
There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics. @Kalshi partner.
Joined December 2020
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If 80+% pick Red, everyone in the world survives. If less than 80% pick Red, only everyone who picks Blue survives.
What are you picking?
62%Red ๐ด
38%Blue ๐ต
192,025 votes โข 18 hours๐ฏ๐ต Japan: suicides fall to a record low, but not among young people
All suicides in 2025: 19,097, the lowest since records began in 1978
School students: 532, the highest since records began in 1980
High school: 352
Junior high school: 170
Elementary school: 10
Source: Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare; National Police Agency
๐ฌ๐ง What process does the UK Tea and Infusions Association recommend for making tea with a teabag in a mug?
1. Water, milk, bag in, bag out
2. Milk, bag in, water, bag out
3. Bag in, water, milk, bag out
4. Bag in, water, bag out, milk
โ Countries with the most Starbucks stores (2026)
1. ๐บ๐ธ United States: 16,933
2. ๐จ๐ณ China: 8,103
3. ๐ฐ๐ท South Korea: 2,174
4. ๐ฏ๐ต Japan: 2,138
5. ๐จ๐ฆ Canada: 1,438
6. ๐ฌ๐ง United Kingdom: 1,377
7. ๐ฒ๐ฝ Mexico: 968
8. ๐น๐ท Tรผrkiye: 780
9. ๐น๐ผ Taiwan: 614
10. ๐ฎ๐ฉ Indonesia: 592
11. ๐น๐ญ Thailand: 574
12. ๐ต๐ญ Philippines: 530
13. ๐ฎ๐ณ India: 499
14. ๐ธ๐ฆ Saudi Arabia: 417
15. ๐ฆ๐ช UAE: 317
๐ช World's largest militaries (2026)
๐ฅ Active personnel
1. ๐จ๐ณ China: 2.04 million
2. ๐ฎ๐ณ India: 1.43 million
3. ๐บ๐ธ United States: 1.33 million
๐ก๏ธ Tanks
1. ๐จ๐ณ China: 5,900
2. ๐ท๐บ Russia: 5,600
3. ๐ฐ๐ต North Korea: 4,900
โ๏ธ Military aircraft
1. ๐บ๐ธ United States: 13,000
2. ๐ท๐บ Russia: 4,200
3. ๐จ๐ณ China: 3,500
โ Naval assets
1. ๐จ๐ณ China: 841
2. ๐ท๐บ Russia: 747
3. ๐บ๐ธ United States: 465
Source: Global Firepower 2026
If you could eliminate ONE thing from the world, what would it be?
31%Corruption
30%Cancer
20%Greed
20%Wars
20,804 votes โข 10 hours๐ Car brands named after real people
๐ฉ๐ช Mercedes-Benz: Karl Benz & Mercedes Jellinek
๐ฉ๐ช Porsche: Ferdinand Porsche
๐ฉ๐ช Maybach: Wilhelm Maybach
๐ฉ๐ช Opel: Adam Opel
๐บ๐ธ Ford: Henry Ford
๐บ๐ธ Chevrolet: Louis Chevrolet
๐บ๐ธ Dodge: John & Horace Dodge
๐บ๐ธ Chrysler: Walter Chrysler
๐บ๐ธ Buick: David Buick
๐ฎ๐น Ferrari: Enzo Ferrari
๐ฎ๐น Lamborghini: Ferruccio Lamborghini
๐ฎ๐น Maserati: the Maserati brothers
๐ซ๐ท Bugatti: Ettore Bugatti
๐ซ๐ท Citroรซn: Andrรฉ Citroรซn
๐ซ๐ท Renault: Louis, Marcel & Fernand Renault
๐ซ๐ท Peugeot: the Peugeot family
๐ฌ๐ง Rolls-Royce: Charles Rolls & Henry Royce
๐ฌ๐ง Bentley: Walter Owen Bentley
๐ฌ๐ง Aston Martin: Lionel Martin
๐ฌ๐ง McLaren: Bruce McLaren
๐ฏ๐ต Toyota: Kiichiro Toyoda
๐ฏ๐ต Honda: Soichiro Honda
๐ฏ๐ต Suzuki: Michio Suzuki
๐จ๐ฟ ล koda: Emil ล koda
๐ฉบ Average number of doctor visits per person per year
๐ฐ๐ท South Korea: 18
๐ฏ๐ต Japan: 12
๐น๐ท Tรผrkiye: 12
๐ณ๐ฑ Netherlands: 11
๐ฉ๐ช Germany: 10
๐ญ๐บ Hungary: 10
๐ฎ๐น Italy: 9
๐ฑ๐น Lithuania: 9
๐ฒ๐ฉ Moldova: 8
๐ฒ๐ช Montenegro: 8
๐ต๐ฑ Poland: 8
๐ง๐ช Belgium: 8
๐จ๐ฟ Czechia: 8
๐จ๐พ Cyprus: 8
๐ท๐ธ Serbia: 8
๐จ๐ด Colombia: 7
๐ง๐ฌ Bulgaria: 7
๐ฎ๐ฑ Israel: 7
๐ญ๐ท Croatia: 7
๐ฆ๐บ Australia: 6
๐ช๐ธ Spain: 6
๐ธ๐ฎ Slovenia: 6
๐ท๐ด Romania: 6
๐ฑ๐บ Luxembourg: 6
๐จ๐ฆ Canada: 5
๐ซ๐ท France: 5
๐ฉ๐ฐ Denmark: 5
๐จ๐ฑ Chile: 5
๐จ๐ญ Switzerland: 5
๐ณ๐ด Norway: 4
๐ต๐น Portugal: 4
๐น๐ญ Thailand: 4
๐ช๐ช Estonia: 4
๐บ๐ธ United States: 4
๐ซ๐ฎ Finland: 3
๐ฌ๐ท Greece: 3
๐ฒ๐น Malta: 2
๐ธ๐ช Sweden: 2
๐จ๐ท Costa Rica: 2
๐ฒ๐ฝ Mexico: 2
Figures are rounded and mostly for 2024. They include remote consultations in some countries, and methods vary between countries.
Source: OECD
๐ก๏ธ Prediction markets now project tomorrow's temperature better than the official weather forecast.
Average error on next-day high temperature:
Kalshi prediction market: 2.44ยฐF (1.36ยฐC)
US National Weather Service blend: 2.70ยฐF (1.50ยฐC)
That's about 10% more accurate.
๐ค Paid partnership
๐บ๐ธ Time Between U.S. Recessions
1933 โ 1937 - 4 years
1938 โ 1945 - 7 years
1949 โ 1953 - 4 years
1954 โ 1957 - 3 years
1958 โ 1960 - 2 years
1961 โ 1969 - 8 years
1970 โ 1973 - 3 years
1975 โ 1980 - 5 years
1982 โ 1990 - 8 years
1991 โ 2001 - 10 years
2001 โ 2007 - 6 years
2009 โ 2020 - 11 years
2020 โ ?
Average expansion: ~5โ6 years
๐ค Paid partnership
Men's brains shrink faster than women's due to aging, according to a large new study of over 12,600 MRI scans.
Invariant right theory holds that most people turn right when entering a store, unconsciously favoring that direction because most are right-handed.
๐งช Countries that discovered the most chemical elements
๐ฌ๐ง United Kingdom: 22
๐บ๐ธ United States: 20
๐ฉ๐ช Germany: 19
๐ธ๐ช Sweden: 19
๐ซ๐ท France: 16
๐ท๐บ Russia: 10
๐ฆ๐น Austria: 3
๐ฉ๐ฐ Denmark: 2
๐ช๐ธ Spain: 2
๐จ๐ญ Switzerland: 2
๐จ๐ฆ Canada: 1
๐ซ๐ฎ Finland: 1
๐ฎ๐น Italy: 1
๐ฏ๐ต Japan: 1
๐ฒ๐ฝ Mexico: 1
๐ท๐ด Romania: 1
Shared discoveries count for both countries.
Source: Compound Interest (Andy Brunning); IUPAC
๐ Vehicle theft rate by US state (2025)
Car thefts per 100,000 people:
๐ด Highest
1. California: 348
2. Nevada: 318
3. New Mexico: 318
4. Colorado: 280
5. Missouri: 280
6. Maryland: 273
7. Texas: 240
8. Alaska: 232
9. Washington: 228
10. Illinois: 223
๐ข Lowest
1. New Hampshire: 40
2. Idaho: 54
3. Maine: 61
4. Wyoming: 73
5. West Virginia: 82
6. Utah: 90
7. Massachusetts: 90
8. Iowa: 102
9. Rhode Island: 107
10. Virginia: 108
Rates use 2025 vehicle theft totals and Census Bureau 2025 state population estimates.
Source: National Insurance Crime Bureau; US Census Bureau




