$sofi action definitely encouraging Today. Noto had a great interview!

📺 A POTENTIAL RECOVERY, BUT FOLLOW-THROUGH REMAINS THE BIGGEST QUESTION + $TSLA MULTIWEEK RUN? + $NVDA MOMENTUM? In this Short video, I discuss the market's attempt to recover after months of frustrating, range-bound trading, with $TSLA finally showing real leadership and $NVDA displaying early signs of improving momentum. But can these moves develop into sustainable rallies, or will traders face another round of failed breakouts? * $SPY has been trapped in a trading channel since April. Every time the market looks ready to break out, momentum fades. Every time it approaches a breakdown, buyers step in. Meanwhile, individual stocks have suffered significant declines, and traders have struggled with a lack of follow-through. * Monday offered some encouraging signs. Several stocks turned red to green (we had some great trades), $SPY reclaimed Friday's $763.50 high and pushed toward $767. The next upside reference is $774, while $758 remains critical weekly support. As long as that level holds, the broader technical structure remains intact, although it's still vulnerable. * $TSLA has been the standout. After a massive correction from $482 to $297, followed by months of failed rallies and consolidation, #Tesla finally produced a convincing breakout pattern. The stock pushed through $386–$388 and rallied toward $397, demonstrating the kind of leadership I haven't seen from mega-cap technology stocks in quite some time. The question now is whether #TSLA can transition from a one-day breakout into a multiweek swing trade. $388 is the preferred support level, with $383 marking the lower boundary of the setup. Holding that zone could allow Tesla to consolidate, break above $397 and potentially reach $402. My strategy involves trimming into strength, buying controlled pullbacks near support, and maintaining a core position if the stock continues working higher. * $NVDA is also showing tentative improvement. After repeatedly disappointing traders with promising setups that quickly reversed, #Nvidia finally demonstrated a little strength above $213.85. It's not a blockbuster breakout, but the fact that the stock isn't immediately giving back its gains is encouraging. Semiconductor stocks $SOXX $SMH are showing some stabilization, although meaningful leadership remains absent. * The Mag7 remain mixed, with some earnings approaching. – $META continues to struggle with failed rallies post earnings and concerns surrounding enormous AI infrastructure financing requirements. The $625–$627 area could provide near-term support. – $GOOGL remains technically weak after breaking below its ascending channel. $AAPL is consolidating after a failed push higher, while $AMZN lacks a compelling setup. – $MSFT is attempting to rebuild, with $515.17 as a potential long-side risk reference ahead of earnings. * The bigger challenge is continuity. Too many stocks have produced bullish breakouts, only to gap lower the following session and completely erase their gains. That's why I remain hesitant to hold positions overnight. With the Fed decision, major technology earnings and midterm elections approaching, everything could change quickly. * So, the market is showing signs of life, but one strong session doesn't establish a new uptrend. The real test is whether stocks can hold support, build on their gains and finally deliver the sustained follow-through that has been missing for months. As always, stay tactical. * If you found this helpful, please ❤️like and 🔁retweet

If there’s a real meeting with Iran. $USO will break yesterday’s low

See u guys here 3:00 @WOLF_Financial xitter.cf/i/spaces/1NxarogmMVjKj

Hoping, waiting, praying isn't a strategy. When they break the 8/21-day, reduce and sell. 👉 Get your mind right before the open: xitter.cf/RedDogT3/creator-subsc…

$tsla was different. Cleared a macro pattern. Most other tactics were Broken bounces or RDR type reclaim trades. Book some now.

📺 LOOKING AT THE HIDDEN MARKET COLLAPSE + THE IMPORTANCE OF THE 8/21-DAY RULE + SEMIS / NEOCLOUD CAPITULATION + $TSLA LOOKS CONSTRUCTIVE The biggest risk in this market isn't just how much individual stocks have already fallen. It's the massive divergence between what's happening beneath the surface and what the major indices are showing. Some of the most popular growth, AI, and momentum stocks are already down 40%, 50%, even 80% from their highs: – $IREN: -67% – $NBIS: -45% – $CRWV: -61% – $AAOI: -70% – $ASTS: -70% – $OKLO: -82% and the list goes on... Yet, $SPY remains ONLY ABOUT 3% below its peak! This is why the 8/21-day moving average rule is so important. * Many of these stocks were fantastic trades when they were trending above their 8-day and 21-day moving averages. They generated enormous profits for disciplined momentum traders. But once they broke below those averages and failed to reclaim them, the character of those trades changed. Don't turn great trades into terrible investments simply because you refuse to recognize a broken trend. Step aside, protect capital, and wait for the stocks to rebuild. * Today, watch $SPY $768 and especially $758. Friday's low near $768 is the immediate reference point. A sustained break below $758 could signal a more significant correction, particularly as the weekly chart suggests the risk of a breakdown from its rising channel. * Meanwhile, the Mags are no longer providing the same support. $MAGS is showing a potential head-and-shoulders breakdown, while $AAPL suffered a failed breakout, and $META, $AMZN, and $GOOGL have weakened. If the mega-cap stocks holding up the indices begin breaking down, something may finally give. * Important question this week: is capitulation approaching in semis and neoclouds:? $MU, $SNDK, and even $INTC were tremendous momentum trades before the sector lost its 8/21-day structure around July 2. Since then, the selling has been relentless. Neocloud stocks $NBIS $IREN have also been annihilated. Following Elon Musk's weekend comments, I'm watching whether these names gap lower and reverse green, potentially signaling a washout, or continue selling as capitulation accelerates. * Amid all this weakness, $TSLA looks like one of the more constructive setups. #Tesla is showing some commitment to its current trading area. Earnings are behind us, and the stock is benefiting from an upgrade today. I'm not long yet because it hasn't provided a convincing entry. But if #TSLA can consolidate, hold its gains, and eventually break above $388 and stay there, it could open the door to a test of more significant resistance. I'll be watching Tesla closely today. * With the Fed on Wednesday and major Big Tech earnings ahead, this is not the time to deploy all your buying power or blindly short the indices. Stay selective, respect your rules, and preserve capital. Difficult markets eventually create better opportunities, but you need to protect yourself long enough to take advantage of them. * If you found this helpful, please ❤️like and 🔁retweet

Mixed markets around the world heading into a very busy week with peak earnings and the FOMC/ECB/BOJ ahead. Oil is lower, but AI/Semi/Tech damage continues to add up. $SPX futures are +16 — watching to see if this range holds, with 7612 as key active support.

Huge week coming with FOMC, PCE + $SNDK $GOOGL $MSFT $AMZN $STX $HOOD $KLAC earnings and more! Get my preview on Monday morning: ➡️ Access here: t3live.com/rd