Ball Knower, #HailState, #RaiseHail
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Joined March 2018
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Jayden Daniels last win was on the day my son turned three months. Next week he will be 16 months. We need this win Sunday.
#RaiseHail
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Trade watch went up on The Cupcake Index on Oct 22. Three NFL trades have happened since, and all three players were on our list.
DeForest Buckner sat at #2 for six straight days with the 49ers as his top fit. He went to San Francisco on Oct 27.
Quenton Nelson stayed in our top 7 all week, with Seattle one of his three best fits from the first list. The Seahawks got him Oct 27.
Jeffery Simmons was on the list all week too. We missed on the team: Chicago only showed up as a fit the day of the deal.
Who's next? Our five most likely to move before the Nov 10 deadline, with each one's top fit:
1. Khalil Mack (LAC): Bears
2. Jonathan Taylor (IND): Vikings
3. Brian Thomas Jr. (JAX): Steelers
4. Josh Downs (IND): Steelers
5. Garrett Wilson (NYJ): Chiefs
Who are we missing?
Soft launched. You can ask 50 questions as of right now. Let me know what you think and if you find any bugs.
cupcakeindex.com
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Ask the Cupcake Analyst anything about any team, player or stat and it answers from our own numbers, chart included. It also fact-checks the confident take in your replies. Coming soon.
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Monday Night Football: Cowboys @ Eagles. The radars split hardest on points per drive, where the Cowboys rank #4 and the Eagles rank #28. The Cowboys win the offense radar 4-1, the Eagles the defense radar 3-0. Our model likes the Cowboys at 56%.
@dallascowboys @Eagles #NFL
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Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA) is on pace for 2,032 receiving yards over 17 games: 717 through 6 games. That would break the NFL record of 1,964 by Calvin Johnson (Lions, 2012).
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Maybe the @NFLOfficiating should read that textbook because this is yet ANOTHER week they throw a flag that was not only pathetically WRONG but resulted in a TD for the opposing team.
The @nflcommish doesn’t care as he is counting is over paid account
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Fraud watch through Week 4: Kyle Pitts Sr. (ATL) is playing 72% below his weekly projections. Somebody get this man an application. Also slipping: Saquon Barkley (PHI), 70% under. Who's the biggest fraud in the league?
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Need 2 yards or less on 3rd or 4th down? Kyren Williams (LA) moves the chains 85.7% of the time, best among NFL backs. Next: Chris Rodriguez Jr. 83.3%, Aaron Jones 80.0%.
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3/ Compare by role, not just position. Pick WR1, WR2, RB1, TE1 and line up every team's guy side by side.
Roles come from who actually got the targets and carries in the weeks you pick, so it works for any week or season.
The best WR2 in football right now: Puka Nacua.
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5/ Radar charts for player profiles. Every stat is a percentile against QBs with a real workload, so 100 = best in the league.
Purdy vs Allen vs Mahomes vs Lamar. Who's got the best shape?
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4/ Pick a team and see how it splits the work. Hover any slice for its share.
Washington's targets: Stefon Diggs 24%, Terry McLaurin 17%, and nobody else above 15%. Is that enough for Jayden Daniels?
