 9.5 Longest Reception (-900 FD)
Julius Randle Over 19.5 PR (-900 FD)
Jakob Poeltl Over 3.5 Rebounds (-850 FD)
Julius Randle Over 24.5 PRA (-850 FD)
Justin Herbert Over 9.5 Rushing Yards (-850 FD)
Kelly Oubre Jr. Over 9.5 PR (-850 FD)
Luka Doncic Over 24.5 Points (-850 FD)
The lower the odds, the higher the implied probability that the prop hits 📈
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CASH IT ✅
WE ARE ON A 37-23 PRIZEPICKS RUN 🏃
1-1 on the day again, Franz stays well under but Connor hooks us at 2 SOG.
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UNDER IN 70% OF GAMES LAST SEASON 📉
PRIZEPICKS PLAY #2 🌊
🏟️ Boston Celtics @ Orlando Magic
⬇️ Franz Wagner Under 22.5 Points (-119)
Full explanation below in comments 👇
🟢 BEST PRIZEPICKS GOBLINS 11/1
The highest probability PrizePicks Goblins on today’s board, according to sportsbook odds 👇
Andrew Nembhard Over 11.5 Points (-1000 CZ)
Andrew Nembhard Over 14.5 PR (-1000 FD)
Austin Reaves Over 15.5 Points (-950 CZ)
Hunter Henry Over 9.5 Longest Reception (-900 FD)
Julius Randle Over 19.5 PR (-900 FD)
Jakob Poeltl Over 3.5 Rebounds (-850 FD)
Julius Randle Over 24.5 PRA (-850 FD)
Justin Herbert Over 9.5 Rushing Yards (-850 FD)
Kelly Oubre Jr. Over 9.5 PR (-850 FD)
Luka Doncic Over 24.5 Points (-850 FD)
The lower the odds, the higher the implied probability that the prop hits 📈
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Under in 70% of games last season. Under in 3 of 4 games H2H. Paolo is out, which he stayed under in 50% of games without him last season. Only got 15 points H2H last season without Paolo. His 3 point shooting accuracy has been falling off recently, shooting only 18% this season. BOS allows the 5th fewest points at the rim where a lot of Wagner's scoring comes from. Other SF like Buzelis, Miller, and Bridges stayed under their line vs BOS recently.
Under is currently -145 on Bovada suggesting a fair value around -126. All other sportsbooks are juiced under too.
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Over in 12 of 14 games this season. Averaging 4.1 SOG and 7.6 attempts per game this season. Over in 6 of 7 games on the road this season. Over in 60% of games last season. The matchup isn't ideal, as CAR is a strong defense for SOG and he has only hit the over in 44% of games played H2H in his career. But, the overall volume is the angle we are looking at here.
The sportsbooks agree. The over is -175 on HRB and -135 on theScoreBet implying a fair value around -131. All other sportsbooks are juiced over too.
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CASH THE OVER ✅
CASH ANOTHER 6X ON VIP 💰
Holmstrom secures some SOG in the 3rd to cash us out. Unfortunately Schroder hooked us on the under by 0.5. We would have had another 6x hit too if he stayed under.
We are still on a 36-22 run, consistently hitting that target of above 60% hit rate. Let's keep the research sharp, 💜 this if you are ready for today's props!!
OVER IN 6 OF HIS LAST 8 GAMES 📈
PRIZEPICKS PLAY #1 🌊
🏟️ Edmonton Oilers @ New York Islanders
⬆️ Simon Holmstrom Over 1.5 SOG (-119)
Full explanation below in comments 👇
CASH IT ✅
36-22 RUN ON PRIZEPICKS, WE DONT STOP 🏃
I appreciate all the support! Please LIKE + FOLLOW if you tailed along 🤝🤝
OVER IN 6 OF HIS LAST 8 GAMES 📈
PRIZEPICKS PLAY #1 🌊
🏟️ Edmonton Oilers @ New York Islanders
⬆️ Simon Holmstrom Over 1.5 SOG (-119)
Full explanation below in comments 👇