There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics. @Kalshi partner.

Joined December 2020
If 80+% pick Red, everyone in the world survives. If less than 80% pick Red, only everyone who picks Blue survives. What are you picking?
62%Red ๐Ÿ”ด
38%Blue ๐Ÿ”ต
192,025 votes โ€ข 18 hours
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๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡พ Paraguay once banned same race marriage
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๐ŸŽ„There are only 61 days until Christmas!
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๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Japan: suicides fall to a record low, but not among young people All suicides in 2025: 19,097, the lowest since records began in 1978 School students: 532, the highest since records began in 1980 High school: 352 Junior high school: 170 Elementary school: 10 Source: Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare; National Police Agency
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๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง What process does the UK Tea and Infusions Association recommend for making tea with a teabag in a mug? 1. Water, milk, bag in, bag out 2. Milk, bag in, water, bag out 3. Bag in, water, milk, bag out 4. Bag in, water, bag out, milk
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โ˜• Countries with the most Starbucks stores (2026) 1. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States: 16,933 2. ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China: 8,103 3. ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท South Korea: 2,174 4. ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Japan: 2,138 5. ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada: 1,438 6. ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง United Kingdom: 1,377 7. ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ Mexico: 968 8. ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท Tรผrkiye: 780 9. ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ผ Taiwan: 614 10. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ Indonesia: 592 11. ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ญ Thailand: 574 12. ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ Philippines: 530 13. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India: 499 14. ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Saudi Arabia: 417 15. ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช UAE: 317
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๐Ÿช– World's largest militaries (2026) ๐Ÿ‘ฅ Active personnel 1. ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China: 2.04 million 2. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India: 1.43 million 3. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States: 1.33 million ๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ Tanks 1. ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China: 5,900 2. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Russia: 5,600 3. ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ต North Korea: 4,900 โœˆ๏ธ Military aircraft 1. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States: 13,000 2. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Russia: 4,200 3. ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China: 3,500 โš“ Naval assets 1. ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China: 841 2. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Russia: 747 3. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States: 465 Source: Global Firepower 2026
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If you could eliminate ONE thing from the world, what would it be?
31%Corruption
30%Cancer
20%Greed
20%Wars
20,804 votes โ€ข 10 hours
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๐Ÿš— Car brands named after real people ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Mercedes-Benz: Karl Benz & Mercedes Jellinek ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Porsche: Ferdinand Porsche ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Maybach: Wilhelm Maybach ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Opel: Adam Opel ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Ford: Henry Ford ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Chevrolet: Louis Chevrolet ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Dodge: John & Horace Dodge ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Chrysler: Walter Chrysler ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Buick: David Buick ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Ferrari: Enzo Ferrari ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Lamborghini: Ferruccio Lamborghini ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Maserati: the Maserati brothers ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท Bugatti: Ettore Bugatti ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท Citroรซn: Andrรฉ Citroรซn ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท Renault: Louis, Marcel & Fernand Renault ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท Peugeot: the Peugeot family ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Rolls-Royce: Charles Rolls & Henry Royce ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Bentley: Walter Owen Bentley ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Aston Martin: Lionel Martin ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง McLaren: Bruce McLaren ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Toyota: Kiichiro Toyoda ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Honda: Soichiro Honda ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Suzuki: Michio Suzuki ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ ล koda: Emil ล koda
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๐Ÿฉบ Average number of doctor visits per person per year ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท South Korea: 18 ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Japan: 12 ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท Tรผrkiye: 12 ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Netherlands: 11 ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Germany: 10 ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ Hungary: 10 ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Italy: 9 ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น Lithuania: 9 ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฉ Moldova: 8 ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ช Montenegro: 8 ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ Poland: 8 ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช Belgium: 8 ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Czechia: 8 ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡พ Cyprus: 8 ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ Serbia: 8 ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ด Colombia: 7 ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ Bulgaria: 7 ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Israel: 7 ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท Croatia: 7 ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ Australia: 6 ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Spain: 6 ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Slovenia: 6 ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ด Romania: 6 ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ Luxembourg: 6 ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada: 5 ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท France: 5 ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Denmark: 5 ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Chile: 5 ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ Switzerland: 5 ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด Norway: 4 ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡น Portugal: 4 ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ญ Thailand: 4 ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ช Estonia: 4 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States: 4 ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Finland: 3 ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท Greece: 3 ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡น Malta: 2 ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช Sweden: 2 ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ท Costa Rica: 2 ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ Mexico: 2 Figures are rounded and mostly for 2024. They include remote consultations in some countries, and methods vary between countries. Source: OECD
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๐ŸŒก๏ธ Prediction markets now project tomorrow's temperature better than the official weather forecast. Average error on next-day high temperature: Kalshi prediction market: 2.44ยฐF (1.36ยฐC) US National Weather Service blend: 2.70ยฐF (1.50ยฐC) That's about 10% more accurate.
๐Ÿค Paid partnership
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Time Between U.S. Recessions 1933 โ†’ 1937 - 4 years 1938 โ†’ 1945 - 7 years 1949 โ†’ 1953 - 4 years 1954 โ†’ 1957 - 3 years 1958 โ†’ 1960 - 2 years 1961 โ†’ 1969 - 8 years 1970 โ†’ 1973 - 3 years 1975 โ†’ 1980 - 5 years 1982 โ†’ 1990 - 8 years 1991 โ†’ 2001 - 10 years 2001 โ†’ 2007 - 6 years 2009 โ†’ 2020 - 11 years 2020 โ†’ ? Average expansion: ~5โ€“6 years
๐Ÿค Paid partnership
BREAKING: 22% chance of a recession next year
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Bears can smell food from more than 30 kilometers away.
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Men's brains shrink faster than women's due to aging, according to a large new study of over 12,600 MRI scans.
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If you could witness any moment in history, which one would you choose and why?
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Invariant right theory holds that most people turn right when entering a store, unconsciously favoring that direction because most are right-handed.
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๐Ÿงช Countries that discovered the most chemical elements ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง United Kingdom: 22 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States: 20 ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Germany: 19 ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช Sweden: 19 ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท France: 16 ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Russia: 10 ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น Austria: 3 ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Denmark: 2 ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Spain: 2 ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ Switzerland: 2 ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada: 1 ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Finland: 1 ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Italy: 1 ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Japan: 1 ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ Mexico: 1 ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ด Romania: 1 Shared discoveries count for both countries. Source: Compound Interest (Andy Brunning); IUPAC
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2026 is 81% complete ๐Ÿฅฑ
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๐Ÿš— Vehicle theft rate by US state (2025) Car thefts per 100,000 people: ๐Ÿ”ด Highest 1. California: 348 2. Nevada: 318 3. New Mexico: 318 4. Colorado: 280 5. Missouri: 280 6. Maryland: 273 7. Texas: 240 8. Alaska: 232 9. Washington: 228 10. Illinois: 223 ๐ŸŸข Lowest 1. New Hampshire: 40 2. Idaho: 54 3. Maine: 61 4. Wyoming: 73 5. West Virginia: 82 6. Utah: 90 7. Massachusetts: 90 8. Iowa: 102 9. Rhode Island: 107 10. Virginia: 108 Rates use 2025 vehicle theft totals and Census Bureau 2025 state population estimates. Source: National Insurance Crime Bureau; US Census Bureau
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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ด Romania's population 1995: 22.9 million 2005: 21.3 million 2026: 18.8 million
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