Pre-made plan executed on $BTC
Failed auction (FA) below 76,000 that bottomed in the HVN zone. Reclamed 77 which was the confirmation for the long as img shows and TP1 should be quick to take if can't read OF (explained why ⬇️)
Important: We must see acceptance above the HVN zone 81,400 > 81,800 to then see 84k at a minimum and really should take those highs 85k. From there will see what we're dealing with (if we flip HVN zone)
LTF: The late entry to this impulse would be 79,6 - 79,4. The level i'd look for shorts / hedge shorts if longed is 81,7 - 82k
Orderflow: If we lose 79,400 that's going to retrace us down to 78,680 as the majority of this impulse was caused by short covering rally (no real demand)
Daily close will give better view on how value is shifting (volume profile / tpo) 🥳
Hello $BTC mid 70s done✅
For the most part played out pretty well. LTF scalping had some good trades. Binance hack catalyst takes us down and potentially marks the bottom with 1B + in long liquidations creating max fear as 90% of fake orderflow users were calling for 100s since the rally into high 80s was made unlike we who were ready for it😘As I said in the img, this wasn't going to be easy and for most it hasn't been.
The update for this HTF plan is going to be 2 scenarios I’m eying. Very clear on which plays out based on two simple levels.
Scenario 1: Low is put into 75-76 zone then proceeds to flip 79,600 (LTF) and stronger closes above 81,400 getting acceptance into our upper values range. Being confirmation of the low being in for me and 90s is next
Scenario 2: 75k support is lost and we see weeks longer of ranging. Trickling all the way until value ends up at 67k where everyone will be convinced a new bear low is coming. Only once that happens we’ll be ready for the next spring
Potential setups in the img. Happy tradings🥂
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Hello $BTC mid 70s done✅
For the most part played out pretty well. LTF scalping had some good trades. Binance hack catalyst takes us down and potentially marks the bottom with 1B + in long liquidations creating max fear as 90% of fake orderflow users were calling for 100s since the rally into high 80s was made unlike we who were ready for it😘As I said in the img, this wasn't going to be easy and for most it hasn't been.
The update for this HTF plan is going to be 2 scenarios I’m eying. Very clear on which plays out based on two simple levels.
Scenario 1: Low is put into 75-76 zone then proceeds to flip 79,600 (LTF) and stronger closes above 81,400 getting acceptance into our upper values range. Being confirmation of the low being in for me and 90s is next
Scenario 2: 75k support is lost and we see weeks longer of ranging. Trickling all the way until value ends up at 67k where everyone will be convinced a new bear low is coming. Only once that happens we’ll be ready for the next spring
Potential setups in the img. Happy tradings🥂
$BTC Plan for the next few weeks
I think it would be nice to see range 84K > 88K develop over the next couple of days.
If we break up > 90-92k
If we break down > 80-78K
90–92K (max) > mid/low 70s > 96-102K is path im eyeing over the next few weeks.
I Caught some longs up for this move after (mostly) roundtripping 8% short 2 weeks ago😪Trying a scalp short (hedge) down to 84k
Perps has been fun. Watched people go from trendlines, fvgs, retail slop like RSI thinking they cracked the code (self projection). Now past few months they’ve discovered cvd, funding rates. Calling it “orderflow” while using such on a 2 week + timeframe 😂😂 You don’t even understand how liquidity works in the market big bro
You will fail ✍️
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10/10 - The week a 6% trade on $BTC turned into a swing adding sells on every retest given xitter.gq/ro_heh/status/19770451…
So many friends destroyed on 10/10 it felt odd being on the right side of the market😅🥲
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$BTC 30m closed above I took another long and still have my 81k long open. Run me 88k please
$BTC Scalp long?
Been waiting few hrs for us to flip 86,6 but it's just stalling under. Look for longs if we flip it im heading out for the day
What we got is 12M ish shorts between here and 86k. If we can flip above them it should trigger a short covering which = pump to the upside.
88k will be the next target if flipped
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$BTC Scalp long?
Been waiting few hrs for us to flip 86,6 but it's just stalling under. Look for longs if we flip it im heading out for the day
What we got is 12M ish shorts between here and 86k. If we can flip above them it should trigger a short covering which = pump to the upside.
88k will be the next target if flipped
$BTC Plan for the next few weeks
I think it would be nice to see range 84K > 88K develop over the next couple of days.
If we break up > 90-92k
If we break down > 80-78K
90–92K (max) > mid/low 70s > 96-102K is path im eyeing over the next few weeks.
I Caught some longs up for this move after (mostly) roundtripping 8% short 2 weeks ago😪Trying a scalp short (hedge) down to 84k
Out the short here 80,6. No loss on the trade so I guess I’ll take it 🙃 Will reassess on the move when I’m on pc. Looks like I’m wrong or this is max capitulation? Will see 😂
$BTC Swing short from the high 81k as planned🔥
I'll be taking a TP1 here (15%) at 77k but that does not mean I think a good bottom is in. I see next couple days giving some relief but after again leading to downside.
I'd like to look for scalp longs soon. Flipping 77,6 or retesting some lower levels throughout NY session today. Levels im focused on in the LTF img
Overall remains the same and will be looking for lower 70s the next 2 weeks 🐻🐻🐻
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$BTC First scalp done and TPd. Expecting a range to play out somewhat like the discord img shows
Fun ranging for next couple days, take advantage scalpers
$BTC Swing short from the high 81k as planned🔥
I'll be taking a TP1 here (15%) at 77k but that does not mean I think a good bottom is in. I see next couple days giving some relief but after again leading to downside.
I'd like to look for scalp longs soon. Flipping 77,6 or retesting some lower levels throughout NY session today. Levels im focused on in the LTF img
Overall remains the same and will be looking for lower 70s the next 2 weeks 🐻🐻🐻
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$BTC Swing short from the high 81k as planned🔥
I'll be taking a TP1 here (15%) at 77k but that does not mean I think a good bottom is in. I see next couple days giving some relief but after again leading to downside.
I'd like to look for scalp longs soon. Flipping 77,6 or retesting some lower levels throughout NY session today. Levels im focused on in the LTF img
Overall remains the same and will be looking for lower 70s the next 2 weeks 🐻🐻🐻
Final high is in for bitcoin:native?
Another top tick rejection right off the levels i've shown. If the plan I've been going over is coming into fruition, this is likely the final high or very close to being one.
I've got 3 shorts looking at:
1 - I'm going to be watching for 4H closure below HVN (80,700) and getting in short once that level is retested SL at feb range high (83k)
2 - Limit short 81,9k retesting the levels we wicked as there's some OF nodes with SL at feb range high also (83k)
3 - Lets say we just simply crash without getting the retest ill be looking for loss of 79k to get in on shorts with a much tigher SL
TPO = Strong TPO tail at the high + Poor lows 77k + $2000 imbalance below 80,300
Orderflow = Entire daily candle caused 60m + pos to close (short covering rally) + 20M longs so far building up in this top range (trapping) + Not many shorts (Traders are scared to short, turning bullish into HTF resis???)
SL hits?
If SL hits well then obviously i've been wrong and I think we're going to get a push up to 87k. I've got couple other ideas along with long / short setups etc that I have planned but until / if that happens we stick with the same scenario for almost 2 months now.
Important: Note the weekly and monthly structure does not show a big expansion of 90-100k coming so that's still not in my playbook as of currently.
That’s prime example of how you use orderflow to your advantage on $BTC. Short playing out as written, 3% move so far from entry
Keeping position the same, TPs focused on 74-76k region. Keep it coming bears 🐻
Final high is in for bitcoin:native?
Another top tick rejection right off the levels i've shown. If the plan I've been going over is coming into fruition, this is likely the final high or very close to being one.
I've got 3 shorts looking at:
1 - I'm going to be watching for 4H closure below HVN (80,700) and getting in short once that level is retested SL at feb range high (83k)
2 - Limit short 81,9k retesting the levels we wicked as there's some OF nodes with SL at feb range high also (83k)
3 - Lets say we just simply crash without getting the retest ill be looking for loss of 79k to get in on shorts with a much tigher SL
TPO = Strong TPO tail at the high + Poor lows 77k + $2000 imbalance below 80,300
Orderflow = Entire daily candle caused 60m + pos to close (short covering rally) + 20M longs so far building up in this top range (trapping) + Not many shorts (Traders are scared to short, turning bullish into HTF resis???)
SL hits?
If SL hits well then obviously i've been wrong and I think we're going to get a push up to 87k. I've got couple other ideas along with long / short setups etc that I have planned but until / if that happens we stick with the same scenario for almost 2 months now.
Important: Note the weekly and monthly structure does not show a big expansion of 90-100k coming so that's still not in my playbook as of currently.
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Final high is in for bitcoin:native?
Another top tick rejection right off the levels i've shown. If the plan I've been going over is coming into fruition, this is likely the final high or very close to being one.
I've got 3 shorts looking at:
1 - I'm going to be watching for 4H closure below HVN (80,700) and getting in short once that level is retested SL at feb range high (83k)
2 - Limit short 81,9k retesting the levels we wicked as there's some OF nodes with SL at feb range high also (83k)
3 - Lets say we just simply crash without getting the retest ill be looking for loss of 79k to get in on shorts with a much tigher SL
TPO = Strong TPO tail at the high + Poor lows 77k + $2000 imbalance below 80,300
Orderflow = Entire daily candle caused 60m + pos to close (short covering rally) + 20M longs so far building up in this top range (trapping) + Not many shorts (Traders are scared to short, turning bullish into HTF resis???)
SL hits?
If SL hits well then obviously i've been wrong and I think we're going to get a push up to 87k. I've got couple other ideas along with long / short setups etc that I have planned but until / if that happens we stick with the same scenario for almost 2 months now.
Important: Note the weekly and monthly structure does not show a big expansion of 90-100k coming so that's still not in my playbook as of currently.
$BTC HTF View: I've been bullish on crypto past 2 months expecting a move into the 70s and here it's
Main idea:
I’m expecting the top to form around 79–82k, followed by another major move across crypto to the downside and the creation of a new macro low. Ideally this takes us into the mid 50s.
Invalidation:
• Weekly/monthly resistance at 79–82k is flipped.
• Monthly close in ~9 days, with 76k as the major level.
If we can flip 82k, I’m looking for 87k as the minimum next move.
MTF:
Expecting a range to develop over the next few weeks as we build massive liquidity both ways and get the market super bullish. 79–65k should provide plenty of R/S flips and opportunities for range traders.
I'm not a trader that cares above others opinions or povs. I do what has made me what I am over the past couple years. I truly do not care if I am wrong. I’ll simply flip bullish and look for levels to load up on for another leg up.
Until / If that happens, I’m treating the biggest short liquidity wipe out in 5 years as a window of opportunities. Let the volatility continue 🎉🎉🎉
$BTC Potential top update?
We're now extending into the upper region of the box. I'd like for us to see a 4H sweep into 81,4>82,2 with a closure below previos 4H high. If happens can take shorts with setting stops BE and SL at wtv high is made (depends on entry) once 79,550 hit, and if 79,550 lost i'm gonna be looking for a larger move down to 73k overall with bumps in the road ofc
(The range trading I talked about)
Within orderflow we can see couple things:
1.
Past 2 days has been filled with people shorting (50m+) and on this new dOpen pump to a new high we've already taken out 20m. This is saying that the pump was likely a short covering rally, liquidating external high liquidity (as i wrote would happen the other day)
2.
So if we're able to get a daily closure under the important 79,550 level the next place to go would be? Well the millions of longs that has been building since 67k
$BTC HTF View: I've been bullish on crypto past 2 months expecting a move into the 70s and here it's
Main idea:
I’m expecting the top to form around 79–82k, followed by another major move across crypto to the downside and the creation of a new macro low. Ideally this takes us into the mid 50s.
Invalidation:
• Weekly/monthly resistance at 79–82k is flipped.
• Monthly close in ~9 days, with 76k as the major level.
If we can flip 82k, I’m looking for 87k as the minimum next move.
MTF:
Expecting a range to develop over the next few weeks as we build massive liquidity both ways and get the market super bullish. 79–65k should provide plenty of R/S flips and opportunities for range traders.
I'm not a trader that cares above others opinions or povs. I do what has made me what I am over the past couple years. I truly do not care if I am wrong. I’ll simply flip bullish and look for levels to load up on for another leg up.
Until / If that happens, I’m treating the biggest short liquidity wipe out in 5 years as a window of opportunities. Let the volatility continue 🎉🎉🎉
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$BTC HTF View: I've been bullish on crypto past 2 months expecting a move into the 70s and here it's
Main idea:
I’m expecting the top to form around 79–82k, followed by another major move across crypto to the downside and the creation of a new macro low. Ideally this takes us into the mid 50s.
Invalidation:
• Weekly/monthly resistance at 79–82k is flipped.
• Monthly close in ~9 days, with 76k as the major level.
If we can flip 82k, I’m looking for 87k as the minimum next move.
MTF:
Expecting a range to develop over the next few weeks as we build massive liquidity both ways and get the market super bullish. 79–65k should provide plenty of R/S flips and opportunities for range traders.
I'm not a trader that cares above others opinions or povs. I do what has made me what I am over the past couple years. I truly do not care if I am wrong. I’ll simply flip bullish and look for levels to load up on for another leg up.
Until / If that happens, I’m treating the biggest short liquidity wipe out in 5 years as a window of opportunities. Let the volatility continue 🎉🎉🎉
$BTC Hello 67,5k - Playing as expected with Elliot Wave. I'd like to see 1 more high at least before determining if it's time for a retrace. Watch fib levels for rejection.
Invalidation = closure below 65k 🎉
$BTC Monthly Correction With Elliot Wave - 67,5k ⏳
The bottom is to be expected at .5 or .618 level
Personal targets after the low is in will be minimum 67,5k and potentially up to 72,5k
Confirmation of low being in will be dependant on flip of 64k
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$HYPE W4 put in just below our price range $53. Chart swept the $75 and has been pushing down since as expected. That's clear warning that W5 could be in and it's time to deeper retrace
$48 - $38 - $30 Price targets ill be expecting if we lose the invalidation line $53
Path that i'm looking at if $53 is lost (yellow lines)
$HYPE W3 is in. Next am looking for W4 that Ideally will be either $60 or $55
This means we should be looking for 1 more high above $75 until a bigger retrace unfolds. Not expecting the next high to be more than 10% as this is a 1-2 1-2 path
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