
Swarm Intelligence for prediction markets and crypto starting with Robinhood chain! We build the infra and tooling, swarm builds the edge @sleuthio little bro
Joined April 2026
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๐๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐๐ผ๐ป๐ฒ ๐๐ฒ๐๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ฆ๐น๐ฒ๐๐๐ต ๐๐ต๐ถ๐ ๐๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ ๐ถ๐ ๐ด๐ผ๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐๐ผ ๐๐ฒ๐น๐น ๐๐ผ๐ ๐๐ต๐ฒ๐ ๐ณ๐ถ๐น๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐๐ต๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฒ ๐ฐ๐น๐ฎ๐ถ๐บ๐.
I want to tell you whether the numbers underneath those claims are actually true.
That is the only question worth asking of an intelligence terminal. A clean dashboard that gets the odds wrong is worse than no dashboard, because it makes you confident about something that is not real.
So before I touched the Belt, I spent a day doing the boring part. I checked Sleuth against Polymarket, market by market, with both screens open at the same minute.
โ ๐๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐น ๐ฃ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐๐ถ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ป๐๐ถ๐ฎ๐น ๐๐น๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป, Flavio priced at 76.4 on Sleuth, 76.3 on Polymarket
โ ๐๐ฎ๐น๐น๐ผ๐ป ๐ฑ'๐ข๐ฟ ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ป๐ฒ๐ฟ, volume at $51,400,000 on Sleuth, $51,399,591 on Polymarket
โ ๐ฆ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ต๐ฎ๐๐ธ๐ ๐ฎ๐ด๐ฎ๐ถ๐ป๐๐ ๐๐ฒ๐ป๐๐ฒ๐ฟ, $8.3M on Sleuth, $8.26M on Polymarket
A $409 gap on a 51 million dollar market is rounding, not error. That told me the pipeline is real, which meant everything after it was worth testing properly.
Then the Belt started to make sense to me. It is not a farm. You get 3 slots, you write a statement, you name a target, you attach a link anyone can open, and it lands in a public queue with your wallet address under it. Nothing here rewards you for pressing a button. You have to go out and find something worth saying first.
I filed my three:
โ a market claim on the ๐๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐น ๐ฒ๐น๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป, recording the cross venue pricing at a timestamp so anyone can check what the odds were on that exact day
โ a ๐๐ฎ๐น๐น๐ฒ๐ ๐น๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ฒ๐น tying an address to the token it kept buying, so the next researcher can follow the funding trail from a known starting point
โ a ๐๐ผ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ป ๐ฟ๐ถ๐๐ธ ๐ฐ๐น๐ฎ๐ถ๐บ on a trending name that scores 4.5 for contract safety and 1.4 for liquidity health, with liquidity at $88k against a $90 million market cap
Two things I did not expect, and both of them made me trust it more.
The counters do not lie, they just do not explain themselves. In review sat at 9 before I had filed anything. Two claims later it read 11. Three claims later, 12.
So that number is the whole platform, and the slots are mine alone. Once you learn the baseline, every figure lines up perfectly. That is a well built counter wearing the wrong label.And the slot limit actually holds.
At 0 out of 3 it blocked me cleanly. A beta that enforces its own limits is a beta where the reward numbers later will be worth something.
Then the part that stung. I published one claim with a sentence that trails off halfway through, and a volume written in a way that says millions twice.
There is no preview screen, no warning, no edit and no withdraw. Once it is out there with your address underneath, it is out there forever.
One screen showing me the card before it went live would have saved that.
Which is really the whole point of the product, isn't it. Sleuth asks you to show your work. That is a much harder ask than reading a chart and posting a screenshot. It is also the only version of crypto research that ever compounds.
๐๐ฒ๐น๐ ๐ถ๐ ๐๐ต๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐๐ผ๐ ๐๐ฟ๐ถ๐๐ฒ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฑ. ๐ง๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฒ ๐ถ๐ ๐๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฑ ๐ฏ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ผ๐บ๐ฒ๐.
I have one slot free tomorrow. Still deciding what deserves it. @sleuthintel
The Tree is taking shape.
The hidden connections between wallets, callers, prediction market traders, narratives, pumps, and rugs will become visible.
โ A drainer wallet hits three memecoins. Each one pre-shilled by the same CT account, hours before the drain. Alone, three rug reports. Connected, a pipeline. Now you flag the next token that account shills before it happens, not after.
โ A wallet takes the YES side six hours before resolution news breaks. A credible-looking analyst account has been calling the same trade in public. The Tree links the two. Same operator. A wallet and a marketing front. Not alpha. Insider dealing with a PR team.
The Tree shows you what nobody else can.
The wallet behind the caller. The trader who knew six hours early. Thatโs what people pay for, and every payment method runs through robinhood:0x0500a1a597a631cec9637767f7b75c5b5d0c1db4.
The Tree gives alpha. Usage turns into demand for the token.
Higher for @RobinhoodCrypto, higher for robinhood:0xf44702b17d9abd53815f703e772f35e9c71a53af
$1.14B+ TVL, an ATH for Robinhood Chain.
More DeFi, more wallets, more to do.
The Treeโs utility is about to get tested and the traffic is already here.
Last 30 days on Sleuth: ๐ 304k requests (10.1k/day avg, 9,427 yesterday)
๐ฅ 14k unique visits across the month (~463/day avg, 463 yesterday)
๐ ~22 requests per visitor/day, this isnโt bounce traffic, people sit in the app
Thatโs the pool Tier 2 gets built from.
Let's take a look at the mechanics of the token only access design. Not price speculation but the direct result of 100 users holding for Tier 2 access.
Tier 2 access = hold $2K of robinhood:0x0500a1a597a631cec9637767f7b75c5b5d0c1db4 (or pay monthly in robinhood:0x0500a1a597a631cec9637767f7b75c5b5d0c1db4 ). No cash subs. If price rises, you need fewer tokens to stay qualified, sell the excess, keep access.
With the release of The Tree, our flagship intel product, almost here. Weโre targeting 100 Tier 2 holders next months.
Hereโs what 100 holding for Tier 2 access does from here:
๐ Now 90.3M robinhood:0x0500a1a597a631cec9637767f7b75c5b5d0c1db4 in LP (9.0%) | 18.5 ETH | $89k pool | $0.00049 | $0.49M FDV
๐น Scenario 1
Everyone trims to exactly $2K +$75k net buy 33.7M SLEUTH in LP (3.4%) | 49.7 ETH | $238k pool | $0.00354 | $3.53M FDV โ the floor: what the access rule alone guarantees
๐น Scenario 2
Nobody sells +$200k net buy 16.4M SLEUTH in LP (1.6%) | 101.9 ETH | $489k pool | $0.01488 | $14.85M FDV โ the ceiling: 100 users just holding
Reality lands between $3.53Mโ$14.85M FDV from access demand alone. This is purely the mechanics of the token only gating of our most valuable Intel.
This is the potential correlation when the token is the only path to access. In the design, not bolted on
New here?
- Axol.io built the Raxol agent, tokenized on @RobinhoodApp!
- Raxol routes trades through our privacy-first DEX/Dark Pool: @xochi_fi
Check out our pinned post for the full breakdown!, and link in bio for CA/TG!
New to axol.io, Raxol, & xochi.fi?
Most people find us through $RAXOL first, then work backwards: the agent, lab, dark pool, ERC, bridge, etc.
Our legend:
axol.io: the lab that builds all of it
Raxol.io: Open-source agent runtime and framework
$RAXOL: Tokenized Raxol agent
Xochi.fi: Dark pool where trades execute
ERC-8262: How private trades stay compliant
PXE Bridge: Door to private settlement on Aztec
A thread.
Sleuth Intel retweeted
the @sleuthintel are building something really cool. Personally I can hardly wait to dig into the upcoming mainnet product a lot more and partner with them on @Get_Ora when the time comes.
The deepest intel lives on the Tree. It shows all the connected dots. One lookup shows you what five dashboards canโt. Whoโs behind the wallet, where theyโre positioned, and what story theyโre riding or hiding.
Signals are data. The connections are alpha. The Tree shows you what nobody else can.
How does The Tree benefit $SLEUTH holders?
You need to hold $SLEUTH or have a monthly subscription (paid in Sleuth) to gain access to the platform.
โ Holders take supply out of the pool and keep it in their wallets. As users step up to T3 and T4, more of it stays there.
โ Subscribers pay in SLEUTH every month, and a quarter of every payment is locked for two years currently before it goes to the swarm as wages
Usage turns into demand for the token.
That demand turns into supply leaving the market. As the Tree grows, it surfaces more links, which brings more users and more lockup.
Sleuth Intel retweeted
This week I finally got hands on with Sleuth's Belt, and honestly, it clicked faster than I expected
The idea is simple: you submit a claim (about a wallet, a token, a market, anything), back it with evidence, and the swarm checks it. If it holds up, it becomes part of the Tree, @sleuthintel's public knowledge graph that everyone can trust and build on
I submitted 3 different types of claims:
โฌ A market call on the EPL 2027 Champion odds (Arsenal's rise, backed by the price chart)
โฌ A funding claim on a trending token's deployer wallet, sourced from community chatter
โฌ A narrative tag linking a CT account's post to a trending token's hype cycle
What stood out: one of my claims already got verified by the swarm within minutes, with a clear note on why it checked out.
That's the part most people won't expect, it's not just โsubmit and forget,โ you actually see your claim get judged in near real time.
This is what makes @sleuthintel different from a regular dashboard.
You're not just reading data, you're helping build the thing that makes the data trustworthy in the first place
If you haven't tried the Belt yet, go submit a claim It's simple, and you'll actually see your intel get checked.
โฌ @sleuthintel ๐ซก
Sleuth Intel retweeted
It's great to see robinhood:0x0500a1a597a631cec9637767f7b75c5b5d0c1db4 is getting some volume again.
Trading volume has been low and still is pretty low. This doesn't really bother me because @sleuthintel is building something very useful.
I recommend checking out their last few posts so you can see what they've been up to.
They will get the attention they deserve.
The deepest intel lives on the Tree. It shows all the connected dots. One lookup shows you what five dashboards canโt. Whoโs behind the wallet, where theyโre positioned, and what story theyโre riding or hiding.
Signals are data. The connections are alpha. The Tree shows you what nobody else can.
How does The Tree benefit $SLEUTH holders?
You need to hold $SLEUTH or have a monthly subscription (paid in Sleuth) to gain access to the platform.
โ Holders take supply out of the pool and keep it in their wallets. As users step up to T3 and T4, more of it stays there.
โ Subscribers pay in SLEUTH every month, and a quarter of every payment is locked for two years currently before it goes to the swarm as wages
Usage turns into demand for the token.
That demand turns into supply leaving the market. As the Tree grows, it surfaces more links, which brings more users and more lockup.
The deepest intel lives on the Tree. It shows all the connected dots. One lookup shows you what five dashboards canโt. Whoโs behind the wallet, where theyโre positioned, and what story theyโre riding or hiding.
Signals are data. The connections are alpha. The Tree shows you what nobody else can.
How does The Tree benefit $SLEUTH holders?
You need to hold $SLEUTH or have a monthly subscription (paid in Sleuth) to gain access to the platform.
โ Holders take supply out of the pool and keep it in their wallets. As users step up to T3 and T4, more of it stays there.
โ Subscribers pay in SLEUTH every month, and a quarter of every payment is locked for two years currently before it goes to the swarm as wages
Usage turns into demand for the token.
That demand turns into supply leaving the market. As the Tree grows, it surfaces more links, which brings more users and more lockup.
How The Tree drives $SLEUTH
How The Tree drives $SLEUTH
What makes robinhood:0x0500a1a597a631cec9637767f7b75c5b5d0c1db4 different?
The robinhood:0x0500a1a597a631cec9637767f7b75c5b5d0c1db4 token:
โ The token is the only way to pay for a subscription.
โ Holding robinhood:0x0500a1a597a631cec9637767f7b75c5b5d0c1db4 for access creates a 'soft floor'.
โ There is no credit card option. Access is the token. Subscribe in sleuth or hold sleuth.
โ 25% of all revenue gets bought and locked for two years, then paid to the swarm.
The Tree:
โ One canonical graph.
Wallets, ct accounts, prediction market traders, contracts, and narratives are nodes. Every link between them is an edge. All of it is public, all of it built and policed by the swarm.
The tree makes the product worth paying for. Payments are token demand. A quarter of that demand gets locked and comes back as the payroll that recruits more swarm. Every turn feeds the next one.
The Investable Token Thesis, Applied > $SLEUTH
Some current user numbers from the traffic analytics
We can expect an increase over the next few weeks, with the Tree going live and a partner integration of our Oneshot Intel with their agent vaults
Few more partner integrations still unannounced, soon๐คซ
~ almost 500 people using sleuth every single day
~22 requests per visitor, per day -> they don't check in, they sit in the app
60% of traffic from US, UK, CA -> monetizable geo profile, inverted vs typical crypto betas at this size
Zero marketing, zero incentives, no token gate
Small numbers but real ones, main point is, people showing up daily for a free product with nothing to farm is retention you can't buy
The signal is there, what we are building next is going to amplify this significantly
Sleuth Intel retweeted
We took Robinhood public. Then we rebuilt it publicly.
I wrote about this for @HarvardBiz:
hbr.org/2026/11/robinhoods-cโฆ
I am not really into prediction markets.
That is why I spent this week checking out @sleuthintel.
The First Look
I expected to be lost, and the first screen threw me off. It took a minute to figure out what I was looking at.
โฅ Once the heatmap clicked, everything made sense.
โฅ The colors show how hot each market is, and one tap shows where the money is sitting.
Checking the Numbers
I checked a few markets against Polymarket just to see.
โฅ The numbers matched up almost perfectly.
โฅ The Ballon d'Or market hit 51.4 million on both, and the Brazil election odds lined up down to the decimal.
The Trader Leaderboard
This was my favorite part.
โพ It ranks real wallets by actual performance.
โพ You can spot who is genuinely sharp versus who just got lucky.
โพ I ended up reading through wallets like a Sunday rabbit hole.
Signals
โฑ Signals: It maps attention across coins so you can watch interest build before the price moves. SOL was leading the board while I was looking.
โฑ The issue: Every time I tapped a market, it pushed me straight over to Polymarket. I wanted to stay and dig around longer.
Final Verdict
I came in knowing nothing about prediction markets.
I left with a dashboard I actually want to keep open.
That rarely happens with a new tool.
You built a great tool @sleuthintel
The Investable Token Thesis, Applied > $SLEUTH
Another Day to Go again!
Iโve been having a good time exploring the prediction markets (PMs) on @SleuthIntel as a beta tester!
The dashboard makes it easy to browse different markets, track activity across categories, and discover new ones to explore.
Iโm enjoying testing the beta, exploring individual markets, and finding more ways to use the platform for everyday research.
The dev team is using community feedback to improve the platform and make it more accessible to everyone.
Sleuth Intel covers multiple data sources for a very specific reason. To bring them all together on one canonical graph
On the Tree, live data is scrubbed, verified, graded and policed by the swarm
๐ก Live X feed Alpha, Prediction Markets, AI, Robinhood tokenized stocks
๐ Prediction Markets with @Polymarket & Rothera data
๐ฏ @RobinhoodCrypto One Shot Intel for trending tokens
๐ All with smart money movements and wallet tracking
The deepest intel lives on the Tree, all the dots connected. One lookup shows you what five dashboards canโt. Whoโs behind the wallet, where theyโre positioned, and what story theyโre riding or hiding
Signals are data. Connections are alpha. The Tree sees all
"The deepest intel lives on the Tree, all the dots connected. One lookup shows you what five dashboards canโt. Whoโs behind the wallet, where theyโre positioned, and what story theyโre riding or hiding
Signals are data. Connections are alpha. The Tree sees all"
Wallets, prediction markets, socials, narratives, playbooks.
5 data sets โ One connected map with The Tree
Sleuth Intel covers multiple data sources for a very specific reason. To bring them all together on one canonical graph
On the Tree, live data is scrubbed, verified, graded and policed by the swarm
๐ก Live X feed Alpha, Prediction Markets, AI, Robinhood tokenized stocks
๐ Prediction Markets with @Polymarket & Rothera data
๐ฏ @RobinhoodCrypto One Shot Intel for trending tokens
๐ All with smart money movements and wallet tracking
The deepest intel lives on the Tree, all the dots connected. One lookup shows you what five dashboards canโt. Whoโs behind the wallet, where theyโre positioned, and what story theyโre riding or hiding
Signals are data. Connections are alpha. The Tree sees all























