Native Texan | Husband | Improver of Government Processes | @ASU alumnus | Drone enthusiast | Board member @EduFoundHC | Opinions are mine alone
Joined February 2009
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Harris County early vote through Monday (day 8 of 12):
705,996 ballots
1.6x the 2022 midterm, 86% of 2024’s pace
Primary voters showing up at the same rate: 64.9% D, 63.8% R
31% (208,162) skipped the 2022 midterm
votes.stevenrdavid.com
New to the site: Montgomery County
Steven David retweeted
IT’S ABOUT TIME! 🦃
The City of Houston has announced that @lizzo will be the Grand Marshall for the Thanksgiving Parade on Thursday, November 26th at 9 AM.
Join us for a day of festivities and holiday cheer.
Learn more: houstontx.gov/thanksgivingpa…
What would it take for a Republican to win Harris County Judge?
I built a forecast of every Harris race from early-vote rosters. Default: Plummer 91%. Slide the late-vote and crossover assumptions and see how far they have to move.
votes.stevenrdavid.com/harri…
Week one of Texas early voting is done. In the 10 biggest counties:
2.68M ballots
1.6x the 2022 midterm
89% of 2024’s presidential pace
Here’s what stood out 🧵
The money: $500M+ in ads, the most of any Senate race on record.
Talarico led by ~3 on Sept 1 and ~1.5 now. The ads drove up his unfavorables. They didn’t make anyone like Paxton more.
By county: Hidalgo (104%) and Dallas (102%) are ahead of their 2024 pace. Denton (80%) and Collin (83%) trail.
Early voting runs through Fri Oct 30. Every county, down to the ZIP: votes.stevenrdavid.com