The SSPP enables researchers to collect and contribute to forecasts of academic studies. Tweets by @UCBITSS @evavivalt @socscipredict.bsky.social
Berkeley, CA
Joined July 2020
- Tweets332
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Social Science Prediction Platform retweeted
🆕 Can forecasting social science make experiments better?
Today on VoxDev, @sdellavi (@berkeleyecon) & @evavivalt (@UofT) discuss why research forecasts overestimate effects, and how to correct and reweight them:
voxdev.org/topic/education/c…
Social Science Prediction Platform retweeted
New short meta-survey on the SSPP: can you predict how well people predict?
👇
Social Science Prediction Platform retweeted
Delighted to have received an Alfred P. Sloan Foundation grant for the next phase of the Social Science Prediction Platform!
Some exciting new developments coming soon... watch this space! @socscipredict @SloanFoundation @econuoft
Social Science Prediction Platform retweeted
Cool feature over at the @SocSciPredict!
I did a lot of forecasting there from 2023-2024, making 247 predictions across 38 studies ranking 28/1863 by amount of forecasts made.
Overall, my accuracy (MAE) rank is 21/106, which I'm pretty happy with!
The Social Science Prediction Platform has a new feature: a leaderboard showcasing those who provided the most forecasts or were the most accurate. Forecasters can opt into displaying their name.
You can also see your own rank if logged in. Check it out! @sdellavi @socscipredict
Social Science Prediction Platform retweeted
The Social Science Prediction Platform has a new feature: a leaderboard showcasing those who provided the most forecasts or were the most accurate. Forecasters can opt into displaying their name.
You can also see your own rank if logged in. Check it out! @sdellavi @socscipredict
Social Science Prediction Platform retweeted
How can you use the Social Science Prediction Platform (@socscipredict ) for development papers? @tedmiguel & I summarize some use cases. blogs.worldbank.org/en/impac…
Social Science Prediction Platform retweeted
Btw, not a bad time to remember this! Get your projects up soon before the end of the year to be eligible.
🌟 Reminder: we are offering $10,000 for the best use of forecasting! All projects posted on the SSPP between July 1 and December 31, 2024 are eligible for the award. socialscienceprediction.org/…
Social Science Prediction Platform retweeted
We're excited to announce that applications for our 2024 Research Transparency and Reproducibility Training (RT2) are now open! Join us in Berkeley from June 5-7, 2024 to learn tools and practices for transparent and reproducible social science research:
go.cega.org/rt2-2024
Social Science Prediction Platform retweeted
There's still time to sign up to attend our 12th Annual Meeting in Berkeley, one week from today! Don't miss out on @ArthurLupia's keynote: "The Urgency of Our Moment: Why Openness and Transparency are More Important than Ever", and other great sessions: forms.gle/q7JcLPs76GCkY3Jz5
Social Science Prediction Platform retweeted
@evavivalt is recruiting for a full-time Predoc Fellowship to join the team and assist with the Social Science Prediction Platform @socscipredict. Work with us at @econuoft.
Please share, retweet, and apply! @econ_ra
Apply for a pre-doc position @UofT!
You'll work w/@UCBerkeley Prof. Stefano DellaVigna (@sdellavi) and UT Prof. Eva Vivalt (@evavivalt)
Find more details at bit.ly/3OHUiCi
Social Science Prediction Platform retweeted
🚨Registration for the 12th BITSS Annual Meeting is live🚨 The Annual Meeting is a day full of new research and insights on efforts to improve scientific credibility, and is always free to attend. Sign up today!
forms.gle/4p5hPGAPv6Y7jNXTA
Social Science Prediction Platform retweeted
This might be a good time to re-up this thread - some of the graphics are out of date but it has some good tips.
Since starting the Superforecaster Panel, no survey posted to the platform has gotten fewer than 50-60 forecasts, which is plenty for comparing to an observed effect.
A thread to highlight some features of the Social Science Prediction Platform that may not be obvious: 🧵👇
@socscipredict @sdellavi
Social Science Prediction Platform retweeted
I second! @evavivalt did pioneering work on research transparency and development economics, collecting a remarkable data set of hundreds of RCTs. In the last 5 years we have collaborated on the @socscipredict Platform. She also co-leads the Y combinator cash transfers, out soon
So many young stars changing the world in economics and occasionally I try to draw attention to one of them in my area. Today my young star alert is @evavivalt!
Her work, especially on the science of using science, is pathbreaking. Can't wait to watch her continue to change the world.
Social Science Prediction Platform retweeted
So many young stars changing the world in economics and occasionally I try to draw attention to one of them in my area. Today my young star alert is @evavivalt!
Her work, especially on the science of using science, is pathbreaking. Can't wait to watch her continue to change the world.
Social Science Prediction Platform retweeted
We’re proud of the many initiatives that demonstrate our longstanding commitment to open science, from the Social Science Reproduction Platform and @socscipredict to our trainings and research dissemination events. Learn more about these and other work at bitss.org!
Social Science Prediction Platform retweeted
@DavidRhysBern of @PSEinfo evaluates predictions for long-run causal effects in seven studies, finding that while “expert” forecasters perform slightly better than academics and laypeople, no particular individual characteristics lead to more accurate predictions. #BITSSFW2023
Social Science Prediction Platform retweeted
As part of @socscipredict, @tedmiguel and team gathered forecasts of the program impact. Reviewing the prediction patterns between decision makers and researchers, they found that their impact predictions were highly similar - and mostly accurate across dimensions. #BITSSFW2023
Social Science Prediction Platform retweeted
With growth of impact evaluations, @evavivalt at @UofT & Director of @GPIOxford looks at evidence-informed community & asks: How do researchers and policymakers weigh impact evals? It turns out, evidence suggests researchers care more abt exp. methods & big samples. #BITSSFW2023
Social Science Prediction Platform retweeted
Here's @tedmiguel presenting some work on housing subsidies for Syrian refugees in Jordan:
