The way our first insight into the 2026 midterms is gonna be Indiana Secretary of State and Kentucky’s 6th congressional district
So they predict Nebraska Governor flipping blue and Nevada Governor staying red ok
Concord Public Opinion Partners poll | 9/26-9/30 LV (released 10/24)
Nevada Governor 2026
🟥Joe Lombardo 43% (incumbent)
🟦Aaron Ford 42%
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Generic congressional ballot 2026 (Nevada)
🟦Democratic 48%
🟥Republican 33%
concordpublicopinionpartners…
wauk 🇺🇸 retweeted
The Republican mayor of Fort Worth - GOP nominee Bo French's home base - endorses Houston Democrat Jon Rosenthal for Texas Railroad Commissioner #txlege
"Jon Rosenthal is the right choice for Texas Railroad Commissioner. Jon has the experience, proven leadership, and focus on what matters most to our state - smart regulation and policy in partnership with Texans and industry leaders. The Texas Railroad Commission is not a place for culture wars and bigotry - it’s the foundation of the Texas economy, and we cannot afford to hand it to the wrong leader. Vote for Jon Rosenthal." - @MayorMattie, Mayor of Fort Worth
wauk 🇺🇸 retweeted
Saturday tends to be one of the slowest days in the early voting period, but Day 6 still saw over 220K voters show up to vote in the big 5 urban counties, bringing the cumulative total significantly above 1.6M. They are running at about 90% of 2024 Day 6.
wauk 🇺🇸 retweeted
NYT/Siena polls | 10/16-10/22 LV
US House 2026 | Pennsylvania congressional races
PA-01
🟦Bob Harvie 48%
🟥Brian Fitzpatrick 46% (incumbent)
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PA-07
🟦Bob Brooks 49%
🟥Ryan Mackenzie 44% (incumbent)
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PA-08
🟦Paige Congnetti 51%
🟥Rob Bresnahan 46% (incumbent)
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PA-10
🟥Scott Perry 48% (incumbent)
🟦Janelle Stelson 48%
States I’m probably most bullish on for each party in how they will do:
Republicans: Oregon, Florida
Democrats: Arizona, Pennsylvania
wauk 🇺🇸 retweeted
Here’s a precinct map comparing the first five days of IPEV in the Houston Metro area to the first five days of IPEV in 2024.
wauk 🇺🇸 retweeted
#OhioGovernor
Amy Acton is now the #1 fundraiser on ActBlue, surpassing James Talarico.
wauk 🇺🇸 retweeted
Average of the expert ratings for the US House races (Cook, Sabato, Inside Elections):
wauk 🇺🇸 retweeted
Quantus poll | 10/19-10/21 LV
Indiana statewide races 2026 (Leaners pushed)
Secretary of State
🟦Beau Bayh 43.3%
🟥Max Engling 40.4%
🟨Greg Ballard 4.9%
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State Treasurer
🟥Daniel Eillott 46.2% (incumbent)
🟦Coumba Kebe 38.4%
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State Comptroller
🟥Elise Nieshalla 45.4% (incumbent)
🟦Jessica Bailey 34.4%




































