Superb analysis.
🔁 March: I said fundamentals + Fib converge at 18k–19k.
October: the chart is now pointing to the same zone. 👇
📉 Technical picture (Monthly):
➡️ Almost a triple top in ~2 years near 26,373
➡️ Rising trendline broken intramonth (only wicks so far)
➡️ Daily & weekly already below the cloud
📊 Charts:
1️⃣ Fib of last 3 rallies: 2008 fell ~75%, 2020 ~47%, today only ~13%
2️⃣ Fib + monthly cloud: 2008 & 2020 sliced through the whole cloud in one candle; Oct 2026 is holding the cloud top for now
3️⃣ Yellow zones: near triple tops + red trendline. Previous two breaks led to brutal falls; this time only a wick so far
4️⃣ Black circles: 2013 held the cloud top and gave a multi-year rally; 2019–20 pierced it and crashed. 2026: which one? 🤔
🎯 Where the confluence sits:
➡️ 38.2% Fib of 7,511 → 26,373 = 19,168
➡️ Monthly cloud bottom ≈ 19,000
➡️ Long-term horizontal support ≈ 18,887
So 18,900–19,200 is a triple-layer support zone.
📌 History check (PE at the top → fall):
2008 top → PE ~28 → ~75% retracement
2020 top → PE ~28 → ~47% retracement
2026 top → PE ~24–25 (FY26 EPS) → 38.2% retracement is enough to reset it
💰 Valuation at 19,000:
➡️ ~17x FY26 EPS
➡️ ~15.5x FY27E EPS
From ~24x at the top to ~17x in the zone. That's mouth-watering territory for long-term money.
🪜 Plan for long-term investors:
1st tranche ~21,000
2nd 18,900–19,200 (triple-layer support)
3rd 15,500–16,500: the long-term trendline joining the 2008 & 2020 bottoms, the line both crashes respected. ~14–15x FY26 EPS.
Keep dry powder for the 3rd only if crude spikes further. Most cycles won't reach it, but if they do, it's a once-in-a-decade valuation.
⚠️ Crude, USDINR & FII flows will decide the speed, not the destination.
🙏 Shared purely for knowledge, to help retail investors avoid buying at highs and plan entries with patience.
Purvesh Mehta | SEBI Registered Research Analyst
Reg. No. INH000014748 | BSE Enlistment No. 6024
Disclaimer: Educational view only, not a buy/sell recommendation. Investments in securities are subject to market risks. Please consult your financial advisor before investing.
You laughed when I said #gold $3800, $silver $49.5 and #btc $62k
You can still laugh when I am saying #usoil $123 and possibly $147
You can laugh and troll me for me saying #nifty will hit 18900-19200 zone (most preferred levels)
You can troll also but stop cursing.🙏
#StockMarketIndia
Surviving crypto black swan kind of event. Thanks @TeamQuantAI for not letting the group be bullish and giving several warnings for crash. Also shorted this fall almost from top.
Pramod retweeted
Tsl ke baad ki khushi??
Next trade #banknifty?
Waiting for 100repost or 2000 members in WhatsApp group.
whatsapp.com/channel/0029VbC…
Took tsl.
#nifty 22400 pe trade over.
Will give fresh trade once I see good setup.
Hope for less or no cursing....and more positivity.
Pramod retweeted
#nifty guess today's closing (after cas) the one which we see at 15:40 hrs and win cash price of 2100₹
Rules
1. No range but fix level (avoid decimal) and in reply section only, no quote
2. Use #PTE and #TradeWithPurvesh both in your reply
3. Like and repost this post
4. Guess before 15:00 hrs
5. Max one winner will be there, incase of tie person who predicted first will win.
Will give buffer point of 3 points only
Ho jaao shuru
Pramod retweeted
Profit of 2800 dollars in $btc by
Prophet Futureman
All live in your feed no hold this hold that support resistance lagging Indicators non sense they teach
I hope you made money in the #bitcoin short
Seeing future is a secret only known to select few man in Himalayas
And quant data future man
Exact top 71700
Shorted in $btc
2300 dollar profits in bitcoin
Pramod retweeted
Day 489 of correct consecutive of btc set up.
Now in 2300 dollar profit
Since I came back last 5 daya
Summary
Longed 66.2k to 74k 8000 profit
Shorted 73.8k to 66300 6000 profit
Longed 66300 to 70700 4400 profit
Shorted 70700 to 69600 1000
Shorted 71700 to 69400 2300
Latest set up in 1600 usdt profit in $btc short
Day 488 of consecutive days of bitcoin profits.
I doubt anyone in entire industry can say that .
All live none of retrospective bullcrap
This hold that support that resistance that model
Pramod retweeted
Day 488 of being right about $btc
Btc down.
Anyways set up given today still valid cpi tomorrow
Pramod retweeted
66300 entry in 1700 dollars profit
In this crap market
I will Wait for you to give me one guy who can predict future like me.
487 days of correct btc set ups
Enjoy the free signals like good old days
Just like retweet
Pramod retweeted
Just like and retweet boys and girls just like a d retweet
Pramod retweeted
#Nifty Update
25293 marked as low till now.
If a bounce comes (if at all), resistance likely in the 25420–25460 zone.
That will be my re-short area.
CBSL: 25609
Downside levels to watch:
25110
24880
24620
Bias remains sell-on-rise.
Let structure play out.
Those who bookmarked old post are requested to do the same....with few words of appreciation.😀🙏
Replying to @TA_Purvesh
25296-335 should act as some sort of support.
Book some quantity here....sure
Get out completely from short?.....NO
Pramod retweeted
🌁Lesson 1
8 Famous Trends to Identify Future Leaders in Any Market
🏷️Disclaimer: Please note that the examples added in the context are not buy or sell recommendations; they were included solely to explain the concept.
🔍 Insight:
“There is always a bull market somewhere: in some asset class, sector or geography.”
📋If you want to find Wealth Creating stocks, there are certain repeating patterns or common themes where they emerge. These are timeless principles across global and Indian markets.
Key Patterns for Identification (With Examples):
⸻
1️⃣ Global to Local
➤ Whatever succeeds abroad (US, China) often finds its way to India with a lag.
•Example: Apple’s global success with premium retail + ecosystem is now mirrored in India through Titan’s premium watches & jewellery, Nykaa’s beauty platform, and Jio’s digital ecosystem trying to replicate Amazon Apple models locally.
⸻
2️⃣ New Sector for Each Bull Market
➤ Every bull cycle brings new leaders. Yesterday’s leaders rarely repeat.
•Example: PSU Defence stocks are the current bull market leaders; in 2017–2020 it was chemicals, and in 2021-2023 it was Renewable Stocks. Each cycle rewards a fresh sector.
⸻
3️⃣ Above Average Growth
➤ Companies growing far ahead of GDP, industry peers and sector averages.
•Example: XYZ Company , After years of stagnation, XYZ Company is now showing robust growth in order book and revenues compared to broader infra/energy peers due to renewable energy tailwinds.
⸻
4️⃣ Massive Opportunity Size
➤ Sectors or companies operating in markets with huge headroom (ex: Semiconductor, AI & Power)
•Example: Tata Power, JSW Energy – Both have significant room to grow given India’s national renewable energy targets for 2030–2040.
⸻
5️⃣ First Generation Entrepreneurs
➤ Hunger and agility usually beat legacy comfort.
•Example: Deepak Nitrite’s management or Divi’s Labs under Dr. Murali Divi are classic examples of first gen promoters building global leadership from scratch without old legacy baggage.
⸻
6️⃣ All Time High Stocks
➤ Fresh highs often signal underlying business strength, not exhaustion.
•Example: Railway Stocks breaking lifetime highs amid strong earnings and government infra push are examples of ‘strength begets strength’.
⸻
7️⃣ Small Market Cap
➤ Smaller bases grow faster when tailwinds arrive.
•Example: Syrma SGS, Pricol – Both small cap companies in EMS and auto-ancillary spaces are seeing rapid re rating due to sectoral growth tailwinds.
⸻
8️⃣ Relatively Fair Valuation
➤ Great businesses are rarely cheap; high PE alone is not a red flag if earnings visibility is strong.
•Example: Page Industries, Titan Always expensive on PE, but earnings growth, cash flows, and scalability justify valuations over time.
⸻
📌 How You Can Use This:
When hunting for the next multibagger:
☑️Focus where growth visibility is real, not hypothetical.
☑️Don’t fear valuations if business execution is solid.
☑️Look for companies gaining relevance (mindshare), not just market share.
Markets reward momentum, not just value.
#investing
Manchester is red ♥️ This is the best I have seen them play in years !! One of the best MU matches I have seen in years. Hope this is not just manager change rebound win and something we see on a consistent basis !! #manutd #ManchesterUnited #ManchesterDerby
Pramod retweeted
#Nifty Outlook | 7 Jan 2026 📊
CMP: 26,170–26,180
Stop Loss: 26,100 (1-hour closing)
Targets: 🎯 26,426 | 26,526
View: Bullish 🟢
Bullish structure remains intact.
Today’s move was disappointing, but price is still holding near the entry zone.
Low risk from current levels with potential for a strong upside move. ⚖️
#Nifty #Nifty50 #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #RiskManagement
🚨 NIFTY | 5/1/2026 – READ THIS CAREFULLY 🚨
📌 We Closed around : 26250
📉 Support: 26182
📈 Resistance: 26426
Tomorrow = no hero opening.
Likely neutral → negative start, shakeout first.
💣 If you panic near support → market takes your money.
💡 If price respects 26170–90 → directional move begins.
🎯 Target zone: 26426 (1–2 trading sessions)
🛑 Hard SL: 26100 in 1 hr closing aa(below this, you’re wrong. Period.)
No hopium.
Only levels doing the damage.
Trade smart or donate liquidity 💀📊🔥
#NIFTY #PriceAction #LevelToLevel #TradersLife























