Ted Saunders (@tfsaunders) header
Ted Saunders (@tfsaunders) profile picture

Headhunter,global macro,open-minded,curious

Palm Desert, CA
Joined February 2012
Photo by Ted Saunders (@tfsaunders)Photo by Ted Saunders (@tfsaunders)Photo by Ted Saunders (@tfsaunders)Photo by Ted Saunders (@tfsaunders)Photo by Ted Saunders (@tfsaunders)Photo by Ted Saunders (@tfsaunders)Photo by Ted Saunders (@tfsaunders)Photo by Ted Saunders (@tfsaunders)Photo by Ted Saunders (@tfsaunders)Photo by Ted Saunders (@tfsaunders)
Ted Saunders retweeted
On November 4, the #GDPNow model nowcast of real GDP growth in Q4 2026 is 3.4%: bit.ly/32EYojR. #ATLFedResearch Download our EconomyNow app or go to our website for the latest GDPNow nowcast: atlfed.org/46BOWkD.
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Ted Saunders retweeted
Great list. My family and I have been and are continuing to aggressively pursue all 10 of these points.
Gemini advice for next 10 years.
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Ted Saunders retweeted
On October 28, the #GDPNow model nowcast of real GDP growth in Q3 2026 is 3.3%: bit.ly/32EYojR. #ATLFedResearch Download our EconomyNow app or go to our website for the latest GDPNow nowcast: atlfed.org/46BOWkD.
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Ted Saunders retweeted
This is an incredible moment in this history of mathematics, computer science, physics & science with some of the hardest problems in human history being solved by AI over a period of weeks. Depending on your perspective, it's either a crisis, a triumph, or both. I don't think anyone knows for sure. We're all trying to make sense of it. I oscillate between fear/dread and optimism/excitement on a daily basis. The rate of progress is insane, including today's announcement from OpenAI of more problems solved. To help make sense of all of it, here's my conversation with three mathematicians about this moment. Each of them is an expert in the field of each of the biggest problems solved: Navier-Stokes, quasi-Riemann hypothesis, the unique games conjecture and complexity theory more generally. Ankur Moitra is a mathematician and theoretical computer scientist at MIT, visiting the Institute for Advanced Study in Princeton. Steven Brunton (@eigensteve) is a mathematician and fluid dynamics expert at UW. Alex Kontorovich (@AlexKontorovich) is a mathematician at Rutgers specializing in number theory.
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Ted Saunders retweeted
JUST IN: Ripple $XRP and Robinhood $HOOD officially announce strategic partnership to expand stablecoin adoption.
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Ted Saunders retweeted
JUST IN: Ripple launches 24/7 AI-powered money management for businesses.
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Elon's endgame w/ Tesla & SpaceX is very clear The idea is to bring the cost of transportation, labour & energy to near 0 He's doing it by building a connectivity & inference cloud in space that powers billions of robots on earth This is how $SPCX gets to a $100 TRILLION market cap, as Elon me mentioned yesterday Whether the 2 companies merge or not (my guess is they do), they have already built the ground work for this master plan to be fulfilled: - Tesla builds and powers the Robots (humanoid, vehicles, etc.) - SpaceX builds the compute and connectivity from Space Let's start with what's being built at SpaceX then I will explain how this connects with whats being built at Tesla 1. Starpship: Giant reusable rockets at massive scale and cost efficiencies (100s of rocket launches/year). He needed to first make getting to space cheap enough so it would be feasible to build products in Space 2. Starlink: Connect the world's devices to a distributed wifi system that works globally with no dead zones through 100s of thousands of satellites orbiting the earth 3. Starmind: Build a distributed inference cloud (compute), which is powered by the Sun and cooled in space and beam it back to earth via Starlink So, essentaily what Elon is building with SpaceX is a global internet and compute system that can enable AI and Robotics anywhere in the world Now let's talk about how this fits with Tesla $TSLA is building the "devices" (aka robots) that will need to use the global internet and compute system 1. Autonomus Vehicles (Cyberabs, Robtaxis, Semi's): A global transportation system that is powered by batteries and runs autonomously through AI, lowering the cost of transportation to near 0 overtime 2. Humanoid Robots: A global workforce that can replace all blue collar work, lowering the cost of labour to near 0 overtime 3. A global energy network: hundreds of thousands of batteries and battery chargers, linked to various energy sources (more and more of that being renewable overtime), postioned in stratgic places to charge all of the these robots (humanoids, AVs, etc.), lowering the cost of energy to near 0 overtime Tesla has built / is building the manufacturing and AI capabilties for all of this to work globally, however, for this to work at scale with millions or even billions of robots (humanoid/AVs), the world needs better connectivity and orders of magnitude more compute. This is exactly the problem SpaceX is solving for Tesla Both companies require infinite amounts more chips to make this all a reality, which is why Tesla and SpaceX joined to launch Terrafab. The largest building in the world and likely to become the the largest chip manufacturer in North America (maybe globally) The impact of what these two companies are building is a world of abundance, where the costs of energy, transportation and labour become a rounding error. The most deflationary impact to ever hit the world This is also why Elon continues to say that SpaceX will become a $100T company, as the combination of SpaceX and Tesla will generate trillions in revenue and easily become the largest valued company on earth The timelines of all of this working at scale is unknown, but many pieces of the puzzle are already being set in place and beginning to make a real impact... ask anyone who owns a Tesla and uses FSD today Full disclosure: SpaceX and Tesla remain core positions in my Milk Road PRO portoflio and I continue to DCA dips in both companies when the market gives me the opportunity. I'm an analyst at Milk Road and you can check out my real-time portfolio here: link.milkroad.com/t5837z
馃 Made with AI
Unless there is a major world war, SpaceX probably gets to >$100T in <10 years
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China's 2008 is happening now. Property investment in China dropped -21% YoY in the first 9 months of 2026, its largest decline for this period of the year on record. This marks a deterioration from a -20% YoY decline in the first 8 months of 2026. The latest drop is also significantly worse than the -16% decline recorded during the 2020 pandemic. Property investment in China has now contracted every month since 2022, its longest declining streak on record. For perspective, during the 2008 Financial Crisis, this figure never fell below +1% YoY growth. China's property sector is experiencing a historic downturn.
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Ted Saunders retweeted
Holy Sh*t! They just said it outloud.
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Gold stocks have rarely been this oversold. ~92% of stocks in the gold miners ETF, $GDX, are now trading below their 50-day moving average, the highest proportion since late July. This figure has risen +80 percentage points in just 21 sessions. Furthermore, 90% of stocks in $GDX are trading below their 200-day moving average, the highest proportion in 3 months. Similar setups occurred in March 2024 and December 2024. In the following month, $GDX rallied +21.5% and +15.4%, respectively. History suggests the selloff in gold miners is nearing exhaustion.
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Ted Saunders retweeted
.@jackmallers: "Almost all of the Bitcoin is owned by the people and that is why I think it's far too late for Wall Street or anybody to try and control this thing because they don't have the physical and they can't get the physical from us."
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Ken Griffin: AI now does in a few hours what used to take Citadel's PhDs 4 to 6 weeks. "Press the button on the keyboard, wait a few hours, there's the exact same answer." He says the Friday he saw it was "a very depressing moment." As a business owner, he watched his "competitive moats be filled in by bulldozers." He also calls it "a golden era for entrepreneurs." His message to corporate America is to innovate faster and take costs out faster. It's the same fear behind software stocks' rough year, while chip stocks keep climbing. FT @Citadel @daniburgz @BloombergTV
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Ted Saunders retweeted
JUST IN: 馃嚭馃嚫 US officially finalizes new crypto stablecoin regulations under the GENIUS Act.
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Ted Saunders retweeted
JUST IN: 馃嚜馃嚭 Europe's largest banking network Sparkassen launches crypto trading, allowing customers to buy and sell Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, and Solana.
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My mind is blown by how far ahead Apple is with local LLMs. The new Mac Studio M5 Ultra will have a 512 GB model for around 15-20k. You can chain 6 of them together using thunderbolt 5 and this have over 3 TB of ram and a massive amount of CPU and GPU cores. This means you can run a frontier model with over 2 trillion parameters locally for around 100kish. Nivida is around 500k for the same capability.
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Ted Saunders retweeted
JUST IN: $13 trillion Charles Schwab fully launches Bitcoin & Ethereum trading to its 40 million eligible retail clients.
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Ted Saunders retweeted
JUST IN: 馃嚛馃嚜 Germany's largest bank Deutsche Bank to launch crypto custody.
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Ted Saunders retweeted
On October 15, the #GDPNow model nowcast of real GDP growth in Q3 2026 is 3.6%: bit.ly/32EYojR. #ATLFedResearch Download our EconomyNow app or go to our website for the latest GDPNow nowcast: atlfed.org/46BOWkD.
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Ted Saunders retweeted
JUST IN: Anthropic says its Claude Mythos AI model designed highly efficient quantum circuits that could bring quantum computing "within reach sooner."
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And Bitcoin? A new 4-year cycle bull market could be underway, based on its power law patterns. There doesn鈥檛 seem to be a narrative, but then again, bull markets rarely start with one.
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