Credit Cards | Personal Finance | Psychology | Economy | Start-Ups | IPOs
Kolkata, India
Joined December 2010
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🧵 THREAD: CPR Trading Strategy – The Secret Weapon of Intraday Traders 📉📈
If you’ve ever wondered how smart traders catch reversals before they happen...
You need to know about CPR.
Let’s break it down – like you’ve never seen before. 👇
Will there be any sort of radiation that is going to be harmful since it’ll be connected via bluetooth all day.
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Hi @Nithin0dha does it make sense to have user roles in @zerodha, where I can only give view only access to someone just for reporting purposes?
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Only he can do it! What a legend @elonmusk
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Grossly wrong and mistaken.
@ishmohit1 continue the good work, lots to learn!
80% of the stocks praised by Lishmohit in hourly long videos few years back have never seen their top again.
Alkyl amines
IEX
Clean science
Route mobile
Tanla
Astral
etc etc
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Problem with these people - they think everyone except them are wrong.
The psychology of money is not for people like you. It’s for folks who don’t have the time, interest and energy to research and invest. The thing is passive investing can still make them wealthy and they sleep better at night.
I just finished half -reading " 1929" after the breathless positive reviews by Indian financial experts.
I found it so utterly boring that I couldn't get past the 40% point on Kindle.
On par with that crap book " Psychology of Money" as the 2 worst books hv read in recent years.
Of course, anything written by F2s is always supposed to be " excellent" in a Roadless country
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SMAP Trading retweeted
Here's a PDF of the above notes:
drive.google.com/file/d/1ZaA…
SMAP Trading retweeted
🧵 THREAD: CPR Trading Strategy – The Secret Weapon of Intraday Traders 📉📈
If you’ve ever wondered how smart traders catch reversals before they happen...
You need to know about CPR.
Let’s break it down – like you’ve never seen before. 👇
Example illustrating why the “5 percent wealth tax” can be much higher in practice
Assume a tech founder living in California.
Facts
Company is private.
Founder owns 10 percent economic equity.
Founder holds 60 percent voting control through super-voting shares.
Company’s latest valuation is $20 billion.
Founder’s actual economic wealth from the company is $2 billion (10 percent of $20B).
Cash and liquid assets are minimal.
How the proposal applies
The tax base is not limited to economic ownership.
Because of voting control, the proposal may treat the founder as owning a much larger share of the company for wealth-tax purposes.
Assume tax authorities attribute 60 percent of company value to the founder due to control.
Tax calculation
Taxable wealth attributed:
60 percent × $20B = $12B
Wealth tax at 5 percent:
5 percent × $12B = $600M
Effective tax rate
True economic wealth: $2B
Tax due: $600M
Effective rate on real wealth:
30 percent, not 5 percent.
Liquidity problem
Wealth is illiquid.
Founder must sell shares, borrow, or lose control to pay the tax.
Forced sales may occur at discounts, increasing real economic loss.
Core takeaway A nominal 5 percent wealth tax can translate into a double-digit or higher effective tax rate when valuation rules rely on control rights rather than economic ownership.
If you are the founder of a highly valued illiquid startup, set some time aside and read this entire article. The act is designed to bankrupt you and to personally punish any appraiser or accountant who disagrees.
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SMAP Trading retweeted
🚨BREAKING: Silver prices are exploding due to a severe global supply shortage.
The physical market can no longer meet soaring demand.
Here is what is actually going on 👇
1. China is changing the rules.
Starting January 1, 2026, China will restrict silver exports.
To export silver, companies will now need government licenses.
Only large, state approved firms qualify:
- At least 80 tonnes of annual production
- Around $30 million in credit lines
This effectively blocks small and mid size exporters.
China controls roughly 60–70% of global silver supply. When China tightens exports, global supply drops immediately.
This is the same tactics China used with rare earth metals.
2. The silver market was already short supply.
Silver has been in a structural deficit for 5 straight years. That means demand is higher than supply every single year.
For 2025:
- Global demand: 1.24 billion ounces
- Global supply: 1.01 billion ounces
That is a gap of 100–250 million ounces. And this gap is expected to get worse after China’s export limits.
Mining supply is not growing:
Silver mining is mostly a by product of copper and zinc mining.
New mines take 10+ years to build, Ore quality is falling, Recycling is not enough to fill the gap.
There is no quick fix here.
3. Physical silver inventories are collapsing.
This is where it gets serious.
- COMEX inventories are down 70% since 2020
- London vaults are down 40%
- Shanghai inventories are at 10-year lows
At current demand, some regions hold only 30-45 days of usable silver.
This is why physical premiums are exploding.
In Shanghai:
- Physical silver trades at $80+/oz
- COMEX prices are much lower
This price gap means buyers are paying extra just to get real silver.
4. Paper silver is completely disconnected from reality.
There is an extreme imbalance between paper silver and real silver.
The paper to physical ratio is around 356:1.
That means:
- For every 1 ounce of real silver
- There are hundreds of paper claims
If even a small percentage of buyers ask for real delivery, the system breaks.
Markets understand this. That is why price moves are becoming vertical.
5. Industrial demand keeps rising.
Silver is not just a safe haven metal.
It is critical for:
- Solar panels
- Electric vehicles
- Electronics
- Medical devices
Industrial use now makes up 50-60% of total silver demand.
There is no substitute for silver in many of these uses.
Banks and institutions are reacting to:
- Supply limits
- Physical shortages
- Paper market risk
Silver is not rallying because of fear.
It is rallying because a real supply squeeze is playing out in real time.
A little disagreement here. He built a INR 8,500 crore company, the last valuation at which he took a loan to purchase Lenskart shares, only to exit 3 months later at 8 times.
No one is taking anything away from Mr. Bansal, but listing it at 70K crore, doesn't leave anything for the new investors.
And it doesn't matter if we have 7 lacs portfolio or 7000 crore, there's no harm in pointing out the hypocrisy on what they say on Shark Tank, and what they do when it comes to their own company.
Lenskart Drama -
These days, Twitter ( X ) is full of this strange herd mentality.
Someone just writes once that Lenskart IPO is expensive…
and suddenly everyone starts repeating the same thing -
“Overvalued, bad IPO, don’t apply.”
Looks like people don’t have their own brain.
Yes, I also agree Lenskart’s valuation is high.
If you don’t like it, avoid the IPO.
No one is forcing you to apply.
But look at the joke here -
People whose net worth isn’t even ₹7 Crore are casually insulting Peyush Bansal, who has built a ₹70,000+ Crore company.
Meaning — a company 1000 times bigger than their entire portfolio.
And still they act overconfident. Ridiculous.
And the funniest part ?
These same “experts” sold Lenskart shares in the unlisted market at ₹500 – ₹520 just to make ₹5 brokerage — where there was valuation concern back then ?
Back then Lenskart’s valuation was already ₹90,000+ Crore, but they didn’t dare mention that.
Now suddenly after the IPO announcement, everyone has turned into Warren Buffett.
And those retail folks who just apply ₹15,000 in IPOs after looking at GMP —
are now roaming around like valuation professors.
Hypocrisy is next level comedy.
Also understand this — shouting on Twitter won’t change anything.
The people launching this IPO know exactly how to get it subscribed.
Even if retail doesn’t apply, QIBs alone will fully subscribe it.
If you really want change, then demand this -
“An IPO should not be considered subscribed unless the Retail portion is at least 90% subscribed.”
But no, who will ask for a real system change ?
Everyone is busy insulting founders and Indian companies on Twitter.
That’s why the world says -
> “Indians are experts at pulling their own people down.”
Don’t like the IPO? Don’t apply.
Simple.
Drama and defamation won’t change anything.
#Lenskart #IPOAlert
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Well said.
I would avoid the Lenskart IPO due to a few reasons
Overpriced : at FY25 PE ratio of 230X, valuations are too high for my comfort
At upper end of the price band, a 70000 cr market cap is not justified
In FY25 , Profit is inflated due to a one time gain
FY24 was a net loss of 10cr
Most new age start up IPOs are just exit strategies for VCs
As a retail investor, I would be cautious here.
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