Election Follower | Redistricting Enthusiast | Data Enjoyer

Joined October 2021
Michael Whatley watch party next Tuesday:
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277
4
5,604
98,968
The October surprise dropped
Republicans are gonna keep the senate. TAKE IT TO THE BANK.
5
4
411
15,773
Most sane Libertarian Party candidate
Jonathan D. Miller, Libertarian candidate for North Carolina Senate, taken into custody after hours-long standoff with police and posting threats
1
1
32
727
The way our first insight into the 2026 midterms is gonna be Indiana Secretary of State and Kentucky’s 6th congressional district
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13
1
492
9,643
wauk 🇺🇸 retweeted
Let’s Go Brandon! | The Fall of Ted Cruz and the Rise of Brandon Gill
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24
7
559
214,295
So they predict Nebraska Governor flipping blue and Nevada Governor staying red ok
Concord Public Opinion Partners poll | 9/26-9/30 LV (released 10/24) Nevada Governor 2026 🟥Joe Lombardo 43% (incumbent) 🟦Aaron Ford 42% —— Generic congressional ballot 2026 (Nevada) 🟦Democratic 48% 🟥Republican 33% concordpublicopinionpartners…
4
4
71
2,153
No one is prepared
How many seats are going to turn out like this this election cycle
6
1
120
3,196
wauk 🇺🇸 retweeted
JUST IN: Gina Hinojosa’s odds to win the Texas Governor race increase to 35%
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32
5
916
52,734
wauk 🇺🇸 retweeted
The Republican mayor of Fort Worth - GOP nominee Bo French's home base - endorses Houston Democrat Jon Rosenthal for Texas Railroad Commissioner #txlege
"Jon Rosenthal is the right choice for Texas Railroad Commissioner. Jon has the experience, proven leadership, and focus on what matters most to our state - smart regulation and policy in partnership with Texans and industry leaders. The Texas Railroad Commission is not a place for culture wars and bigotry - it’s the foundation of the Texas economy, and we cannot afford to hand it to the wrong leader. Vote for Jon Rosenthal." - @MayorMattie, Mayor of Fort Worth
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330
18
1,584
50,469
wauk 🇺🇸 retweeted
Saturday tends to be one of the slowest days in the early voting period, but Day 6 still saw over 220K voters show up to vote in the big 5 urban counties, bringing the cumulative total significantly above 1.6M. They are running at about 90% of 2024 Day 6.
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15
1
196
18,620
NYT/Siena polls | 10/16-10/22 LV US House 2026 | Pennsylvania congressional races PA-01 🟦Bob Harvie 48% 🟥Brian Fitzpatrick 46% (incumbent) —— PA-07 🟦Bob Brooks 49% 🟥Ryan Mackenzie 44% (incumbent) —— PA-08 🟦Paige Congnetti 51% 🟥Rob Bresnahan 46% (incumbent) —— PA-10 🟥Scott Perry 48% (incumbent) 🟦Janelle Stelson 48%
NYT/Siena poll | 10/16-10/22 LV US House 2026 | Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district (Trump +8, Rob Bresnahan +2 | 2024) 🟦Paige Cognetti 51% 🟥Rob Bresnahan 46% (incumbent)
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63
26
453
65,046
I feel Miami-Dade is gonna be a Jolly-Moody county lmao
5
5
2
266
13,366
States I’m probably most bullish on for each party in how they will do: Republicans: Oregon, Florida Democrats: Arizona, Pennsylvania
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1
1
26
1,671
Lowkey the ultimate land doesn’t vote final boss
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2
1
135
2,896
Land doesn’t vote final boss
Last week, Alberta handily rejected a referendum that would put a binding independence referendum on its ballot by a three-to-one margin. On the same ballot, however, Albertans demonstrated greater support for increasing provincial autonomy.
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3
108
3,159
Can’t even see the arrow 😭
Here’s a precinct map comparing the first five days of IPEV in the Houston Metro area to the first five days of IPEV in 2024.
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1,608
wauk 🇺🇸 retweeted
Here’s a precinct map comparing the first five days of IPEV in the Houston Metro area to the first five days of IPEV in 2024.
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9
110
35,435
#OhioGovernor Amy Acton is now the #1 fundraiser on ActBlue, surpassing James Talarico.
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120
29
1,680
114,915
wauk 🇺🇸 retweeted
Average of the expert ratings for the US House races (Cook, Sabato, Inside Elections):
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5
1
126
11,999
Quantus poll | 10/19-10/21 LV Indiana statewide races 2026 (Leaners pushed) Secretary of State 🟦Beau Bayh 43.3% 🟥Max Engling 40.4% 🟨Greg Ballard 4.9% —— State Treasurer 🟥Daniel Eillott 46.2% (incumbent) 🟦Coumba Kebe 38.4% —— State Comptroller 🟥Elise Nieshalla 45.4% (incumbent) 🟦Jessica Bailey 34.4%
Quantus poll | 10/19-10/21 LV Indiana Secretary of State 2026 🟦Beau Bayh 41.6% 🟥Max Engling 38.6%
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15
2
119
14,319