With 65.8% of polls reporting, we have a clearer picture of where this is going. The Netanyahu camp has 56, the opposition at 48 and the Arab parties at 16. The regressions I ran now average 55 for the Netanyahu bloc, 48 for the opposition bloc, and 17 for the Arab parties. This is looking like a FAR better night for Netanyahu and his folks than anyone expected. They are simply far more popular than we thought.

Likud primo partito, ma il suo blocco ha circa 50 seggi (dei 61 necessari). I partiti palestinesi arrivano a 17-18 seggi. Un governo può nascere solo se i grandi oppositori di Bibi finiscono con l’allearsi con lui, oppure se accettano un appoggio arabo.

Here are all the exit polls.

👆 this is many Arabs don’t vote. Because it’s also a way the racial regime legitimizes itself with its pseudo “democracy” but in Israel the jews decides who gets to vote, to whom they can vote, and what they can vote on. That’s why it’s Apartheid end to end.

At 18:00 the turnout is at 66.7%. That is completely off-the-charts high. Compared to previous years, it is higher by double digits than most other elections. This is a completely different electorate.

I'm seeing folks on here—mostly diaspora—say things like, nothing to see in today's election. Genocide won't stop if Netanyahu goes, it might slow down a little to pacify intl pressure but not much will change. This sounds like hard-bitten realism. It actually gives despair.

תקראו את הדברים החשובים של יובל בלומברג: מדינת ישראל נמצאת בסכנה קיומית אמיתית ומוחשית. אם האיראנים ישיגו גרעין, שום דבר כבר לא ישנה יותר. הכל כל כך טפל אל מול הסכנה הקיומית של איראן והציר השיעי. הסערות המבוימות והמומצאות חדשות לבקרים נועדו להסיט את תשומת הלב מהדבר האחד שהוא החשוב ביותר: סיום העבודה באיראן. זה נוגע בקיום הפיזי של כל אדם ואדם כאן. יש לנו עוד שנתיים של טראמפ לסיים את העבודה באיראן, ואין לדעת מה יהיה לאחר מכן, אם זו תהיה קמאלה האריס, או תואם מאמדני כלשהו. זה חלון הזמן שנותר לנו כדי להשלים את העבודה הנדרשת כדי להבטיח את הקיום הפיזי שלנו לשנים הבאות. כל משאבי המדינה הנדרשים, צריכים להיות מושקעים במשימה הזו. קטאר, חרדים, אוריך, גיוס, התראות. הכל מסך עשן ענקי כדי להסתיר את הנושא היחיד שניצב מעל כולם בפער. אם יפלו במרכז הארץ שתי פצצות אטום, את מי יעניינו כל סערות הסרק האלה? הדורות הבאים לא יסלחו לנו אם נפספס את חלון ההזדמנויות ההיסטורי שמאפשר לנו לנסות ולהשלים את המשימה הקריטית ביותר שעומדת בפני הדור שלנו. זה לא יקרה עם ראש ממשלה שמוחזק בצווארו על ידי האחים המוסלמים וסייעני הטרור. זה לא יקרה עם ראש ממשלה שלא מסוגל להרים את הטלפון ולנהל שיחה אינטימית רציפה עם טראמפ. זה לא יקרה עם ראש ממשלה שלא מסוגל לעמוד בלחץ של ראיון טלויזיה. השינאה לנתניהו, ככל שהיא עולם ומלואו עבור מחנה שלם, לא תעזור מול הגרעין האיראני. כל אחד שדואג לקיום הפיזי שלו, של משפחתו, ושל אהוביו, ידו צריכה לרעוד לפני שהוא בוחר במישהו שלא יהיה מסוגל להשלים את המשימה, ובכך לדון את עצמו ואת משפחתו לסכנה של שואה שניה, בגלל השינאה הפוליטית שלו או בגלל סערת דמה מטופשת וחסרת חשיבות.

Tonight in Hebron and throughout the West Bank, residents—including women and children—were evacuated from their homes. This is not what a war to eradicate terror looks like. This is what terror looks like.

You would feel safe in Nazi Germany too. among the privileged. It also thrived for a time. It’s the Palestinians which are not safe. Next time go among them. Cunt

In retaliation for the attack in Hebron, the IDF done the following: 1) Ethnically cleansed the neighborhoods of al-Jalda and Ein Dir Baha in western Hebron. Well over 20,000 people in total were told to leave their homes with no date of return. Demolitions in the area have already begun. They have nowehere to go and will have nowehere to return to. 2) They cordoned off Hebron, a city of more than 200,000. He also announced a siege on Hebron and Halhul. It is worth noting that the Hebron governorate was already in dire economic straits, with five of seven entrances closed to a region where over 1 million Palestinians live. 3) Launched a military operation which will last a few days. Netanyahu has warned that a military operation, "the largest in teh West Bank since teh Six Day War" is being consdiered as well. This is, of course, collective punishment which is a war crime. They are attacking the entire clan from which the attackers came from. All this without trial and without right of appeal. Once settlers moved into Hebron in the 1980s it was always going to end like this. The complete ethnic cleansing of this historic city is just a matter of time.

Five Israelis wounded and two suspected Palestinian attackers killed in West Bank shooting bbc.in/3Ud0szZ

🚨 NEW: The U.S. and Israel are preparing to resume attacks on Iran, possibly before Tuesday’s Israeli elections, according to senior Iranian officials and a U.S. official who spoke to Drop Site. The White House denies plans for U.S. strikes before the midterms. What each told Drop Site: 🔸 Gen. Mohsen Rezaei, Secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, in an exclusive written interview with Drop Site ➤ Iran retains the capacity to launch missiles and drones at U.S. assets and would expand its targets: “Cables, data centers and artificial intelligence facilities could also come within range. If the conflict begins again, we will have a broader plan.” ➤ On previously unused capabilities: “We did not deploy all our capabilities in the previous stages… and we are also prepared for the next stage.” ➤ On Gulf states whose energy infrastructure could help sustain the U.S. blockade: “Those governments should not assume they can participate in economic warfare against Iran without putting themselves at risk.” ➤ On diplomacy: Iran has presented seven new conditions through intermediaries. “Until those conditions are fulfilled, Iran will neither reopen the strait nor return to negotiations.” 🔸 A senior Iranian official ➤ Tehran’s intelligence assessment sees a high likelihood that large-scale bombing begins before the Israeli vote on October 27. “Trump has sat on Iran’s proposed package for ending the war, and negotiations have stalled.” ➤ Tehran believes Israel would strike first, “destroying Iran’s newly deployed air defense systems, in order to open the path for American bombers,” while the U.S. would target defenses along the Strait of Hormuz and potentially attempt to seize an Iranian island. ➤ Trump may launch a “token” attack on an underground nuclear site such as Pickaxe Mountain to claim victory. ➤ “Should another war against Iran begin… their casualty figures will be ten times higher.” 🔸 A U.S. official ➤ Military assets are moving rapidly into place ahead of an expected green light from Trump, with CENTCOM chief Gen. Bradley Cooper among those pushing for renewed attacks. ➤ “CENTCOM is putting all the pieces into place to renew major combat operations.” ➤ The official doubted strikes would come before the Israeli vote, but said: “We did start Epic Fury without all our assets in place.” ➤ “Trump has backed off major combat operations against Iran or the Houthis [Ansarallah] seven times since July… At the last minute, he calls it off.” 🔸 White House Principal Deputy Press Secretary Anna Kelly ➤ “The United States will not be attacking Iran at any time prior to the midterm elections.” — The USS Theodore Roosevelt and the 13th Marine Expeditionary Unit are heading to the region, bringing approximately 10,000 additional sailors and Marines. Two other U.S. aircraft carriers are already in the Arabian Sea. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, trailing in the polls, claimed Wednesday without evidence that Iran is developing a nuclear weapon and said his directive to the Israeli military, Mossad and security agencies is “to topple the regime in Iran.” 🔗 Full details in the new report from Jeremy Scahill, Peiman Salehi and Ryan Grim, linked below.

🚨The sortie involved dozens of Israeli fighter jets and refueling aircraft, the sources said 🚨It followed a flight path consistent with a potential strike against Iran, passing through Syrian and Iraqi airspace 🚨As the aircraft approached the Iranian border, they turned around and returned to Israel, the sources said