Stats Bench

🔥🏀 THE NBA IS BACK🏀🔥 Every bucket. Every possession. Every dime. From opening night to the final buzzer, StatsBench is covering the season from start to finish. 📊 167+ player props on the board today 🎯 First Basket analysis 📈 L5 / L10 / L20 trends 🧠 Player efficiency metrics 🛡️ Matchup + defensive breakdowns 💰 Live sportsbook odds 📉 Historical results, fully tracked And the First Basket engine is back after finishing last season at: +118.7u +36.7% ROI 15.9% hit rate 271 graded picks Long odds. Small hit rate required. Every pick tracked. 🔥 Season launch discounts are still live: FOREVER25 → 25% off monthly YEARLY40 → 40% off yearly The season is here. Bench the guesswork. statsbench.com #NBA #NBAPicks #Gambling𝕏 #PlayerProps

Monday recap: 8-9 across 7 posters, 47% hit, -0.7u 📊 NBA 5-4 · NHL 2-4 · NFL 1-1 Best hits: ✅ Mattias Ekholm OVER 0.5 points (+160): finished with 1 ✅ Sandro Mamukelashvili OVER 0.5 blocks (+140): finished with 1 ✅ Ty Johnson OVER 20.5 rush + rec yards (-105): finished with 37 ✅ Leon Draisaitl OVER 1.5 points (-105): finished with 2 ✅ Dylan Harper OVER 16.5 points (-111): finished with 17 Every pick we post gets graded in public, wins and misses. Which one did you ride? 👇 📊 Stats and analytics: StatsBench statsbench.com #NBA #NHL #NFL #PlayerProps #GamblingX

NBA Tuesday Part #2 1️⃣ Collin Gillespie OVER 1.5 steals + blocks (+130) Collin Gillespie needs 2 steals plus blocks against the LA Clippers to clear 1.5. He has hit in 7 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 2.1 steals plus blocks. The list ends with 3, 0 and 0, and it also includes 4 and 5 earlier. On the right-hand panel, the Clippers rank 25th in steals plus blocks allowed to point guards over the last 10 games, and rank 28th in opponent field goal percentage over the last 10 games. They rank 9th in rebounds allowed over the last 10 games, which cuts the other way. The hit rate is 7 of the last 10 games shown, but the 0 and 0 at the end of the list and his 1.9 home average make this volatile. He needs 2 steals plus blocks, so the outcome depends on defensive events. 2️⃣ Sam Hauser OVER 1.5 3-pointers made (-111) Sam Hauser needs 2 3-pointers made against the Philadelphia 76ers to clear 1.5. He has hit in 7 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 2.1 3-pointers made. The list ends with 3, 3 and 1, and it also includes a 0. On the right-hand panel, the 76ers rank 27th in 3-pointers made allowed to small forwards over the last 10 games. They rank 2nd in 3-pointers made allowed over the last 10 games, which cuts the other way. The hit rate is 7 of the last 10 games shown, but the 0 and the 1 in the sample, plus his 1.6 away average, show how thin this can get. He needs 2 makes, so this relies on 3-point volume. 3️⃣ Airious Bailey OVER 5.5 rebounds (-110) Airious Bailey needs 6 rebounds against the Miami Heat to clear 5.5. He has hit in 7 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 6.6 rebounds. The list ends with 6 and 2, and it also includes 12 and 10. On the right-hand panel, the Heat rank 26th in rebounds allowed to shooting guards over the last 10 games. They also rank 22nd in rebounds allowed over the last 10 games. The hit rate is 7 of the last 10 games shown, but the 2 in the most recent game is the volatility caveat. He is home, where his average is 8.4, and he needs 6 rebounds, so the home split is the clearest support. These 3 overs bring different profiles: Gillespie needs defensive events, Hauser needs 3-point makes, and Bailey needs rebounds. Historical hit rates give us context, not a guarantee. Which pick makes your card? 👇 📊 Stats and analytics: StatsBench statsbench.com #NBA #Suns #Celtics #Jazz #PlayerProps #GamblingX

NHL Tuesday Part #3 1️⃣ Devon Toews OVER 0.5 assists (+155) 1 assist is the target for Toews. He's recorded an assist in 6 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 0.7 assists. His most recent results in the sample are 0, 0 and 1, so the assist production has not been steady. Toronto's defense adds some interest. The Maple Leafs rank 25th in assists allowed to defensemen and 26th in shots allowed over the last 10 games, according to the card. Toronto also ranks 15th in PP points allowed over the last 10 games, which is less of a soft spot, so the assist-to-defenseman angle stands out more than the special-teams angle. The hit rate is 6 of the last 10 games shown, though, so this pick needs Toews to avoid another 0 and pick up the 1 assist. 2️⃣ Arseny Gritsyuk OVER 0.5 points (+115) 1 point is the target for Gritsyuk. He's recorded a point in 6 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 0.8 points. His most recent results in the sample are 0, 1 and 0, so the recent form is more volatile than the overall hit rate suggests. Winnipeg's defense adds some interest. The Jets rank 29th in points allowed and 30th in points allowed to forwards over the last 10 games, according to the card. Winnipeg also ranks 17th in shots allowed over the last 10 games, which is a less generous split, so the point angle stands out more than the shot-volume angle. The hit rate is 6 of the last 10 games shown, and the recent 0s make this pick a volume and conversion bet rather than a steady trend. 3️⃣ Cole Koepke OVER 1.5 hits (-135) 2 hits is the target for Koepke. He's recorded at least 2 hits in 9 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 2.4 hits. His most recent results in the sample are 3, 2 and 2, so he has stayed close to the number even without a big total. New Jersey's defense adds some interest. The Devils rank 22nd in hits allowed and 22nd in hits allowed to forwards over the last 10 games, according to the card. Their 4th-ranked goals allowed and 5th-ranked shots allowed cut the other way, so this is a hit-volume matchup rather than a soft overall defense. The hit rate is 9 of the last 10 games shown, which leaves little margin for a quiet night, so this pick relies on Koepke maintaining his usual volume. Toews brings assist upside, Gritsyuk brings point upside, and Koepke brings a hit-volume profile. Historical hit rates give us context, not a guarantee. Which pick makes your card? 👇 📊 Stats and analytics: StatsBench statsbench.com #NHL #Avalanche #Devils #Jets #PlayerProps #GamblingX

NBA Tuesday Part #1 1️⃣ Jaylen Brown OVER 3.5 assists (-112) Jaylen Brown needs 4 assists. The over is 3.5 assists, and he's hit it in 8 of the last 10 games shown while averaging 4 assists. His last four games in the sample are 5, 1, 5 and 4. Adem Bona is out today, and in the 3 games Bona missed, Brown averaged 4.3 assists, against 3.7 across all games in that span (+0.6). Boston's defense is the interesting part. The Celtics rank 30th in assists allowed to small forwards over the last 10 games, which supports the angle, but they also rank 3rd in points allowed and 2nd in opponent FG% over the last 10 games, so this is not a soft overall matchup. The hit rate is 8 of the last 10 games shown, but the assist number still needs Brown to keep his normal passing role against a defense that has been strong in other areas. 2️⃣ Josh Hart OVER 1.5 3-pointers made (-105) Josh Hart needs 2 3-pointers made. He's hit this line in 8 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 2.1 3-pointers made. His last four games in the sample are 2, 0, 2 and 2, so the recent results are mostly right at or above the need, with one clear miss. Milwaukee's defense adds support. The Bucks rank 23rd in 3PM allowed over the last 10 games and 21st in 3PM allowed to small forwards over the last 10 games. Their 27th rank in points allowed over the last 10 games also points to a favorable spot, though this prop still depends on Hart getting to 2 makes. The hit rate is strong at 8 of the last 10 games shown, but the 0 in the recent sample is a reminder that this is not automatic. 3️⃣ Brook Lopez OVER 12.5 points (-112) Brook Lopez needs 13 points. He's hit it in 7 of the last 10 games shown while averaging 14.5 points. His last four games in the sample are 7, 12, 20 and 20, so the recent scoring is trending up, though the sample also includes a 2-point game. Phoenix's defense looks like the right spot. The Suns rank 30th in points allowed to centers over the last 10 games and 25th in points allowed over the last 10 games. Their 24th rank in rebounds allowed over the last 10 games also leans soft, while the 14th rank in assists allowed over the last 10 games is less relevant to a scoring prop. The hit rate is 7 of the last 10 games shown, and the low games of 2 and 7 points mean this still asks Lopez to be a steady scoring presence rather than just one big game. Three overs with different profiles: Brown leans on assists and a teammate absence, Hart leans on 3-point volume, and Lopez leans on scoring against Phoenix's center defense. Historical hit rates give us context, not a guarantee. Which one makes your card? 👇 📊 Stats and analytics: StatsBench statsbench.com #NBA #76ers #Knicks #Clippers #PlayerProps #GamblingX

NHL Tuesday Part #2 1️⃣ Luke Evangelista OVER 0.5 assists (+160) Luke Evangelista needs 1 assist to clear OVER 0.5 ASSISTS at +160. He has cleared this number in 5 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 0.5 assists. The most recent results in the sample are 0, 1 and 0. Winnipeg ranks 27th in goals allowed, 17th in shots allowed, 29th in points allowed, 29th in PP points allowed and 32nd in assists allowed to forwards over the last 10 games. The 17th in shots allowed is less soft than the assist and point ranks. The 5 of the last 10 games shown is a weak hit rate, so this one needs the right setup rather than a comfortable trend. 2️⃣ Neal Pionk OVER 1.5 shots on goal (-160) Neal Pionk needs 2 shots on goal to clear OVER 1.5 SOG at -160. He has cleared this number in 9 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 2.9 shots on goal. The most recent results in the sample are 4, 3, 3 and 1. Vladislav Namestnikov is out. In the 12 games Namestnikov missed, Pionk averaged 2.8 shots on goal, against 2.4 across all games in that span (+0.4). New Jersey ranks 4th in goals allowed, 5th in shots allowed, 7th in points allowed and 8th in PP points allowed over the last 10 games. The rank that cuts the other way is shots allowed to defensemen, where New Jersey is 27th. The hit rate of 9 of the last 10 games shown is strong, but the 1 in the most recent game shows this prop still relies on volume. 3️⃣ Artturi Lehkonen OVER 1.5 shots on goal (-150) Artturi Lehkonen needs 2 shots on goal to clear OVER 1.5 SOG at -150. He has cleared this number in 9 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 2.6 shots on goal. The most recent results in the sample are 4, 2 and 2. Josh Manson is out. In the 5 games Manson missed, Lehkonen averaged 2.8 shots on goal, against 2 across all games in that span (+0.8). Toronto ranks 18th in goals allowed, 26th in shots allowed, 19th in points allowed, 15th in PP points allowed and 20th in shots allowed to forwards over the last 10 games. The 26th in shots allowed is the clear soft spot, while 18th in goals allowed and 19th in points allowed are more neutral. The hit rate of 9 of the last 10 games shown and the 2.6 average are solid, but he still needs 2 shots and the 1 in the sample shows the floor can dip. 3 overs with very different profiles: Evangelista brings assist opportunity, Pionk brings shot volume, and Lehkonen brings a strong recent hit rate. Historical hit rates give us context, not a guarantee. Usage, injuries and game script still decide the night. Which pick makes your card? 👇 📊 Stats and analytics: StatsBench statsbench.com #NHL #Devils #Jets #Avalanche #PlayerProps #GamblingX

NHL Tuesday Part #1 1️⃣ Jack Hughes OVER 1.5 points (+145) Needs 2 points. Jack Hughes has cleared this number in 7 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 1.6 points. His most recent results in the sample are 3, 2, 2 and 2. Winnipeg's defense over the last 10 games ranks 27th in goals allowed, 17th in shots allowed, 29th in points allowed, 29th in PP points allowed, and 30th in points allowed to forwards. The 17th in shots allowed is the rank that cuts the other way, so the points and forward points numbers are the softer part of the profile. This is a solid hit rate, but the requirement is still 2 points and the 0 values in the sample show the downside. 2️⃣ Drake Batherson OVER 0.5 assists (+160) Needs 1 assist. Drake Batherson has cleared this number in 6 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 0.7 assists. His most recent results in the sample are 0, 1, 0 and 0. Washington's defense over the last 10 games ranks 25th in goals allowed, 13th in shots allowed, 25th in points allowed, 20th in PP points allowed, and 26th in assists allowed to forwards. The 13th in shots allowed cuts the other way, so the assist and point ranks are more favorable than the shot volume. The 0 values in the sample show the downside, so this one needs him to get back to the 1-assist games rather than relying on a single recent result. 3️⃣ Jesper Bratt OVER 0.5 assists (-110) Needs 1 assist. Jesper Bratt has cleared this number in 8 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 1 assist. His most recent results in the sample are 1, 1, 1 and 2. Winnipeg's defense over the last 10 games ranks 27th in goals allowed, 17th in shots allowed, 29th in points allowed, 29th in PP points allowed, and 32nd in assists allowed to forwards. The 17th in shots allowed cuts the other way, but the 32nd in assists allowed to forwards is the standout for this prop. This is a strong hit rate, but the requirement is still 1 assist and the 0 values in the sample show the downside. 3 overs with different profiles: Hughes needs 2 points, Batherson needs 1 assist with a lighter recent run, and Bratt needs 1 assist with the strongest hit rate. Historical hit rates give us context, not a guarantee. Which one makes your card? 👇 📊 Stats and analytics: StatsBench statsbench.com #NHL #Devils #Senators #PlayerProps #GamblingX

Sunday recap: 10-13 across 8 posters, 43% hit, -3.8u 📊 NBA 6-3 · NFL 3-3 · NHL 1-7 Best hits: ✅ Darnell Mooney OVER 1.5 receptions (+140): finished with 3 ✅ Keegan Murray OVER 8.5 field goal attempts (-105): finished with 10 ✅ Jeremiah Fears OVER 7.5 reb + ast (-110): finished with 11 ✅ Breece Hall OVER 10.5 rush attempts (-110): finished with 15 ✅ Matas Buzelis OVER 4.5 rebounds (-110): finished with 5 Every pick we post gets graded in public, wins and misses. Which one did you ride? 👇 📊 Stats and analytics: StatsBench statsbench.com #NBA #NFL #NHL #PlayerProps #GamblingX

NFL Monday Part #1 1️⃣ Ty Johnson OVER 20.5 rush + rec yards (-105) Ty Johnson needs 21 rush+rec yards to clear the OVER 20.5 line. He has cleared this number in 8 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 37.1 rush+rec yards. The most recent results in the sample include 72, 27 and 23, so the recent output is not simply steady. In the last 5 games, the Vikings rank 21st in rush yards allowed, which is the softer part of the profile, but they are 2nd in total yards allowed, 1st in pass yards allowed and 1st in points allowed. Rush TDs allowed rank 13th. The tough overall numbers mean this can't be treated as just a rushing matchup. The 8 of 10 hit rate is strong, but the recent 23 shows the floor can get close to the 21 needed. This one leans on Johnson getting enough combined work rather than a clean volume guarantee. 2️⃣ Aaron Jones Sr. OVER 32.5 rushing yards (-110) Aaron Jones Sr. needs 33 rushing yards to clear the OVER 32.5 line. He has cleared this number in 8 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 63 rushing yards. The most recent results in the sample include 94, 113, 26 and 22, so there is big upside and also a clear volatility point. In the last 5 games, the Bills rank 21st in total yards allowed and 23rd in pass yards allowed, but 12th in rush yards allowed and 12th in rush yards allowed to RBs, with 18th in points allowed and 15th in rush TDs allowed. The rush-yard ranks cut against the softer total and pass numbers. Josh Oliver is out (IR). In the 6 games Oliver missed, Aaron Jones Sr. averaged 63.3 rushing yards, against 52.9 across all games in that span, a +10.4 difference. The 8 of 10 hit rate helps, but the recent 26 and 22 mean this is still a volume and workload bet. The profiles contrast sharply: Ty Johnson needs 21 combined yards, while Aaron Jones Sr. needs 33 rushing yards. Historical hit rates give us context, not a guarantee. Which pick makes your card? 👇 📊 Stats and analytics: StatsBench statsbench.com #NFL #Bills #Vikings #PlayerProps #GamblingX

NBA Monday Part #3 1️⃣ Cam Spencer OVER 11.5 pts + reb (-112) Cam Spencer needs 12 PTS+REB. He has cleared this number in 7 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 12.1. The most recent results in the sample are 14, 13 and 8, and his away average is 13.8. Toronto's defense adds interest. It ranks 27th in PTS+REB allowed to shooting guards over the last 10 games, a soft spot for this prop. It ranks 10th in rebounds allowed over the last 10 games, though, so the glass side is not the friendliest part of the matchup. Minutes are up to 21.6 over the last 5 games from 19.5 over the last 10, which helps the volume case. The hit rate is 7 of the last 10 games shown, and the most recent 8 is a reminder that this is not a big cushion. He needs the recent minutes and the soft shooting-guard PTS+REB rank to hold. 2️⃣ Stephon Castle OVER 1.5 3-pointers made (-108) Stephon Castle needs 2 3PM. He has cleared this number in 7 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 2.2. His most recent listed results are 2, 1 and 2, so the recent form is right at the number without much cushion. Phoenix's defense is the draw. It ranks 26th in 3PM allowed over the last 10 games and 29th in 3PM allowed to point guards over the last 10 games. That is the right side of the matchup for a point guard who needs 2. The caveat is volatility: 7 of the last 10 games shown is solid, but the 0 and 1 in the sample show how quickly this prop can stall. He needs the 3PM volume to hold. 3️⃣ Evan Mobley OVER 19.5 pts + ast (-110) Evan Mobley needs 20 PTS+AST. He has cleared this number in 7 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 22.1. His most recent results are 19, 26 and 17, which shows the range: he can clear comfortably, but the misses are close enough to matter. Charlotte's defense adds interest. It ranks 28th in PTS+AST allowed to power forwards over the last 10 games, a soft spot for this prop. It ranks 2nd in rebounds allowed over the last 10 games and 10th in points allowed over the last 10 games, so not every part of the matchup is friendly. The hit rate is 7 of the last 10 games shown, and the recent 19 and 17 show the volatility. He needs the soft power-forward PTS+AST rank to carry more than the tougher points and rebounds ranks suggest. 3 overs with very different profiles: Cam Spencer brings the soft PTS+REB matchup, Stephon Castle brings the 3PM upside, and Evan Mobley brings the higher PTS+AST requirement. Historical hit rates give us context, not a guarantee. Which one makes your card? 👇 📊 Stats and analytics: StatsBench statsbench.com #NBA #Grizzlies #Spurs #Cavaliers #PlayerProps #GamblingX

NHL Monday Part #3 1️⃣ Kasperi Kapanen OVER 0.5 points (+175) Kasperi Kapanen needs 1 point for this over. He has cleared this number in 5 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 0.6 points. The list ends with 0, 2, 1 and 0, so there is some late production but also a blank in the most recent game. The Rangers' defensive ranks add interest over the last 10 games: they rank 26th in points allowed and 23rd in points allowed to forwards. They rank 7th in PP points allowed, which cuts the other way. That hit rate is only 5 of the last 10 games shown, and his home average is 0.4, so this one is volatile and needs him to actually get on the scoresheet. 2️⃣ Connor Murphy OVER 1.5 blocked shots (-184) Connor Murphy needs 2 blocked shots for this over. He has cleared this number in 8 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 2.3 blocks. The list ends with 1, 3, 3, 1 and 2, so he has been around the number even when he has fallen short. Over the last 10 games, the Rangers rank 23rd in blocks allowed and 30th in blocks allowed to defensemen. That gives the blocked-shot angle a clear soft spot. The hit rate is strong, but 2 blocks is still a real requirement and his recent list includes 1s, so this relies on him staying involved in the blocked-shot lanes. Kapanen brings a 1-point requirement, while Murphy brings a 2-block requirement. Historical hit rates give us context, not a guarantee; usage, injuries and game script still decide the night. Which pick makes your card? 👇 📊 Stats and analytics: StatsBench statsbench.com #NHL #Rangers #Oilers #PlayerProps #GamblingX

NBA Monday Part #2 1️⃣ Pascal Siakam OVER 19.5 points (-115) Pascal Siakam needs 20 points for the Indiana Pacers against the Dallas Mavericks. He has hit this number in 8 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 22.3 points. His most recent results in the sample are 13, 17, 20 and 23, so the closing stretch includes the threshold being cleared after lower games. The sample also includes 30, 30 and 26. Dallas ranks 29th in points allowed to power forwards over the last 10 games, which is the favorable part of the matchup. The same window has Dallas rank 9th in points allowed, 9th in opponent field goal percentage and 2nd in 3-pointers made allowed, so the defense is not fully soft. The 8 of the last 10 games shown gives context, but this one still needs his normal scoring role rather than just the PF rank. 2️⃣ Dylan Harper OVER 16.5 points (-111) Dylan Harper needs 17 points for the San Antonio Spurs against the Phoenix Suns. He has hit this number in 7 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 18.1 points. His most recent results in the sample are 17, 21, 19 and 13, so he has cleared the line often but also showed a low-end miss late in the list. The sample also includes a 25-point game. Phoenix ranks 25th in points allowed and 24th in opponent field goal percentage over the last 10 games, with a 30th-place rank in points allowed to point guards that makes this matchup stand out. The 14th-place rank in assists allowed is a less generous part of the profile. The 7 of the last 10 games shown is not a strong hit rate, and the most recent value is 13, so this one carries real volatility. 3️⃣ Anthony Davis OVER 15.5 field goal attempts (-125) Anthony Davis needs 16 field goal attempts for the Washington Wizards against the Detroit Pistons. He has hit this number in 9 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 18.9 field goal attempts. His most recent results in the sample are 18, 17, 17 and 19, so the volume has stayed near or above the threshold late. The sample also has a 12-attempt game, which is the clear miss. Detroit ranks 4th in points allowed and 5th in opponent field goal percentage over the last 10 games, so this is a tough defensive profile. The 19th-place rank in field goal attempts allowed to centers is not a soft matchup either. The 9 of the last 10 games shown gives a strong hit rate, but this prop is a volume bet, and the 12 in the sample shows the downside if attempts dip. 3 overs with different profiles: Siakam brings scoring volume, Harper brings a soft point guard matchup, and Davis brings field goal attempt volume. Historical hit rates give us context, not a guarantee. Which one makes your card? 👇 📊 Stats and analytics: StatsBench statsbench.com #NBA #Pacers #Spurs #Wizards #PlayerProps #GamblingX

NHL Monday Part #2 1️⃣ Mattias Ekholm OVER 0.5 points (+160) 1 point is the target for Ekholm. He's gone over in 6 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 0.6 points. The end of the list reads 1, 1, 1, so the recent sample has him on the right side of the over. The Rangers defense over the last 10 games is rank 32nd in points allowed to defensemen, rank 26th in points allowed, and rank 25th in goals allowed. The 7th rank in PP points allowed cuts the other way. The hit rate is 6 of the last 10 games shown, which is not overwhelming, and the 0.6 average leaves little margin, so this one is a narrow ask rather than a volume play. 2️⃣ Evan Bouchard OVER 1.5 points (+175) 2 points is the target for Bouchard. He's gone over in 5 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 1.5 points. The end of the list reads 3, 2, 2, 1, so the recent sample has both over results and a miss. The Rangers defense over the last 10 games is rank 32nd in points allowed to defensemen, rank 26th in points allowed, and rank 25th in goals allowed. The 7th rank in PP points allowed cuts the other way. The hit rate is 5 of the last 10 games shown, and the 1.5 average makes this a high-upside but volatile ask, since he needs 2 points. Ekholm needs 1 point from a 0.6 average while Bouchard needs 2 from a 1.5 average, so the profiles are different. Hit rates are context, not a guarantee, and usage and game script still decide the night. Which one makes your card? 👇 📊 Stats and analytics: StatsBench statsbench.com #NHL #Rangers #Oilers #PlayerProps #GamblingX

NBA Monday Part #1 1️⃣ Sandro Mamukelashvili OVER 0.5 blocks (+140) Needs 1 block for Sandro Mamukelashvili over 0.5 blocks against Atlanta. He has cleared this line in 6 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 0.6 blocks, and his away average is 0.8. His most recent results in the sample are 1, 1 and 0, so the recent form is there but not by much. The matchup gives him a soft spot: Atlanta ranks 29th in blocks allowed to power forwards over the last 10 games. The Hawks also rank 1st in 3PM allowed over the last 10 games, a tough mark that cuts the other way. His 6 of the last 10 games shown hit rate and 0.6 average make this a thin, volatile ask, so 1 block is the whole bet and it can miss on a quiet night. 2️⃣ Ziaire Williams OVER 7.5 points (-115) Needs 8 points for Ziaire Williams over 7.5 points against Atlanta. He has cleared this line in 10 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 10.7 points, and his away average is 12.7. His most recent results in the sample are 9, 10, 8 and 17, so the 8-point need has been close but also cleared with room lately. Atlanta ranks 17th in points allowed to small forwards over the last 10 games, a middle mark. The Hawks rank 1st in 3PM allowed over the last 10 games, which cuts the other way for a perimeter scorer. His 10 of the last 10 games shown hit rate is clean, but the recent 8 shows how close an 8-point need can be, so this relies on him staying involved enough to get there. 3️⃣ Obi Toppin OVER 18.5 pts + reb + ast (-108) Needs 19 PTS+REB+AST for Obi Toppin over 18.5 against Dallas. He has cleared this line in 8 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 22.3, and his away average is 25. His most recent results in the sample are 22, 19, 17 and 19, so the 19 need is right at his recent floor. Dallas ranks 29th in PTS+REB+AST allowed to power forwards over the last 10 games, the soft spot. The other ranks cut the other way: 9th in points allowed, 12th in rebounds allowed, 13th in assists allowed and 2nd in 3PM allowed over the last 10 games. His 8 of the last 10 games shown hit rate and 22.3 average are strong, but the recent 17 shows the volatility around a 19-point need, so this depends on him staying involved as a scorer and rebounder. Three overs with different profiles: Mamukelashvili needs 1 block, Williams needs 8 points, and Toppin needs 19 PTS+REB+AST. Historical hit rates are context, not a guarantee, and usage and game script still decide the night. Which one makes your card? 👇 📊 Stats and analytics: StatsBench statsbench.com #NBA #Lakers #Pacers #PlayerProps #GamblingX

NHL Monday Part #1 1️⃣ Connor McDavid OVER 1.5 assists (+165) Connor McDavid needs 2 assists to clear OVER 1.5 assists at +165. He has hit this number in 6 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 2 assists. His most recent results in the sample are 3 and 3, after a 1 in the prior game, so the recent form is pointed in the right direction. New York's defense ranks 23rd in assists allowed to forwards, 26th in points allowed and 25th in goals allowed over the last 10 games. The 7th-ranked PP points allowed is the rank that cuts the other way. The hit rate is 6 of the last 10 games shown, so this needs sustained assist volume from McDavid rather than a hot stretch. 2️⃣ Leon Draisaitl OVER 1.5 points (-105) Leon Draisaitl needs 2 points to clear OVER 1.5 points at -105. He has hit this number in 7 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 2 points. His most recent results in the sample are 1, 2 and 3, giving him some momentum entering this matchup. New York's defense ranks 26th in points allowed, 23rd in points allowed to forwards and 25th in goals allowed over the last 10 games. It ranks 7th in PP points allowed, which cuts the other way. The hit rate is 7 of the last 10 games shown, but this still leans on Draisaitl producing a multi-point night. McDavid's assist over at +165 asks for 2 assists, while Draisaitl's point over at -105 asks for 2 points. Historical hit rates give us context, not a guarantee. Which one makes your card? 👇 📊 Stats and analytics: StatsBench statsbench.com #NHL #Rangers #Oilers #PlayerProps #GamblingX

Saturday recap: 8-17 across 9 posters, 32% hit, -9.6u 📊 NCAAF 3-5 · NHL 3-6 · NBA 2-6 Best hits: ✅ Brandon Montour OVER 0.5 points (+115): finished with 1 ✅ Mark Jankowski OVER 1.5 shots on goal (+100): finished with 3 ✅ Luke Kennard OVER 8.5 pts + reb + ast (-105): finished with 14 ✅ JC French IV OVER 23.5 rushing yards (-109): finished with 24 ✅ Peyton Watson OVER 6.5 reb + ast (-114): finished with 8 Every pick we post gets graded in public, wins and misses. Which one did you ride? 👇 📊 Stats and analytics: StatsBench statsbench.com #NCAAF #NHL #NBA #PlayerProps #GamblingX

NBA Sunday Part #3 1️⃣ Jeremiah Fears OVER 7.5 reb + ast (-110) 8 rebounds plus assists is the target for Fears. He has hit that in 7 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 9.7. His most recent results in the sample include 12, 11, 8 and 10, though there are lows of 1 and 4. Yves Missi is out today. In the 10 games Missi missed, Fears averaged 11.2 rebounds plus assists, against 8.8 across all games in that span, a +2.4 difference. His minutes are up to 33.4 over the last 5 games from 29.7 over the last 10. The Clippers are the opponent. They rank 28th in REB+AST allowed to shooting guards over the last 10 games and 28th in opponent FG% over the last 10 games. They also rank 21st in points allowed over the last 10 games. Their 10th rank in rebounds allowed over the last 10 games is the one that cuts the other way. The 7 of 10 hit rate is good, but the lows of 1 and 4 show the volatility in the sample. 2️⃣ Keegan Murray OVER 8.5 field goal attempts (-105) 9 field goal attempts is the target for Murray. He has cleared that in 8 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 11.4. His most recent results in the sample include 10, 2, 8 and 9, so the 8 and 9 are close to the line. The Heat are the opponent. Miami ranks 25th in FGA allowed to power forwards over the last 10 games, 28th in points allowed over the last 10 games, and 26th in opponent FG% over the last 10 games. That profile supports the attempt volume. The 8 of 10 hit rate is strong, but the 2 and 8 in the sample show the risk if his attempts dip. 3️⃣ Jaime Jaquez Jr. OVER 4.5 rebounds (-112) 5 rebounds is the target for Jaquez. He has hit that in 7 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 6.2. His recent results in the sample include 7, 8, 2 and 3, and the 2 and 3 are the most recent values. The Celtics are the opponent. Boston ranks 4th in points allowed over the last 10 games and 3rd in opponent FG% over the last 10 games, so this is a tough defense overall. The rank that cuts the other way is 30th in rebounds allowed to small forwards over the last 10 games, which is the angle for Jaquez. Boston also ranks 16th in rebounds allowed over the last 10 games. The 7 of 10 hit rate is solid, but the recent 2 and 3 mean this one relies on his rebounding volume. 3 overs with very different profiles: Fears brings rebound and assist volume, Murray brings field goal attempt volume, and Jaquez brings the lowest requirement. Historical hit rates give us context, not a guarantee, and usage, injuries and game script still decide the night. Which one makes your card? 👇 📊 Stats and analytics: StatsBench statsbench.com #NBA #Pelicans #Kings #Bucks #PlayerProps #GamblingX

NBA Sunday Part #2 1️⃣ Jaden McDaniels OVER 5.5 rebounds (-110) Jaden McDaniels needs 6 rebounds to clear 5.5 against Utah. He has hit this in 9 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 6.2 rebounds. His most recent values in the sample are 3, 6, 8 and 6. Utah ranks 24th in points allowed, 25th in rebounds allowed, 4th in assists allowed, 12th in 3PM allowed, 16th in Opp FG% and 22nd in rebounds allowed to small forwards over the last 10 games. The 4th rank in assists allowed cuts the other way, while the 25th and 22nd ranks support the rebound angle. His hit rate is strong at 9 of the last 10 games shown, but the line still asks for 6, so a normal rebounding night matters. 2️⃣ Matas Buzelis OVER 4.5 rebounds (-110) Matas Buzelis needs 5 rebounds to clear 4.5 against Philadelphia. He has hit this in 8 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 4.9 rebounds. His home average is 6, against an away average of 4.4. His most recent values in the sample are 5, 5, 3 and 5. Philadelphia ranks 5th in points allowed, 29th in rebounds allowed, 3rd in assists allowed, 3rd in 3PM allowed, 7th in Opp FG% and 28th in rebounds allowed to small forwards over the last 10 games. The 5th, 3rd and 7th ranks cut the other way, while the 29th and 28th ranks support the rebound angle. His hit rate is strong at 8 of the last 10 games shown, but the average of 4.9 is close to 4.5 and the most recent value is 5, so he needs a typical rebounding game rather than a big outlier. 3️⃣ VJ Edgecombe OVER 9.5 field goal attempts (-160) VJ Edgecombe needs 10 field goal attempts to clear 9.5 against Chicago. He has hit this in 10 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 11.7 field goal attempts. His most recent values in the sample are 12, 11 and 13, with 13 at the end. Chicago ranks 30th in points allowed, 30th in rebounds allowed, 29th in assists allowed, 27th in 3PM allowed, 30th in Opp FG% and 19th in FGA allowed to shooting guards over the last 10 games. The 19th rank in FGA allowed to shooting guards cuts the other way, while the other ranks point to a soft defense. Adem Bona is out, and in the 2 games Bona missed VJ Edgecombe averaged 15 field goal attempts, against 12.4 across all games in that span (+2.6). His hit rate is strong, but this is a volume prop, and the 19th rank in FGA allowed to shooting guards means the matchup is not as soft as Chicago's overall profile. McDaniels brings the strong hit rate, Buzelis brings the home split and rebound matchup, and Edgecombe brings volume plus the Bona absence. Historical hit rates give us context, not a guarantee. Which one makes your card? 👇 📊 Stats and analytics: StatsBench statsbench.com #NBA #Timberwolves #Bulls #76ers #PlayerProps #GamblingX

NBA Sunday Part #1 1️⃣ Davion Mitchell OVER 20.5 pts + ast (-111) Davion Mitchell needs 21 PTS+AST against the Sacramento Kings. He has hit 9 of the last 10 games shown, and his average is 25.3. His most recent results in the sample are 26, 22, 21 and 30. Sacramento ranks 29th in points allowed and 29th in opponent FG% over the last 10 games, and 24th in PTS+AST allowed to point guards. The strong hit rate still includes a 20, so he has to finish above 20.5. 2️⃣ Naji Marshall OVER 8.5 field goal attempts (-120) Naji Marshall needs 9 FGA against the Brooklyn Nets. He has hit 9 of the last 10 games shown, and his average is 11.2. His most recent results in the sample are 8, 9, 12 and 10. Brooklyn ranks 22nd in FGA allowed to small forwards over the last 10 games, while its 6th-ranked rebounds allowed over the last 10 games is a tougher mark. The strong hit rate still includes an 8, so this pick relies on his attempts holding near that 11.2 average. 3️⃣ Dejounte Murray OVER 1.5 steals (-110) Dejounte Murray needs 2 steals against the LA Clippers. He has hit 6 of the last 10 games shown, and his average is 2. His most recent results in the sample are 2, 1, 4 and 1. The LA Clippers rank 30th in steals allowed to shooting guards over the last 10 games, while their 10th-ranked rebounds allowed over the last 10 games is a tougher mark. Yves Missi is out today. In the 4 games Missi missed, Murray averaged 2 steals, against 1.7 across all games in that span (+0.3). At 6 of the last 10 games shown, this is the weakest hit rate here, and his most recent result is 1, so this is volatile despite the matchup. The profiles differ: Mitchell brings scoring and assists, Marshall brings shot volume, and Murray brings defensive-event upside. Historical hit rates give us context, not a guarantee. Which pick makes your card? 👇 📊 Stats and analytics: StatsBench statsbench.com #NBA #Heat #Mavericks #Pelicans #PlayerProps #GamblingX

NHL Sunday Part #3 1️⃣ Seth Jones OVER 0.5 power play points (+190) Seth Jones needs 1 power play point against Boston. He's cleared this number in 6 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 0.8 power play points. He closed the sample with 2, 2, 0, 0 and 1. Boston ranks 3rd in goals allowed, 12th in shots allowed, 3rd in points allowed, 17th in PP points allowed and 20th in PP points allowed to defensemen over the last 10 games. The 17th in PP points allowed and 20th in PP points allowed to defensemen cut the other way against the tough 3rd ranks. The 6 of the last 10 games shown is not overwhelming, so he still needs a power-play point to actually land rather than just his 0.8 average. 2️⃣ Chris Tanev OVER 2.5 blocked shots (+138) Chris Tanev needs 3 blocked shots against New Jersey. He's cleared this number in 6 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 2.3 blocked shots. He closed the sample with 4, 1 and 0. New Jersey ranks 8th in goals allowed, 5th in shots allowed, 13th in points allowed, 10th in PP points allowed, 24th in blocks allowed and 23rd in blocks allowed to defensemen over the last 10 games. The 24th in blocks allowed and 23rd in blocks allowed to defensemen cut the other way against the tough 8th and 5th ranks. The 6 of the last 10 games shown and the 0 results in the sample make this volatile; he needs 3 blocks, and the 2.3 average says it is not automatic. 3️⃣ Leo Carlsson OVER 0.5 assists (-125) Leo Carlsson needs 1 assist against Pittsburgh. He's cleared this number in 7 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 1.3 assists. He closed the sample with 3, 0, 2 and 1, and his ice time is up to 22.1 over the last 5 games from 20.2 over the last 10. Pittsburgh ranks 26th in goals allowed, 11th in shots allowed, 25th in points allowed, 9th in PP points allowed and 29th in assists allowed to forwards over the last 10 games. The 11th in shots allowed and 9th in PP points allowed are tougher ranks, but 26th in goals allowed, 25th in points allowed and 29th in assists allowed to forwards cut the other way. The 7 of the last 10 games shown is the best hit rate of the 3 picks, but an assist still depends on his teammates finishing the chance. Seth Jones brings the power-play requirement, Chris Tanev brings the blocked-shot volatility and Leo Carlsson brings the assist upside with the best hit rate of the 3. Historical hit rates give us context, not a guarantee. Which pick makes your card? 👇 📊 Stats and analytics: StatsBench statsbench.com #NHL #Panthers #MapleLeafs #Ducks #PlayerProps #GamblingX