Stephanie Mercier, Ph.D. #🟦

By November–December, this El Niño will be the strongest any living person has ever experienced. It is expected to completely surpass any previous year by a massive margin. Combined with ongoing climate change, global temperatures could briefly reach nearly 2°C above preindustrial levels in early 2027. Earth has likely not experienced temperatures that warm in hundreds of thousands of years. At these elevated temperatures, we are going to see unprecedented climate and extreme weather events over the next 12–18 months. Sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific have already reached Super El Niño status. A huge volume of warm water still remains in the pipeline, with a record-smashing amount of subsurface heat content in the tropical Pacific yet to surface. This subsurface heat is completely exceeding that of any prior year, including the powerful 1982–83, 1997–98, and 2015–16 El Niño's. Everything about this El Niño is record-breaking. The rate of warming, the projected peak, the amount of subsurface heat content, etc. The next 12–18 months will be eventful, to say the least...